AFC Wimbledon v Burton Albion prediction

League One · · The Cherry Red Records Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for AFC Wimbledon v Burton Albion, League One on Tue, 09 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

AFC Wimbledon host Burton Albion in League One on Tuesday 9 February (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Burton Albion’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Burton Albion are unbeaten in the last six meetings with AFC Wimbledon, every meeting checked. AFC Wimbledon are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Burton Albion are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of AFC Wimbledon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of AFC Wimbledon’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, AFC Wimbledon have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.14. AFC Wimbledon have scored seven goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). AFC Wimbledon have conceded 15 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

10 of Burton Albion’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Away from home, Burton Albion have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.50. Burton Albion have scored 16 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Burton Albion have conceded 18 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.

AFC Wimbledon (15th) and Burton Albion (10th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Burton Albion the stronger side, 49 rating points above AFC Wimbledon (Burton Albion 1440, AFC Wimbledon 1391, after at least 275 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 September 2026, finished Burton Albion 4–1 AFC Wimbledon.

Team news

Predicted AFC Wimbledon XI (3-4-2-1): J. Bursik, R. Johnson, I. Ogundere, D. Sweeney, A. Smith, M. Hippolyte, O. Harrison, C. Maycock, Z. Nelson, J. Tilley, J. Stockley — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josef Bursik (4.6 per match over six appearances) and Jayden Stockley (4.1 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been AFC Wimbledon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AFC Wimbledon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josef Bursik averages 4.8 saves per 90 over 540 minutes, with two or more saves in six of the last six appearances. Jayden Stockley averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 884 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Burton Albion XI (3-4-2-1): C. Addai, C. Tilt, T. Sibbick, F. Delap, K. Chauke, J. Armer, W. Collar, K. Lofthouse, R. Borges Rodrigues, S. Krubally, C. Webster — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Finn Delap (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) and Jack Armer (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Burton Albion’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burton Albion (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Finn Delap averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 853 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Jack Armer averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 934 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League One · The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AFC Wimbledon 0 · draws 2 · Burton Albion 4 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: AFC Wimbledon 1W 2D 2L · Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L

AFC Wimbledon v Burton Albion (League One): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.38 / 6.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.38
Cards
against 2 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAFC Wimbledon for / againstLineBurton Albion for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
11.38 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8
AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Z. Nelson n 833.1
3.15/2
0.72/0
—
J. Stockley n 887.5
2.37/6
1.97/5
—
M. Browne n 865.1
2.17/4
1.65/3
—
M. Hippolyte n 888.6
1.78/4
1.56/3
—
Donnell McNeilly n 827.3
1.74/0
0.41/0
—
AFC Wimbledon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Stockley n 887.5
2.67/7
14/4
M. Hippolyte n 888.6
1.57/5
0.43/0
A. Sasu n 856.8
1.45/1
0.42/0
Z. Nelson n 833.1
1.43/1
0.31/0
H. Cornick n 831.5
1.43/1
0.41/0
AFC Wimbledon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Stockley n 887.5
0.54/0
0.11/0
M. Hippolyte n 888.6
0.43/0
00/0
H. Cornick n 831.5
0.41/0
00/0
Donnell McNeilly n 827.3
00/0
0.41/0
J. Tilley n 873.8
00/0
0.32/0
AFC Wimbledon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Z. Nelson n 833.1
3.46/3
A. Yiadom n 860.9
3.37/5
J. Tilley n 873.8
2.17/4
A. Smith n 890
27/6
I. Ogundere n 880.4
27/4
AFC Wimbledon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bursik n 879.3
4.36/4
J. McDonnell n 890
2.96/5
Burton Albion
Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mark O’Mahony n 812
2.83/0
0.91/0
—
C. Tilt n 889.1
2.18/5
1.65/3
—
M. Dennis n 860.4
1.96/2
0.93/1
—
W. Collar n 858.3
1.95/3
0.84/0
—
Caylan Vickers n 851.4
1.85/2
0.42/0
—
Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Arubi n 869.1
3.78/6
1.65/4
Mark O’Mahony n 812
2.83/0
0.91/0
Zac Scutt n 823
2.42/1
1.52/1
M. Dennis n 860.4
2.26/4
0.74/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Arubi n 869.1
0.74/0
00/0
Caylan Vickers n 851.4
0.21/0
0.42/0
Zac Scutt n 823
0.51/0
00/0
K. Lofthouse n 889.9
00/0
0.43/0
F. Delap n 884.1
0.43/0
00/0
Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sulyman Krubally n 839.4
4.37/4
Emeka Adeile n 615.2
43/1
T. Sibbick n 884.4
3.56/6
J. Sraha n 835.8
2.84/1
Harvey Araujo n 849.8
2.54/4
Burton Albion — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Addai n 890
2.36/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind AFC Wimbledon v Burton Albion — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AFC WimbledonWDDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Burton AlbionDWLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AFC Wimbledon 0 · 2 draws · Burton Albion 4 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-09-02 Burton Albion 4–1 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2026-04-11 Burton Albion 1–0 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2025-10-25 AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Burton Albion
  • 2022-01-22 Burton Albion 1–1 AFC Wimbledon
  • 2021-10-02 AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Burton Albion
  • 2021-03-09 AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Burton Albion
League standing · 2026/27
AFC Wimbledon#15 pos12 pts10 pl-8 GD
Burton Albion#10 pos13 pts11 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
AFC Wimbledon scored0.7
Burton Albion scored1.45
AFC Wimbledon conceded1.5
Burton Albion conceded1.64

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between AFC Wimbledon and Burton Albion?
In their last 6 meetings, AFC Wimbledon won 0, Burton Albion won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AFC Wimbledon and Burton Albion?
Recent form — AFC Wimbledon 1W 2D 2L; Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L.

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