Milton Keynes Dons v Doncaster prediction

League One · · Stadium MK

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Milton Keynes Dons v Doncaster, League One on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Milton Keynes Dons host Doncaster in League One on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Milton Keynes Dons’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Form and the table

Nine of Milton Keynes Dons’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). At home, Milton Keynes Dons have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.29. Milton Keynes Dons have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Milton Keynes Dons have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Seven of Doncaster’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of Doncaster’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Doncaster have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.25. Doncaster have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Doncaster have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Milton Keynes Dons (18th) and Doncaster (17th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Doncaster the stronger side, 36 rating points above Milton Keynes Dons (Doncaster 1444, Milton Keynes Dons 1408, after at least 230 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Doncaster are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Milton Keynes Dons. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2025, finished Doncaster 2–1 Milton Keynes Dons.

Team news

Predicted Milton Keynes Dons XI (3-1-4-2): C. MacGillivray, C. Goode, C. Nelson, M. Ekpiteta, R. Wintle, A. Gilbey, C. Bramall, D. Barlaser, B. Wiles, S. Nombe, A. Collins — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Aaron Collins (4.9 per match over 10 appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Curtis Nelson (3.7 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Milton Keynes Dons’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Milton Keynes Dons (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Aaron Collins averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 670 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Curtis Nelson averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 784 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Doncaster XI (3-4-2-1): T. Simkin, N. Byrne, S. Grehan, J. McGrath, R. Gotts, O. Bailey, G. Broadbent, I. Hutchinson, L. Ayinde, T. O'Reilly, A. May — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Senior (4.5 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) and Alfie May (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Doncaster’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Doncaster (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Senior averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 816 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances. Alfie May averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 944 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League One · Stadium MK
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Milton Keynes Dons 1 · draws 1 · Doncaster 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Milton Keynes Dons 1W 3D 1L · Doncaster 2W 0D 3L

Milton Keynes Dons v Doncaster (League One): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5
Corners
against 6 / 7.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMilton Keynes Dons for / againstLineDoncaster for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 7.13 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 17.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Hepburn-Murphy n 823.6
2.94/2
1.94/0
—
J. Matete n 823.5
2.94/2
1.43/0
—
A. Gilbey n 866.5
2.77/6
13/2
—
S. Nombe n 884.1
25/5
1.27/1
—
C. Nelson n 885.6
1.66/4
0.11/0
—
Milton Keynes Dons — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Collins n 871.4
37/6
1.16/1
I. Fullah n 832.5
2.14/1
0.72/0
C. Paterson n 856.9
1.85/4
0.63/0
A. Gilbey n 866.5
1.76/3
0.84/1
D. Crowley n 832.9
1.43/1
0.31/0
Milton Keynes Dons — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Collins n 871.4
0.96/0
0.21/0
C. Paterson n 856.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. Silvera n 827.3
00/0
0.41/0
D. Crowley n 832.9
00/0
0.31/0
A. Gilbey n 866.5
0.21/0
00/0
Milton Keynes Dons — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Matete n 823.5
3.86/2
M. Ekpiteta n 875.9
2.56/5
A. Gilbey n 866.5
2.46/4
I. Fullah n 832.5
2.14/2
S. Silvera n 827.3
2.13/1
Milton Keynes Dons — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Dennis n 890
3.67/4
C. MacGillivray n 891.1
3.27/3
Doncaster
Doncaster — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Thomas n 828.9
3.54/3
0.82/0
—
B. McCann n 527.8
2.63/1
1.32/0
—
Bayley McCann n 826.3
2.65/1
1.73/1
—
T. O'Reilly n 861.6
2.25/4
1.36/1
—
O. Bailey n 881.9
1.56/3
1.47/2
—
Doncaster — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Hutchinson n 854.8
2.77/5
14/1
A. May n 883.8
2.48/5
1.16/2
H. Adelakun n 842.8
1.63/3
0.52/0
J. Thomas n 828.9
1.63/1
00/0
L. Ayinde n 846.9
1.43/1
0.73/0
Doncaster — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. McCann n 527.8
00/0
1.32/0
I. Hutchinson n 854.8
0.63/0
00/0
J. Senior n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. May n 883.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Ayinde n 846.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Doncaster — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Nixon n 852
36/4
J. Senior n 890
2.87/6
D. Robinson n 847.3
1.94/3
J. Thomas n 828.9
1.93/2
R. Gotts n 885.9
1.68/2
Doncaster — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Tommy Simkin n 890
2.96/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Milton Keynes Dons v Doncaster — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Milton Keynes DonsDDDLW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
DoncasterLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Milton Keynes Dons 1 · 1 draw · Doncaster 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-02-01 Doncaster 2–1 Milton Keynes Dons
  • 2024-09-21 Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Doncaster
  • 2024-01-01 Doncaster 3–0 Milton Keynes Dons
  • 2023-08-26 Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 Doncaster
  • 2022-01-22 Milton Keynes Dons 0–1 Doncaster
  • 2021-10-02 Doncaster 2–1 Milton Keynes Dons
League standing · 2026/27
Milton Keynes Dons#18 pos9 pts9 pl-5 GD
Doncaster#17 pos9 pts9 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Milton Keynes Dons scored1.22
Doncaster scored1.11
Milton Keynes Dons conceded1.78
Doncaster conceded1.22

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Milton Keynes Dons and Doncaster?
In their last 6 meetings, Milton Keynes Dons won 1, Doncaster won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Milton Keynes Dons and Doncaster?
Recent form — Milton Keynes Dons 1W 3D 1L; Doncaster 2W 0D 3L.

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