Bradford v AFC Wimbledon result

Full-time · Bradford 3–2 AFC Wimbledon

League One · Sat, 30 Aug 2025 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bradford · AFC Wimbledon · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bradford 3–2 AFC Wimbledon — Bradford won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.6% of 171 landed (95% range 45.2–60%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Bradford beat AFC Wimbledon 3–2 in League One on Saturday 30 August. Bradford are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — AFC Wimbledon: Marcus Browne (25’, assisted by M. Stevens) and M. Stevens (53’, assisted by Nathan Asiimwe); Bradford: Joe Wright (32’), Bobby Pointon (61’) and Will Swan (83’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Will Swan’s goal on 83 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bradford 0.00, AFC Wimbledon 0.00, from 16 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Martin Coy, England showed one yellow card — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — AFC Wimbledon: Jake Reeves (78’).

What it changes

Bradford move up from fourth to second (six league matches played).

AFC Wimbledon move down from sixth to 10th (six league matches played).

It is Bradford’s first win over AFC Wimbledon since 14 October 2023, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 6, across 12 matches. Bradford have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Stevens (AFC Wimbledon) 7.7, Joe Wright (Bradford) 7.0 and Marcus Browne (AFC Wimbledon) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Bradford next travel to Burton Albion on 20 October 2026.

AFC Wimbledon next host Mansfield Town on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bradford: Burton Albion v Bradford, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for AFC Wimbledon: AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Bradford 3–2 AFC Wimbledon · League One
Referee: Martin Coy, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Bradford 1 · draws 4 · AFC Wimbledon 1 · 1 goals/game
Recent form: Bradford 4W 1D 0L · AFC Wimbledon 2W 1D 2L

Bradford 3–2 AFC Wimbledon (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.13

Goals

against 0.63 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 4.13

Corners

against 5.75 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 2.75

Shots on target

against 3.25 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 1.13

Cards

against 1.88 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Bradford for / against	Line	AFC Wimbledon for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.13 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.75 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.88 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.75 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Martin Coy, England.

Bradford

Bradford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Wright n 8	40.3	2.8 6/2	0.8 3/0	—
I. Touray n 8	84.4	2.4 8/6	1.1 4/2	M. Hippolyte
C. Tilt n 8	84.6	2 7/5	2.4 7/6	I. Ogundere
W. Swan n 8	47.5	1.9 4/4	0.7 2/1	—
C. Kavanagh n 8	85.3	1.8 8/5	1.3 6/3	—

Bradford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Humphrys n 8	63.3	3.6 8/6	2.3 6/4
A. Pattison n 8	57.6	2.1 7/4	1 4/1
W. Swan n 8	47.5	2.1 5/3	1.4 4/2
T. Wright n 8	40.3	2 4/2	0.8 2/1
C. Kavanagh n 8	85.3	1.6 7/2	0.9 4/1

Bradford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Swan n 8	47.5	0.9 4/0	0 0/0
S. Humphrys n 8	63.3	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0
G. Lapslie n 8	54.8	0.2 1/0	0.6 3/0
A. Pattison n 8	57.6	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
B. Halliday n 8	89.3	0.3 2/0	0.3 1/1

Bradford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Touray n 8	84.4	3.9 7/6
B. Halliday n 8	89.3	3.8 8/8
J. Neufville n 8	80.5	3.8 8/8
A. Pattison n 8	57.6	3.5 7/5
M. Power n 8	72.6	2.8 6/4

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Omar Bugiel n 8	43.3	4.7 5/5	3.1 5/4	—
M. Stevens n 8	63.6	1.9 7/4	2.1 7/3	—
M. Browne n 8	68.9	1.5 6/2	2.3 6/4	—
I. Ogundere n 8	81.4	1.4 6/3	0.6 3/1	C. Tilt
M. Hippolyte n 8	55.1	1.4 5/2	2.2 5/4	I. Touray

AFC Wimbledon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Omar Bugiel n 8	43.3	2.3 5/4	0.5 2/0
A. Sasu n 8	24.1	1.9 4/0	0.5 1/0
J. Tilley n 8	49.6	1.8 5/2	0.7 2/1
M. Stevens n 8	63.6	1.4 5/2	0.9 4/1
M. Browne n 8	68.9	1.3 5/3	0.3 2/0

AFC Wimbledon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Hippolyte n 8	55.1	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
A. Hackford n 8	37.3	0.6 2/0	0 0/0
M. Stevens n 8	63.6	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
Omar Bugiel n 8	43.3	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
N. Asiimwe n 8	79.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0

AFC Wimbledon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Neufville n 8	80.5	3.8 8/8
N. Asiimwe n 8	79.1	3.6 8/7
J. Tilley n 8	49.6	2.9 4/4
I. Ogundere n 8	81.4	2.6 8/5
C. Maycock n 8	39.4	2.6 3/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bradford		AFC Wimbledon
45%	Possession	55%
16	Shots	13
6	Shots on target	4
6	Shots off target	4
4	Blocked shots	5
9	Shots inside the box	7
7	Corners	2
2	Offsides	1
9	Fouls	13
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	4
324	Passes	390
60%	Pass accuracy	66%

Bradford player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
S. Walker	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
A. Baldwin	90	0	1	0	0	1	6
J. Wright	90	1	2	2	0	0	7.9
J. Neufville	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
T. Leigh	90	0	0	0	1	2	6.6
M. Power	90	0	0	0	3	3	7.5
I. Touray	90	0	0	0	1	2	6.7
C. Tilt	73	0	1	0	0	4	6.3
G. Lapslie	63	0	0	0	1	1	6.5
B. Pointon	63	1	3	2	1	1	7.3
S. Humphrys	63	0	2	1	1	1	6.9
N. Powell sub	27	0	1	0	1	2	6.9
A. Sarcevic sub	27	0	0	0	0	1	6.3
W. Swan sub	27	1	2	1	0	0	7.3
C. Kelly sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

AFC Wimbledon player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Bishop	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
N. Asiimwe	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
I. Ogundere	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5.9
R. Johnson	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
A. Smith	90	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	6.3
M. Hippolyte	90	0	0	1	1	3	1	0	6.3
J. Reeves	87	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.2
J. Lewis	86	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
S. Seddon	86	0	0	1	0	1	5	0	5.9
M. Browne	76	1	0	3	1	2	0	0	7.9
M. Stevens	76	1	1	1	1	2	0	0	7.2
A. Hackford sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Omar Bugiel sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
R. Harbottle sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
A. Sasu sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
C. Maycock sub	10	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bradford v AFC Wimbledon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BradfordWWWDW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

AFC WimbledonDWLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Bradford 1 · 4 draws · AFC Wimbledon 1 · 1 goals/game

2025-02-01 AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Bradford
2024-09-21 Bradford 0–0 AFC Wimbledon
2024-02-03 Bradford 0–0 AFC Wimbledon
2023-10-14 AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Bradford
2023-01-14 AFC Wimbledon 0–0 Bradford
2022-09-24 Bradford 2–2 AFC Wimbledon

League standing · 2025/26

Bradford#4 pos77 pts46 pl+7 GD

AFC Wimbledon#19 pos53 pts46 pl-21 GD

Goals per game

Bradford scored1.26

AFC Wimbledon scored1.11

Bradford conceded1.11

AFC Wimbledon conceded1.57

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Bradford v AFC Wimbledon?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bradford v AFC Wimbledon was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Bradford and AFC Wimbledon?: In their last 6 meetings, Bradford won 1, AFC Wimbledon won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bradford and AFC Wimbledon?: Recent form — Bradford 4W 1D 0L; AFC Wimbledon 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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