Valencia v Real Madrid prediction
Team pages: Valencia · Real Madrid · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Valencia v Real Madrid, La Liga on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Valencia host Real Madrid in La Liga on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 20:00 UK).
The key numbers
Real Madrid have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Seven of Valencia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Valencia’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Valencia have two wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.89 and conceding 1.56. Valencia have scored six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Valencia have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs.
10 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Real Madrid have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.57. Real Madrid have scored 23 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Real Madrid have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Valencia are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Real Madrid have won their last three matches in all competitions. Valencia (19th) and Real Madrid (third) are 15 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Real Madrid the stronger side, 347 rating points above Valencia (Real Madrid 1825, Valencia 1478, after at least 351 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, finished Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid.
Team news
Predicted Valencia XI (5-4-1): S. Dimitrievski, Pepelu, P. Maffeo, J. Gayà, J. de Haas, C. Tárrega, F. Ugrinic, J. Guerra, G. Rodríguez, A. Danjuma, H. Duro — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Guido Rodríguez (4.3 per match over six appearances) and Javi Guerra (3.0 per match over nine appearances, two assists) have been Valencia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Valencia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Guido Rodríguez averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 493 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last six appearances. Javi Guerra averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 771 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Real Madrid XI (4-2-3-1): T. Courtois, I. Konaté, M. Cucurella, D. Huijsen, D. Dumfries, J. Bellingham, F. Valverde, V. Júnior, A. Güler, A. Tchouaméni, K. Mbappé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kylian Mbappé (7.6 per match over 12 appearances, 11 goals and three assists) and Jude Bellingham (5.5 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Real Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kylian Mbappé averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 1961 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jude Bellingham averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1953 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · La Liga · Estadio de Mestalla
- Head-to-head (last 6): Valencia 1 · draws 1 · Real Madrid 4 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Valencia 1W 2D 2L · Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L
Valencia v Real Madrid (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Valencia for / against | Line | Real Madrid for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.5 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16.25 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.75 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.75 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.13 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.25 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Valencia
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Raba n 8 | 35 | 3.2 | 2.3 | — |
| G. Rodríguez n 8 | 84.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | — |
| A. Dieng n 8 | 51.3 | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| Iker Córdoba n 8 | 31.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | — |
| U. Sadiq n 8 | 40.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Raba n 8 | 35 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| U. Sadiq n 8 | 40.5 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| A. Danjuma n 8 | 72.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| David Otorbi n 8 | 42.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Javi Guerra n 8 | 81.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| U. Sadiq n 8 | 40.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Dani Raba n 8 | 35 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Arnau Martínez n 8 | 61.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Luis Rioja n 8 | 51.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| G. Rodríguez n 8 | 84.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Rodríguez n 8 | 84.1 | 3.7 |
| A. Dieng n 8 | 51.3 | 3.1 |
| José Gayà n 8 | 74.8 | 2.6 |
| Jesús Vázquez n 8 | 45.5 | 2.5 |
| César Tárrega n 8 | 75 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Dimitrievski n 8 | 90 | 4.6 |
Real Madrid
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Silva n 8 | 22 | 2 | 2.6 | — |
| I. Konaté n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 0.4 | — |
| Dean Huijsen n 8 | 85.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | — |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 61 | 1.3 | 3 | — |
| Éder Militão n 8 | 46.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Espí n 8 | 18.5 | 6.1 | 3.6 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 85.3 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| Vinícius Júnior n 8 | 60.3 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| Endrick n 8 | 40.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| A. Güler n 8 | 72.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Espí n 8 | 18.5 | 2.4 | 0 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 85.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 61 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 75.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| Brahim Díaz n 8 | 55.3 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marc Cucurella n 8 | 82.9 | 3.3 |
| Eduardo Camavinga n 8 | 36.6 | 2.8 |
| Bernardo Silva n 8 | 22 | 2.6 |
| D. Dumfries n 8 | 64 | 2.3 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 61 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois n 8 | 90 | 4.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Valencia v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-08 Valencia 0–2 Real Madrid
- 2025-11-01 Real Madrid 4–0 Valencia
- 2025-04-05 Real Madrid 1–2 Valencia
- 2025-01-03 Valencia 1–2 Real Madrid
- 2024-03-02 Valencia 2–2 Real Madrid
- 2023-11-11 Real Madrid 5–1 Valencia
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Real Madrid?
- In their last 6 meetings, Valencia won 1, Real Madrid won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Valencia and Real Madrid?
- Recent form — Valencia 1W 2D 2L; Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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