Dunfermline v Dumbarton result
Team pages: Dunfermline · Dumbarton · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Dunfermline 4–1 Dumbarton — Dunfermline won this League Cup – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.
The result
Dunfermline beat Dumbarton 4–1 at East End Park in League Cup – Scotland on Tuesday 14 July. Dumbarton have lost their last five matches in all competitions.
The goals
Dunfermline led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Dunfermline: A. Tod (26’, assisted by Z. Rudden; 69’, assisted by R. Fraser), O. Shaw (38’, assisted by R. Fraser) and J. Cooper (84’, assisted by R. Fraser); Dumbarton: K. Kirkpatrick (60’, assisted by S. Honeyman).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Tod’s goal on 26 minutes.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Dunfermline or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.2% of the time in the last 90 days (1171 of 1558).
Next up
Dunfermline next travel to Queen's Park on 24 October 2026.
Dumbarton next host Keith on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Dunfermline: Queen's Park v Dunfermline, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Dumbarton: Dumbarton v Keith, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Dunfermline 4–1 Dumbarton · League Cup – Scotland
- Venue: East End Park · Dunfermline
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Dunfermline 5 · draws 1 · Dumbarton 0 · 3.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Dunfermline 0W 2D 3L · Dumbarton 1W 0D 4L
Dunfermline 4–1 Dumbarton (League Cup – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Dunfermline v Dumbarton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-07-19 Dumbarton 0–4 Dunfermline
- 2021-07-17 Dunfermline 5–1 Dumbarton
- 2020-10-06 Dumbarton 0–1 Dunfermline
- 2018-04-28 Dunfermline 4–0 Dumbarton
- 2018-01-06 Dumbarton 0–1 Dunfermline
- 2017-11-25 Dunfermline 2–2 Dumbarton
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Dunfermline v Dumbarton?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Dunfermline v Dumbarton was Home or Draw.
- What is the head-to-head record between Dunfermline and Dumbarton?
- In their last 6 meetings, Dunfermline won 5, Dumbarton won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Dunfermline and Dumbarton?
- Recent form — Dunfermline 0W 2D 3L; Dumbarton 1W 0D 4L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.