Villarreal v Real Madrid prediction
Team pages: Villarreal · Real Madrid · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Villarreal v Real Madrid, La Liga on Sun, 07 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Villarreal host Real Madrid in La Liga on Sunday 7 March (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
Real Madrid have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Villarreal, every meeting checked. Real Madrid have won their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
11 of Villarreal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Villarreal’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Villarreal have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.57. Villarreal have scored 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Villarreal have conceded 13 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs.
11 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Real Madrid’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Real Madrid have four wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.83 and conceding 1.50. Real Madrid have scored 23 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Real Madrid have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Villarreal (12th) and Real Madrid (third) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Real Madrid the stronger side, 251 rating points above Villarreal (Real Madrid 1825, Villarreal 1574, after at least 351 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 10 October 2026, finished Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal.
Team news
Predicted Villarreal XI (4-4-2): P. Gulácsi, R. Veiga, A. Freeman, S. Cardona, P. Navarro, P. Gueye, S. Comesaña, N. Saliba, N. Pépé, A. Pérez, G. Mikautadze — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nicolas Pépé (3.8 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and Georges Mikautadze (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Villarreal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Villarreal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nicolas Pépé averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 823 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Georges Mikautadze averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 909 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Real Madrid XI (4-2-3-1): T. Courtois, I. Konaté, M. Cucurella, D. Huijsen, D. Dumfries, J. Bellingham, F. Valverde, V. Júnior, A. Güler, A. Tchouaméni, K. Mbappé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kylian Mbappé (7.9 per match over 12 appearances, 12 goals and three assists) and Jude Bellingham (5.5 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Real Madrid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Madrid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kylian Mbappé averages 4.3 shots per 90 over 1981 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jude Bellingham averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1973 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · La Liga · Estadio de la Ceramica
- Head-to-head (last 6): Villarreal 0 · draws 1 · Real Madrid 5 · 3.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Villarreal 2W 1D 2L · Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L
Villarreal v Real Madrid (La Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Villarreal for / against | Line | Real Madrid for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 7.13 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.88 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.25 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Villarreal
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Saliba n 8 | 59.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | — |
| T. Buchanan n 8 | 56.5 | 2 | 3.4 | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi n 8 | 41.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | — |
| C. Macia n 8 | 19.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 | — |
| Santi Comesaña n 8 | 66 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Oluwaseyi n 8 | 41.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| T. Buchanan n 8 | 56.5 | 2.4 | 1 |
| N. Pépé n 8 | 67.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Alberto Moleiro n 8 | 66.8 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Ayoze Pérez n 8 | 52.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayoze Pérez n 8 | 52.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| Alberto Moleiro n 8 | 66.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Gerard Moreno n 8 | 36 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| N. Pépé n 8 | 67.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| G. Mikautadze n 8 | 50 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Macia n 8 | 19.1 | 7.6 |
| A. Diatta n 3 | 34.7 | 3.5 |
| A. Freeman n 8 | 65.3 | 2.8 |
| Carlos Romero n 8 | 75.1 | 2.7 |
| Pau Navarro n 8 | 87.8 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Gulácsi n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| Luíz Júnior n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
Real Madrid
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Camavinga n 8 | 42.3 | 2.1 | 3.7 | — |
| Dean Huijsen n 8 | 85.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | — |
| I. Konaté n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 0.4 | — |
| Carlos Espí n 8 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| Bernardo Silva n 8 | 31.6 | 1.4 | 2.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Espí n 8 | 7.5 | 10.5 | 6 |
| Vinícius Júnior n 8 | 57.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 85.1 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Endrick n 8 | 35.4 | 2.5 | 1 |
| A. Güler n 8 | 73.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Espí n 8 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0 |
| Kylian Mbappé n 8 | 85.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 60.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Brahim Díaz n 8 | 46.9 | 0 | 1 |
| Bernardo Silva n 8 | 31.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marc Cucurella n 8 | 74.1 | 3.3 |
| Eduardo Camavinga n 8 | 42.3 | 3.2 |
| Álvaro Fernández n 8 | 42.5 | 2.9 |
| D. Dumfries n 8 | 64 | 2.3 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 60.3 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois n 8 | 90 | 4.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Villarreal v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-10-10 Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal
- 2026-01-24 Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid
- 2025-10-04 Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal
- 2025-03-15 Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid
- 2024-10-05 Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal
- 2024-05-19 Villarreal 4–4 Real Madrid
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Villarreal and Real Madrid?
- In their last 6 meetings, Villarreal won 0, Real Madrid won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Villarreal and Real Madrid?
- Recent form — Villarreal 2W 1D 2L; Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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