This Matchweek

WolvesWatford

Wolves v Watford result

Full-time · Wolves 1–0 Watford

Championship · · Molineux Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wolves · Watford · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Wolves 1–0 Watford — Wolves won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.47 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 274 landed (95% range 73.2–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wolves beat Watford 1–0 at Molineux Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 24 October.

The goals

Wolves led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Wolves: Adam Armstrong (35’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Adam Armstrong’s goal on 35 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Wolves 1.95, Watford 0.16, from 24 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Robert Madley, England showed seven yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Wolves: Kieran Trippier (41’), Thomas Doyle (79’), Hugo Bueno (87’) and José Sá (88’); Watford: Iker Bravo (41’), Hector Kyprianou (49’) and Jordan Zemura (74’).

What it changes

Wolves have scored 25 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Wolves have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Watford have scored 13 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Watford have conceded 23 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Wolves are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jean-Ricner Bellegarde (Wolves) 5.0, Adam Armstrong (Wolves) 4.3 and Mateus Mane (Wolves) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wolves to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Wolves next travel to Wrexham on 7 November 2026.

Watford next host Middlesbrough on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wolves: Wrexham v Wolves, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Watford v Middlesbrough, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wolves 1–0 Watford · Championship
  • Venue: Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton, West Midlands
  • Referee: Robert Madley, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Wolves 4 · draws 0 · Watford 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wolves 2W 1D 2L · Watford 1W 0D 4L

Wolves 1–0 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.25 / 3.75
Corners
against 4.13 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.8 yellows
Referee · Robert Madley, England
21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWolves for / againstLineWatford for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Robert Madley, England — 4.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 21 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Wolves

Wolves Goalkeeper

Wolves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
José Sá1190990 min262.4 /90141.3 /9000 /90
D. Bentley290180 min63 /9021 /9010.5 /90
João Virgínia19090 min55 /9000 /9000 /90
Wolves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Sá n 890
2.67/4
D. Bentley n 890
2.66/5

Wolves Defensive

Wolves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Djiga13801034 min90.8 /90151.3 /9080.7 /90433.7 /9030.3 /9010.1 /90
Hugo Bueno1182903 min181.8 /9090.9 /9030.3 /90444.4 /9070.7 /9000 /90
Toti Gomes1081811 min30.3 /90101.1 /9000 /90343.8 /9030.3 /9000 /90
J. Tchatchoua979707 min121.5 /9070.9 /9020.3 /90283.6 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
K. Trippier766463 min112.1 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90234.5 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90
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Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Djiga n 881.9
0.31/1
0.54/0
—
M. Mane n 860.6
1.77/2
2.27/3
—
André n 887.9
1.76/3
0.42/1
Hector Kyprianou
Fer López n 875.4
1.66/3
2.16/4
—
A. Armstrong n 868
1.35/2
0.21/0
—
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Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Djiga n 881.9
0.84/2
M. Mane n 860.6
26/3
André n 887.9
3.88/6
Fer López n 875.4
1.55/4
A. Armstrong n 868
0.72/1
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Wolves Attacking

Wolves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Armstrong1270837 min20.2 /9000 /90121.3 /9060.6 /9060.6 /9030.3 /90
R. Jiménez948435 min30.6 /9010.2 /90163.3 /9051 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
T. Chirewa450199 min10.5 /9000 /9052.3 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9052.3 /90
S. Neave369207 min00 /9010.4 /9020.9 /9000 /9041.7 /9020.9 /90
M. Mane1364834 min00 /9010.1 /90171.8 /9060.6 /90242.6 /90171.8 /90
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Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Djiga n 881.9
0.54/0
0.11/0
M. Mane n 860.6
1.14/1
0.42/0
André n 887.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
Fer López n 875.4
2.47/6
1.25/3
A. Armstrong n 868
14/1
0.53/0
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Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Djiga n 881.9
00/0
00/0
M. Mane n 860.6
00/0
0.21/0
André n 887.9
00/0
0.11/0
Fer López n 875.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Armstrong n 868
00/0
00/0
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Watford

Watford Goalkeeper

Watford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Ravaglia12911092 min443.6 /90191.6 /9010.1 /90
D. Bachmann19090 min66 /9055 /9000 /90
Watford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Ravaglia n 890
4.68/8

