East Kilbride v Dumbarton result

Full-time · East Kilbride 5–3 Dumbarton

League Cup – Scotland · · K Park Training Academy

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

East Kilbride 5–3 Dumbarton — East Kilbride won this League Cup – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

East Kilbride beat Dumbarton 5–3 at K Park Training Academy in League Cup – Scotland on Saturday 18 July. Dumbarton have lost their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

East Kilbride led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Dumbarton: L. McIntosh (15’, assisted by K. Kirkpatrick; 81’) and S. Honeyman (69’); East Kilbride: C. Elliott (30’, assisted by M. Zaid; 38’, assisted by O. Calder; 45’), D. O'Connor (83’, assisted by R. Armstrong) and C. McGuffie (90’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s eight key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. O'Connor’s goal on 83 minutes.

What it changes

East Kilbride have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

East Kilbride next travel to Cove Rangers on 24 October 2026.

Dumbarton next host Keith on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for East Kilbride: Cove Rangers v East Kilbride, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Dumbarton: Dumbarton v Keith, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: East Kilbride 5–3 Dumbarton · League Cup – Scotland
  • Venue: K Park Training Academy · East Kilbride
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): East Kilbride 2 · draws 2 · Dumbarton 1 · 2.2 goals/game
  • Recent form: East Kilbride 4W 0D 1L · Dumbarton 0W 0D 5L

East Kilbride 5–3 Dumbarton (League Cup – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind East Kilbride v Dumbarton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
East KilbrideWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
DumbartonLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.2 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
East Kilbride 2 · 2 draws · Dumbarton 1 · 2.2 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Dumbarton 0–1 East Kilbride
  • 2026-02-21 East Kilbride 3–1 Dumbarton
  • 2025-12-13 Dumbarton 2–0 East Kilbride
  • 2025-09-20 East Kilbride 1–1 Dumbarton
  • 2024-07-13 Dumbarton 1–1 East Kilbride
Goals per game
East Kilbride scored3
Dumbarton scored0.2
East Kilbride conceded0.6
Dumbarton conceded3.2

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for East Kilbride v Dumbarton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for East Kilbride v Dumbarton was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between East Kilbride and Dumbarton?
In their last 5 meetings, East Kilbride won 2, Dumbarton won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of East Kilbride and Dumbarton?
Recent form — East Kilbride 4W 0D 1L; Dumbarton 0W 0D 5L.

Today’s boards

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