Wigan v Notts County result

Full-time · Wigan 1–0 Notts County

League Cup · Tue, 12 Aug 2025 19:45 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Wigan 1–0 Notts County — Wigan won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Wigan beat Notts County 1–0 in the League Cup on Tuesday 12 August. Notts County are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Wigan led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Wigan: Paul Mullin (10’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Paul Mullin’s goal on 10 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Wigan 1.41, Notts County 1.11, from 9 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Oliver Yates, England showed five yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Wigan: Tobias Brenan (23’), Sam Tickle (54’), Fraser Murray (68’) and Jensen Weir (83’); Notts County: Barry Cotter (32’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Paul Mullin (Wigan) 6.0, Tom Iorpenda (Notts County) 5.9 and Sonny Aljofree (Notts County) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wigan or Notts County (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Wigan next travel to Oxford United on 20 October 2026.

Notts County next host Sheffield Wednesday on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wigan: Oxford United v Wigan, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Notts County: Notts County v Sheffield Wednesday, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Wigan 1–0 Notts County · League Cup
Referee: Oliver Yates, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Wigan 1W 3D 1L · Notts County 0W 1D 4L

Wigan 1–0 Notts County (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1

Goals

against 0.75 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.57 / 5.29

Corners

against 5.29 / 5.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.43 / 5

Shots on target

against 3.29 / 3.71 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

0.86 / 1.57

Cards

against 1 / 1.86 · 0 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Wigan for / against	Line	Notts County for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.57 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.29 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	10.71 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	13.43 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.43 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.43 for · 10.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.57 for · 14.43 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	0.86 for · 1 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.57 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5

Wigan

Wigan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Wright n 8	31.9	2.8 6/1	1.4 3/1	—
Callum Henry McManaman n 8	16	2.8 3/1	2.1 2/1	—
C. Saydee n 8	46.3	2.7 7/3	2.4 6/3	—
O. Dale n 8	83.6	1.9 7/4	2 7/4	—
D. Costelloe n 8	83.4	1.8 7/5	1.1 5/1	—

Wigan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Costelloe n 8	83.4	2.2 7/6	1.1 4/3
C. Sze n 8	25.6	1.8 4/0	0.9 2/0
F. Murray n 8	87.6	1.7 6/3	0.5 2/1
Maleace Asamoah n 8	65.9	1.7 6/3	0.7 3/1
J. Hungbo n 8	49.1	1.6 5/1	0.9 3/1

Wigan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Costelloe n 8	83.4	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
J. Hungbo n 8	49.1	0 0/0	0.5 1/1
D. Taylor n 8	86.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
C. Wright n 8	31.9	0.4 1/0	0 0/0
C. Sze n 8	25.6	0.4 1/0	0 0/0

Wigan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Francois n 8	62.3	3.8 6/6
S. Sessegnon n 8	76.1	3.1 7/5
L. Robinson n 8	77	2.5 8/5
T. Sibbick n 8	35.9	2.2 3/2
B. Adeeko n 8	81.1	1.9 7/4

Notts County

Notts County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. McGoldrick n 8	87	2.5 8/6	0.9 4/2	—
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 8	49.1	2.3 6/2	1.1 3/1	—
M. Traoré n 8	28	2 4/1	1.2 3/0	—
J. Bedeau n 8	90	1.8 7/4	1.1 7/2	—
G. Abbott n 8	80.8	1.8 6/5	1.8 6/4	—

Notts County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. McGoldrick n 8	87	2.5 7/4	1.3 6/3
Tom Iorpenda n 8	40.8	1.9 5/2	0.8 3/0
M. Dennis n 8	70.9	1.7 6/4	0.8 4/1
C. Grant n 8	67.3	1.7 4/3	1 2/2
M. Traoré n 8	28	1.6 2/1	0.8 1/1

Notts County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Dennis n 8	70.9	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
D. McGoldrick n 8	87	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 8	67.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
A. Jatta n 8	87.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
C. Grant n 8	67.3	0.3 1/1	0 0/0

Notts County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Grant n 8	67.3	2.8 7/6
Sonny Aljofree n 8	83	2.7 8/4
G. Abbott n 8	80.8	2.5 8/5
O. Norburn n 8	72.9	2.3 8/4
K. Bennetts n 8	39.9	2.3 5/1

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Wigan		Notts County
36%	Possession	64%
1.41	Expected goals (xG)	1.11
9	Shots	10
2	Shots on target	3
3	Shots off target	6
4	Blocked shots	1
5	Shots inside the box	6
5	Corners	6
1	Offsides	2
15	Fouls	11
4	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
308	Passes	557
77%	Pass accuracy	86%

Wigan player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. Tickle	90	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.6
J. Weir	90	0	0	0	0	4	Y	7.2
J. Kerr	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
L. Robinson	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
R. Trevitt	90	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.9
J. Hungbo	90	0	1	0	0	5	0	6.7
Maleace Asamoah	75	0	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
C. Wright	74	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
Tobias Brenan	64	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
P. Mullin	64	1	1	1	1	0	0	7
Isaac Mabaya	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
F. Murray sub	62	0	1	0	0	2	Y	6.3
Leo Graham sub	27	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.5
D. Costelloe sub	27	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
H. McHugh sub	17	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
C. Saydee sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Notts County player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Roos	90	0	0	0	0	0	7
Sonny Aljofree	90	1	0	0	4	0	7
R. McDonald	90	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
J. Bedeau	90	0	0	2	1	0	6.7
Tom Iorpenda	90	1	0	1	4	0	7.3
M. Palmer	90	0	0	2	0	0	6.2
J. Luker	90	1	1	1	4	0	7.3
K. Bennetts	73	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Jones	64	3	1	0	0	0	6.5
C. Grant	64	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Barry Cotter	45	0	0	0	0	Y	6
K. Gordon sub	45	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
T. Hall sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Dennis sub	26	2	0	0	0	0	6.7
Maziar Kouhyar sub	17	0	0	1	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Wigan v Notts County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

WiganDDDWL

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Notts CountyLLLDL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Goals per game

Wigan scored1.2

Notts County scored0.6

Wigan conceded1.2

Notts County conceded1.4

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Wigan v Notts County?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Wigan v Notts County was Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Wigan and Notts County?: Recent form — Wigan 1W 3D 1L; Notts County 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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