Wolves v West Ham result

Full-time · Wolves 3–2 West Ham

League Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wolves · West Ham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Wolves 3–2 West Ham — Wolves won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wolves beat West Ham 3–2 in the League Cup on Tuesday 26 August.

The goals

Wolves led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Wolves: Rodrigo Gomes (43’) and Jørgen Strand Larsen (82’; 84’, assisted by Jackson Tchatchoua); West Ham: T. Souček (50’, assisted by Kyle Walker-Peters) and Lucas Paquetá (63’, assisted by Jarrod Bowen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jørgen Strand Larsen’s goal on 84 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Wolves 0.00, West Ham 0.00, from 19 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Wolves: E. Agbadou (54’) and André (75’); West Ham: James Ward-Prowse (71’).

What it changes

West Ham have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jørgen Strand Larsen (Wolves) 8.0, Jarrod Bowen (West Ham) 7.5 and T. Souček (West Ham) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wolves or West Ham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3537 of 4571).

Next up

Wolves next host Watford on 24 October 2026.

West Ham next host Southampton on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wolves: Wolves v Watford, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for West Ham: West Ham v Southampton, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Wolves 3–2 West Ham · League Cup
  • Referee: Darren England, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Wolves 2 · draws 0 · West Ham 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wolves 0W 1D 4L · West Ham 2W 0D 3L

Wolves 3–2 West Ham (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 3.88
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWolves for / againstLineWest Ham for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
10.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 9.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: Darren England, England.

Wolves
Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Hwang Hee-Chan n 815.5
2.23/0
0.71/0
—
João Gomes n 880.6
27/5
2.47/5
—
J. Strand Larsen n 855.3
1.83/3
0.63/0
—
M. Munetsi n 881.3
1.76/6
0.42/1
—
J. Arias n 876.6
1.58/2
1.65/3
Lucas Paquetá
Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Matheus Cunha n 876.9
3.18/6
1.86/3
Gonçalo Guedes n 833.3
2.45/2
0.31/0
J. Strand Larsen n 855.3
1.84/2
14/1
J. Arias n 876.6
1.35/3
0.42/1
Pablo Sarabia n 830.5
1.13/0
0.72/0
Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pablo Sarabia n 830.5
0.72/0
0.41/0
J. Strand Larsen n 855.3
0.42/0
0.42/0
Hwang Hee-Chan n 815.5
00/0
0.71/0
Matheus Cunha n 876.9
0.11/0
0.31/1
Rodrigo Gomes n 828.4
0.41/0
00/0
Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
André n 874.4
5.18/7
S. Bueno n 827.1
4.65/2
João Gomes n 880.6
4.57/7
J. Bellegarde n 845.6
3.26/5
R. Aït-Nouri n 880.4
2.87/5
Wolves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Sá n 889.9
1.94/2
West Ham
West Ham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Füllkrug n 859
2.55/3
0.63/0
—
T. Souček n 873.4
2.16/4
0.64/0
—
E. Álvarez n 857
26/3
0.63/0
—
M. Kilman n 890
1.96/4
0.11/0
—
Lucas Paquetá n 871.5
1.97/2
2.76/5
J. Arias
West Ham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Carlos Soler n 839.9
1.74/1
0.83/0
J. Bowen n 887.4
1.47/2
1.27/2
T. Souček n 873.4
1.47/1
1.16/1
C. Wilson n 824
1.43/0
0.51/0
E. Diouf n 884.4
1.36/2
0.32/0
West Ham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bowen n 887.4
0.65/0
0.42/1
M. Kudus n 874.9
0.32/0
0.52/1
A. Wan-Bissaka n 890
00/0
0.43/0
E. Diouf n 884.4
00/0
0.32/0
T. Souček n 873.4
0.32/0
00/0
West Ham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Scarles n 863.4
36/4
E. Álvarez n 857
2.66/3
J. Todibo n 881.1
2.46/5
Emerson n 855.3
2.25/4
T. Souček n 873.4
2.17/4
West Ham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Hermansen n 891.1
3.18/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WolvesWest Ham
51%Possession49%
19Shots7
6Shots on target4
8Shots off target3
5Blocked shots0
15Shots inside the box6
7Corners0
0Offsides4
16Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
450Passes451
84%Pass accuracy81%

Wolves player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Johnstone9700000006.2
E. Agbadou97000001Y6.5
S. Bueno9700000206.2
André97001122Y7.2
Hugo Bueno9700001207
J. Arias9700222206.7
Hwang Hee-Chan8100301105.9
J. Bellegarde7300100206.9
Fer López7300002006.9
Y. Mosquera7200100106.3
Rodrigo Gomes7210110106.9
M. Doherty sub2500000007.2
J. Tchatchoua sub2501101007.5
João Gomes sub2400101107.2
J. Strand Larsen sub2420320008.3
S. Kalajdzic sub1600000006.7

West Ham player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Areola9700000006.2
K. Mavropanos9700000006.3
K. Walker-Peters9701001207.3
J. Ward-Prowse97000011Y6.2
T. Souček9710220207.3
E. Diouf9700001006.3
J. Bowen9701112107.2
Lucas Paquetá9710411107.2
J. Todibo8600000206.2
G. Rodríguez8600000406.3
N. Aguerd7000000006.3
M. Kilman sub2700000006.7
C. Wilson sub1100000006.3
N. Füllkrug sub1100000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Wolves v West Ham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WolvesLLDLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
West HamWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Wolves 2 · 0 draws · West Ham 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-04-01 Wolves 1–0 West Ham
  • 2024-12-09 West Ham 2–1 Wolves
  • 2024-04-06 Wolves 1–2 West Ham
  • 2023-12-17 West Ham 3–0 Wolves
  • 2023-01-14 Wolves 1–0 West Ham
  • 2022-10-01 West Ham 2–0 Wolves
Goals per game
Wolves scored0.6
West Ham scored1.4
Wolves conceded2.4
West Ham conceded2.2

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Wolves v West Ham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wolves v West Ham was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Wolves and West Ham?
In their last 6 meetings, Wolves won 2, West Ham won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wolves and West Ham?
Recent form — Wolves 0W 1D 4L; West Ham 2W 0D 3L.

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