Northampton v Exeter City result

Full-time · Northampton 2–0 Exeter City

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Northampton · Exeter City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Northampton 2–0 Exeter City — Northampton won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Northampton beat Exeter City 2–0 in League One on Saturday 23 August.

The goals

Northampton led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Northampton: Ethan Wheatley (1’, assisted by Nesta Guinness-Walker) and Max Dyche (16’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ethan Wheatley’s goal on 1 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Northampton 0.00, Exeter City 0.00, from 10 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Duckworth showed four yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Exeter City: Sonny Cox (43’), Jake Doyle-Hayes (77’), E. Turns (79’) and Joshua Magennis (90+3’).

What it changes

Northampton move up from 21st to 18th (five league matches played).

Exeter City move down from 11th to 14th (five league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nesta Guinness-Walker (Northampton) 8.1, Max Dyche (Northampton) 5.9 and Ethan Wheatley (Northampton) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Northampton next host Tranmere on 20 October 2026.

Exeter City next host Crewe on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Northampton: Northampton v Tranmere, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Exeter City: Exeter City v Crewe, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Northampton 2–0 Exeter City · League One
  • Referee: E. Duckworth
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Northampton 3 · draws 2 · Exeter City 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Northampton 0W 1D 4L · Exeter City 2W 0D 3L

Northampton 2–0 Exeter City (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.67 / 5.17
Corners
against 4.33 / 5.17 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
2.83 / 3.17
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 5.17 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.67 / 1.83
Cards
against 2.67 / 1.83 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3 yellows
Referee · E. Duckworth
1.45 home / 1.55 away
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNorthampton for / againstLineExeter City for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.67 for · 4.33 against n 6
9.5standard
5.17 for · 5.17 against n 6
Shots
8.83 for · 12.67 against n 6
19.5standard
8.83 for · 13 against n 6
Shots on target
2.83 for · 3.5 against n 6
8.5standard
3.17 for · 5.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
12.17 for · 13.17 against n 6
21.5standard
11.17 for · 10 against n 6
Cards shown
1.67 for · 2.67 against n 6
3.5standard
1.83 for · 1.83 against n 6

Referee: E. Duckworth — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 21.45 fouls over 11 matches (1.45 to the home side, 1.55 to the away side).

Northampton
Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jack Perkins n 350
32/2
1.21/1
—
J. Wormleighton n 349.7
2.42/2
32/1
—
T. Magloire n 846.3
2.24/4
0.52/0
—
D. Costelloe n 868.4
2.16/4
15/1
—
Ben Perry n 869.9
1.95/3
3.16/6
—
Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Roberts n 863.9
2.16/2
0.94/1
C. McGeehan n 883.4
1.67/3
1.17/1
T. Fosu n 841.4
1.65/1
1.44/1
S. Hoskins n 877
1.55/3
0.62/1
E. List n 843.6
1.54/2
0.31/0
Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Pinnock n 889.1
00/0
0.32/0
S. Hoskins n 877
0.31/1
00/0
T. Fosu n 841.4
0.31/0
00/0
A. McGowan n 872.5
0.21/0
00/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 864
00/0
0.21/0
Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Magloire n 846.3
3.26/4
J. Burroughs n 852.4
36/4
Ben Perry n 869.9
2.97/6
N. Guinness-Walker n 864
2.85/4
T. Taylor n 870
2.45/3
Exeter City
Exeter City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Wareham n 865.5
2.16/4
1.76/2
—
J. Doyle-Hayes n 884.8
1.96/3
0.42/1
—
Kevin McDonald n 852.4
1.95/2
00/0
—
J. Richards n 854
1.75/2
1.56/1
—
J. Aitchison n 852.5
1.76/1
3.26/5
—
Exeter City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Wareham n 865.5
1.75/3
0.94/1
A. Oluwabori n 723
1.72/1
0.61/0
R. Cole n 864.3
1.64/2
0.94/1
S. Cox n 861.9
1.14/1
0.42/0
T. Dean n 840.6
0.83/0
0.31/0
Exeter City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Wareham n 865.5
0.52/1
0.21/0
R. Cole n 864.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
A. Oluwabori n 723
0.61/0
00/0
J. Magennis n 862
0.42/0
00/0
J. Doyle-Hayes n 884.8
00/0
0.32/0
Exeter City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Aitchison n 852.5
2.48/3
R. Woods n 862.1
2.24/4
R. Rydel n 845.4
2.24/3
E. Turns n 884.4
2.17/6
A. Hartridge n 890
1.97/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NorthamptonExeter City
36%Possession64%
10Shots6
3Shots on target1
6Shots off target3
1Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box3
1Corners4
1Offsides5
9Fouls15
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves1
267Passes470
66%Pass accuracy81%

Northampton player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Burge9000000006.7
C. McCarthy9000000006.9
M. Dyche9010211108.3
S. Hoskins9000000006.9
D. Campbell9000000107.2
T. Taylor9000000107.3
T. Fornah9000202206.7
N. Guinness-Walker7201002408.3
C. McGeehan6600201006.9
E. Wheatley6610220007.3
Jack Perkins5100000206.3
J. Burroughs sub4000000206.9
E. List sub2500100106.6
T. Eaves sub2500000006.2
J. Wormleighton sub1900000106.9

Exeter City player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Whitworth9000000006.6
E. Turns90000012Y6.3
J. Fitzwater9000200006.9
I. Niskanen9000001106.3
E. Brierley9000110006.3
J. Aitchison9000000006.6
J. McMillan8200000206.6
R. Rydel8200001106.3
J. Wareham6500000106.5
S. Cox57000001Y6.7
E. Francis4500000006.7
J. Doyle-Hayes sub45001001Y6.6
J. Magennis sub34000000Y6.2
George Birch sub2600000106.5
L. Woodhouse sub900000006.9
K. Wilson sub900000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Northampton v Exeter City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NorthamptonLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Exeter CityLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Northampton 3 · 2 draws · Exeter City 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-03-01 Exeter City 1–1 Northampton
  • 2024-08-17 Northampton 2–1 Exeter City
  • 2024-04-20 Northampton 1–2 Exeter City
  • 2023-09-30 Exeter City 0–2 Northampton
  • 2022-04-30 Northampton 1–1 Exeter City
  • 2021-12-07 Exeter City 1–2 Northampton
League standing · 2025/26
Northampton#24 pos35 pts46 pl-35 GD
Exeter City#21 pos49 pts46 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Northampton scored0.85
Exeter City scored1.13
Northampton conceded1.61
Exeter City conceded1.33

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Northampton v Exeter City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Northampton v Exeter City was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Northampton and Exeter City?
In their last 6 meetings, Northampton won 3, Exeter City won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Northampton and Exeter City?
Recent form — Northampton 0W 1D 4L; Exeter City 2W 0D 3L.

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