Leyton Orient v Bradford result

Full-time · Leyton Orient 1–3 Bradford

League Cup · · Brisbane Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Leyton Orient 1–3 Bradford — Bradford won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.80 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bradford won 3–1 at Brisbane Road in the League Cup on Tuesday 8 September.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Bradford: an own goal by Macaulay Gillesphey (38’), Will Swan (45’, assisted by Stephen Humphrys), Stephen Humphrys (58’, assisted by Kayden Jackson) and Nick Powell (88’, assisted by Macaulay Gillesphey).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Leyton Orient 1.62, Bradford 2.67, from 16 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Duckworth showed four yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 25 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Leyton Orient: Theodore Archibald (23’), Idris El Mizouni (44’) and Phillip Chinedu (49’); Bradford: George Lapslie (40’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Stephen Humphrys (Bradford) 9.3, Will Swan (Bradford) 7.2 and Idris El Mizouni (Leyton Orient) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Leyton Orient next travel to Reading on 21 October 2026.

Bradford next travel to Burton Albion on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leyton Orient: Reading v Leyton Orient, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Bradford: Burton Albion v Bradford, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Leyton Orient 1–3 Bradford · League Cup
  • Venue: Brisbane Road · London
  • Referee: E. Duckworth
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Leyton Orient 3 · draws 2 · Bradford 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Leyton Orient 2W 2D 1L · Bradford 2W 1D 2L

Leyton Orient 1–3 Bradford (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 1 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 7.63
Corners
against 4.25 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.38
Cards
against 2 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLeyton Orient for / againstLineBradford for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
12.13 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 2.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
14 for · 13.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.63 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: E. Duckworth.

Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Oyekunle n 822
4.13/2
22/1
—
Jaze Kabia n 861.6
2.97/4
2.78/5
—
T. Archibald n 850.9
2.96/4
1.53/1
G. Lapslie
P. Chinedu n 871.5
2.46/5
1.35/3
—
S. Clare n 837.9
2.43/1
1.24/0
K. Jackson
Leyton Orient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Connolly n 872.8
2.88/6
1.15/2
Y. Akhamrich n 875.5
2.26/3
1.34/2
Jaze Kabia n 861.6
2.26/3
1.34/1
D. Ballard n 846.5
1.97/1
0.73/0
D. Mitchell n 854.9
1.85/3
0.63/0
Leyton Orient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jaze Kabia n 861.6
0.73/1
0.42/0
T. Springett n 833.3
0.31/0
0.72/0
A. Connolly n 872.8
0.53/0
0.31/1
D. Mitchell n 854.9
0.21/0
0.62/1
D. Ballard n 846.5
0.73/0
00/0
Leyton Orient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. El Mizouni n 876.3
3.88/6
F. Stevens n 872.3
3.37/4
S. Clare n 837.9
2.76/3
T. Springett n 833.3
2.44/2
T. Archibald n 850.9
2.26/2
Leyton Orient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Noah Phillips n 479.5
3.14/2
N. Baxter n 884.6
2.46/3
Bradford
Bradford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Powell n 821.8
3.66/1
3.15/1
—
H. Cartwright n 822.8
2.54/1
0.51/0
—
G. Lapslie n 862.6
2.36/4
26/3
T. Archibald
B. Pointon n 850.8
2.26/2
1.64/2
—
K. Jackson n 853.5
2.17/2
1.55/2
S. Clare
Bradford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Powell n 821.8
5.25/3
2.64/1
A. Phillips n 851.1
2.66/3
1.33/2
W. Swan n 840.1
2.24/3
0.83/0
J. Beesley n 875.1
1.96/4
0.94/2
T. Wright n 874.8
1.85/5
1.44/4
Bradford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Wright n 874.8
0.53/0
00/0
H. Cartwright n 822.8
0.51/0
00/0
N. Powell n 821.8
0.51/0
00/0
A. Phillips n 851.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Baldwin n 889.9
0.32/0
00/0
Bradford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Welch n 829
4.75/2
H. Cartwright n 822.8
3.54/2
G. Lapslie n 862.6
3.48/5
B. Pointon n 850.8
2.76/4
A. Sarcevic n 879.1
2.68/5
Bradford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jon McCracken n 887
2.56/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Leyton OrientBradford
43%Possession57%
1.62Expected goals (xG)2.67
16Shots17
4Shots on target9
6Shots off target3
6Blocked shots5
9Shots inside the box14
8Corners12
3Offsides1
9Fouls10
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves4
373Passes334
71%Pass accuracy67%

Leyton Orient player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Springett9000101005.5
S. Clare9000003206.3
I. El Mizouni90001005Y6.1
J. Morris9000110405.9
N. Oyekunle9000211006.4
Noah Phillips9000000006
P. Chinedu67000001Y5
A. Dobra6600311306.4
T. Archibald66002010Y5.6
W. Forrester4500101106.3
I. Hayden4500001106.2
J. Olowu4500000106.1
F. Stevens4500001005.3
D. Scarlett2400200106.5
Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens2400101005.8
Y. Akhamrich2300210006.7

Bradford player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Welch9000100306.1
M. Gillesphey9001001105.9
K. Jackson9001002106.9
G. Lapslie90000036Y6.3
C. O'Keeffe9000210206.3
Jon McCracken9000000007
W. Swan8910222307.8
Kieran Morgan8300101006.4
Henry Cartwright6200100106.5
S. Humphrys6211312008.8
H. Matthews6200000206.8
A. Baldwin2800100006.2
C. Connolly2800002206.7
N. Powell2810542007.7
A. Phillips700111006.5
I. Touray100000000

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Leyton Orient v Bradford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Leyton OrientWDLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
BradfordWDLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Leyton Orient 3 · 2 draws · Bradford 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-07 Bradford 2–1 Leyton Orient
  • 2025-12-20 Leyton Orient 2–1 Bradford
  • 2023-05-08 Bradford 1–1 Leyton Orient
  • 2022-12-03 Leyton Orient 3–0 Bradford
  • 2022-02-01 Bradford 1–1 Leyton Orient
  • 2021-08-28 Leyton Orient 2–0 Bradford
Goals per game
Leyton Orient scored1.8
Bradford scored0.6
Leyton Orient conceded0.8
Bradford conceded0.8

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Leyton Orient v Bradford?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leyton Orient v Bradford was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.80 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Leyton Orient and Bradford?
In their last 6 meetings, Leyton Orient won 3, Bradford won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leyton Orient and Bradford?
Recent form — Leyton Orient 2W 2D 1L; Bradford 2W 1D 2L.

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