Watford Defensive

Watford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Pollock12911092 min171.4 /90141.2 /90161.3 /90534.4 /90141.2 /9020.2 /90
K. Keben12871047 min171.5 /9050.4 /90141.2 /90383.3 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90
J. Zemura1058577 min132 /90101.6 /9010.2 /90355.5 /9091.4 /9020.3 /90
O. Traoré972646 min111.5 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90223.1 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90
S. Coulibaly569346 min51.3 /9041 /9020.5 /90174.4 /9020.5 /9000 /90
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Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Hector Kyprianou n 890
1.37/2
1.46/4
André
M. Pollock n 890
0.64/1
0.53/1
—
F. Ravaglia n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
K. Keben n 890
15/2
0.32/0
—
E. Kayembe n 884.4
1.56/5
1.16/2
—
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Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 890
1.97/6
M. Pollock n 890
1.38/2
K. Keben n 890
0.95/1
E. Kayembe n 884.4
1.56/3
Iker Bravo n 865.1
1.43/3
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Watford Attacking

Watford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Doumbia1164708 min20.3 /9000 /90162 /9091.1 /9081 /9020.3 /90
Rocco Vata933295 min00 /9000 /90113.4 /9051.5 /9072.1 /9041.2 /90
L. Kjerrumgaard864509 min20.4 /9000 /90122.1 /9040.7 /9071.2 /9020.4 /90
S. Mavididi542210 min00 /9000 /9020.9 /9010.4 /9031.3 /9073 /90
M. Boadu443172 min00 /9000 /9052.6 /9010.5 /9021 /9021 /90
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Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 890
0.85/1
0.43/0
M. Pollock n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
F. Ravaglia n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Keben n 890
0.42/1
00/0
E. Kayembe n 884.4
1.55/3
0.52/2
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Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Pollock n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Ravaglia n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Keben n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Kayembe n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WolvesWatford
62%Possession38%
1.95Expected goals (xG)0.16
24Shots4
3Shots on target1
11Shots off target3
10Blocked shots1
16Shots inside the box2
14Corners2
1Offsides0
12Fouls11
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Saves3
485Passes310
83%Pass accuracy71%

Wolves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Trippier90000052Y7.2
André9000201307.2
L. Krejčí9000000007.2
Y. Mosquera9000101107.3
M. Munetsi9000104106
José Sá90000000Y6.6
J. Bellegarde8900004107.7
Hugo Bueno89002011Y7.2
A. Armstrong7810310007.2
J. James7800100106.7
Rafiki Saïd6100211007
M. Mane sub2900101407.5
T. Chirewa sub1200000006.3
T. Doyle sub12001100Y6.7
S. Neave sub10000000–
Toti Gomes sub10000000–

Watford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Pollock9000000007.2
E. Kayembe9000100106.6
K. Keben9000000106.3
Hector Kyprianou90000002Y7.3
Branimir Mlačić9000000106.9
F. Ravaglia9000000006.3
Iker Bravo85001001Y6.2
M. Boadu7200000306.6
L. Kjerrumgaard7200000106.5
K. Diatta6200000406.9
M. Bola6100000006.3
J. Zemura sub29001001Y6.6
O. Maamma sub2800000006.9
M. Doumbia sub1800000006.3
M. Payero sub1800000106.9
Rocco Vata sub1100000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wolves v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WolvesWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
WatfordLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Wolves 4 · 0 draws · Watford 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2022-03-10 Wolves 4–0 Watford
  • 2021-09-11 Watford 0–2 Wolves
  • 2020-01-01 Watford 2–1 Wolves
  • 2019-09-28 Wolves 2–0 Watford
  • 2019-04-27 Watford 1–2 Wolves
  • 2019-04-07 Watford 3–2 Wolves
League standing · 2026/27
Wolves#2 pos27 pts14 pl+8 GD
Watford#20 pos14 pts14 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Wolves scored1.79
Watford scored0.93
Wolves conceded1.21
Watford conceded1.64

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wolves v Watford?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wolves v Watford was Home win (best price 1.47 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Wolves and Watford?
In their last 6 meetings, Wolves won 4, Watford won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wolves and Watford?
Recent form — Wolves 2W 1D 2L; Watford 1W 0D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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