Alloa Athletic v East Kilbride result

Full-time · Alloa Athletic 1–2 East Kilbride

League One – Scotland · · Recreation Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Alloa Athletic 1–2 East Kilbride — East Kilbride won this League One – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 3.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 3.5 goals
Best price: 1.47 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 3.5 goals in the last 90 days, 72.6% of 1755 landed (95% range 70.5–74.7%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

East Kilbride won 2–1 at Recreation Park in League One – Scotland on Saturday 19 September. Alloa Athletic are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. East Kilbride have won their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

East Kilbride led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — East Kilbride: C. McGuffie (34’) and C. McKenzie (84’, assisted by C. Elliott); Alloa Athletic: K. Glasgow (58’, assisted by S. Scougall).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. McKenzie’s goal on 84 minutes.

What it changes

Alloa Athletic move down from third to fifth (eight league matches played).

East Kilbride stay third after this result (eight league matches played).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 3.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 72.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1275 of 1755).

Next up

Alloa Athletic next host Queen of the South on 24 October 2026.

East Kilbride next travel to Cove Rangers on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Alloa Athletic: Alloa Athletic v Queen of the South, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for East Kilbride: Cove Rangers v East Kilbride, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Alloa Athletic 1–2 East Kilbride · League One – Scotland
  • Venue: Recreation Park · Alloa
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Alloa Athletic 1W 3D 1L · East Kilbride 3W 0D 2L

Alloa Athletic 1–2 East Kilbride (League One – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Alloa Athletic v East Kilbride — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Alloa AthleticWDDDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
East KilbrideWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Alloa Athletic#6 pos12 pts11 pl-1 GD
East Kilbride#3 pos18 pts11 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Alloa Athletic scored1.09
East Kilbride scored1.82
Alloa Athletic conceded1.18
East Kilbride conceded1.36

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Alloa Athletic v East Kilbride?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Alloa Athletic v East Kilbride was Under 3.5 goals (best price 1.47 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Alloa Athletic and East Kilbride?
Recent form — Alloa Athletic 1W 3D 1L; East Kilbride 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

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