Free model picks
League One Predictions: Free Model Picks, Graded
12 League One fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool (Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT). 12 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Huddersfield lead the table on 29 points after 14 games, 3 points clear of Stockport County.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming League One fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.2% across 6M+ graded predictions (all markets, player markets included) — the full win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
Key Facts
Figures as of
League One’s top scorer is A. Collins with 13 goals, three goals ahead of J. Taylor (this season so far).
Goals per game in League One this season so far: 2.79, over 158 matches.
This Round at a Glance
- Strongest favourite among the free picks: Peterborough v Oxford United (Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT) — the free pick is Oxford United to win.
- Closest call: AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool (Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT) — the smallest gap of the round between the two sides’ chances of winning, by the model.
- Likeliest draw: AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool (Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT) — the highest draw chance of the round, by the model.
- Most goals among the free picks: Luton v Cambridge United (Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT) — the free pick is over 2.5 goals.
Each line ranks the model’s own probabilities for the round’s 12 matches (from Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT); the favourite and goals lines rank the free picks only. The probabilities themselves, and every market, are on each match page with Pro.
League One Matchweek Predictions
AFC Wimbledon are winless in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
Bromley are winless in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)
Leicester have scored in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
Luton have scored in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
Oxford United are unbeaten in their last 10 (all competitions we cover)
Barnsley are winless in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
Wycombe have scored in their last 16 (all competitions we cover)
What the Data Says About League One
TACTIX lists 12 upcoming League One fixtures in the next ten days, 12 of them with a free model pick — the single strongest lean in the 62–80% probability band — shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.2% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included); the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. In League One specifically, the last 30 days of settled free picks read 49 from 65, every result kept. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 7 Nov 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
12 fixtures in League One fall inside the next 10 days, starting with AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool (Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT). TACTIX’s free pick is posted on 12 of the 12 fixtures in the next 10 days; the remaining markets on every match are Pro. Recent record: the free League One pick landed 49 of 65 over the last 30 days (each free pick graded as shown).
The table so far
Huddersfield lead League One on 29 points from 14 games, three points clear of Stockport County (this season so far). League One is averaging 2.79 goals a game across 158 matches, this season so far. The scoring race: A. Collins on 13 goals, J. Taylor on 10.
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League One at a Glance
Long-run averages the model fits for League One — the baseline every League One match starts from before team form.
League One Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 | Reading | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge United | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 9 |
Current League One standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
Model record · last 30 Days
How the free (Bronze) League One pick shown on each match has settled over the last 30 days — every result, win or lose. 1-unit flat stakes at the price shown.
Season Leaders
Top Scorers
- A. Collins13 G
- J. Taylor10 G
- K. Wootton9 G
- J. Marriott8 G
- D. Sanches Fernandes7 G
Top Assists
How These Picks Work
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
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League One Player Stats
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See the Full Forecast
Win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets for every fixture.