East Kilbride v Queen of the South result

Full-time · East Kilbride 5–1 Queen of the South

League One – Scotland · · K Park Training Academy

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

East Kilbride 5–1 Queen of the South — East Kilbride won this League One – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.65 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

East Kilbride beat Queen of the South 5–1 at K Park Training Academy in League One – Scotland on Saturday 1 August. East Kilbride have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Queen of the South have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

East Kilbride led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — East Kilbride: C. McGuffie (7’ pen; 24’, assisted by M. Zaid), F. Gray (45’, assisted by O. Moffat; 62’, assisted by C. McGuffie) and D. O'Connor (75’, assisted by O. Moffat); Queen of the South: J. Stott (26’, assisted by Cole Coughlin).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. McGuffie’s goal on 7 minutes.

What it changes

East Kilbride are first after this result (one league match played).

Queen of the South are 10th after this result (one league match played).

With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 1, across five matches. Queen of the South have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.7% of the time in the last 90 days (421 of 641).

Next up

East Kilbride next travel to Cove Rangers on 24 October 2026.

Queen of the South next travel to Alloa Athletic on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for East Kilbride: Cove Rangers v East Kilbride, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Queen of the South: Alloa Athletic v Queen of the South, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: East Kilbride 5–1 Queen of the South · League One – Scotland
  • Venue: K Park Training Academy · East Kilbride
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): East Kilbride 1 · draws 1 · Queen of the South 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: East Kilbride 3W 0D 2L · Queen of the South 1W 2D 2L

East Kilbride 5–1 Queen of the South (League One – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 15 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind East Kilbride v Queen of the South — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
East KilbrideWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 3.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Queen of the SouthDDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
East Kilbride 1 · 1 draw · Queen of the South 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-08-12 East Kilbride 3–1 Queen of the South
  • 2024-07-23 East Kilbride 1–3 Queen of the South
  • 2017-07-18 Queen of the South 0–0 East Kilbride
League standing · 2026/27
East Kilbride#3 pos18 pts11 pl+5 GD
Queen of the South#8 pos10 pts11 pl-22 GD
Goals per game
East Kilbride scored1.82
Queen of the South scored1.09
East Kilbride conceded1.36
Queen of the South conceded3.09

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for East Kilbride v Queen of the South?
TACTIX’s free model pick for East Kilbride v Queen of the South was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.65 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between East Kilbride and Queen of the South?
In their last 3 meetings, East Kilbride won 1, Queen of the South won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of East Kilbride and Queen of the South?
Recent form — East Kilbride 3W 0D 2L; Queen of the South 1W 2D 2L.

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