Notts County v Stockport County prediction

League One · · Meadow Lane

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Notts County v Stockport County, League One on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.18 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 1356 landed (95% range 64.9–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Notts County host Stockport County in League One on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Stockport County, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Stockport County have scored 23 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Stockport County are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Four of Notts County’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in eight of Notts County’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Notts County have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.75. Notts County have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Notts County have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Seven of Stockport County’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Stockport County’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Stockport County have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.00. Stockport County have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Notts County (18th) and Stockport County (first) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Stockport County the stronger side, 172 rating points above Notts County (Stockport County 1671, Notts County 1499, after at least 10 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Stockport County are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Notts County. The most recent meeting, on 16 April 2024, finished Notts County 2–5 Stockport County.

Team news

Predicted Notts County XI (3-4-2-1): J. Belshaw, J. Bedeau, L. Ness, J. Gibbons, N. Tsaroulla, R. Finneran, D. Lipsiuc, J. Evans, I. Samuels-Smith, C. Grant, C. Roberts — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Oliver Cooper (4.7 per match over nine appearances, three goals) and Rory Finneran (3.4 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Notts County’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Notts County (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Oliver Cooper averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 707 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Rory Finneran averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 663 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Stockport County XI (3-4-3): O. Whatmuff, E. O'Connell, E. Pye, K. Gordon, O. Norwood, R. Glover, L. Bate, B. Osborn, K. Wootton, J. Diamond, H. Wood — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kyle Wootton (5.4 per match over 12 appearances, 10 goals and one assist) and Jack Diamond (4.7 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been Stockport County’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stockport County (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kyle Wootton averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1036 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Jack Diamond averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 953 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League One · Meadow Lane
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Notts County 2 · draws 1 · Stockport County 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Notts County 1W 0D 4L · Stockport County 4W 1D 0L

Notts County v Stockport County (League One): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 7
Corners
against 4.38 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.13
Cards
against 2.63 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNotts County for / againstLineStockport County for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
16.13 for · 8.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.13 for · 15 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2 against n 8
Notts County
Notts County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Ndlovu n 829.5
3.86/4
3.17/1
—
H. Mustapha n 842.9
2.66/3
1.86/1
—
D. Lipsiuc n 864.4
2.47/4
1.75/3
—
Rory Finneran n 880.9
2.27/5
1.77/4
—
O. Cooper n 880.1
2.27/5
2.77/7
—
Notts County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Smyth n 850.1
2.56/2
1.34/1
Maziar Kouhyar n 822.9
23/1
00/0
D. Kanu n 859
1.74/2
0.61/1
C. Roberts n 851.5
1.76/2
1.14/1
Rory Finneran n 880.9
1.46/3
0.32/0
Notts County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 863.6
00/0
0.53/0
O. Cooper n 880.1
0.43/0
00/0
L. Smyth n 850.1
0.41/1
00/0
Rory Finneran n 880.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Lipsiuc n 864.4
0.21/0
00/0
Notts County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Samuels-Smith n 841.5
6.87/6
O. Cooper n 880.1
3.77/7
C. Grant n 838.4
3.27/4
D. Lipsiuc n 864.4
37/5
Rory Finneran n 880.9
2.57/6
Notts County — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Belshaw n 890.9
2.15/3
Stockport County
Stockport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Mandron n 816
3.53/2
0.71/0
—
Adama Sidibeh n 859
2.76/4
0.84/0
—
Ethan Ennis n 844.1
27/1
00/0
—
T. Edun n 866.6
1.55/2
0.53/0
—
J. Adigun n 829.9
1.52/2
2.35/1
—
Stockport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Mandron n 816
4.95/2
2.13/0
J. Adigun n 829.9
4.57/2
1.93/2
K. Wootton n 884.8
3.58/8
1.67/5
J. Diamond n 880.4
2.27/4
0.64/0
H. Wood n 863.1
2.18/3
0.73/1
Stockport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Mandron n 816
1.42/0
00/0
K. Wootton n 884.8
0.96/1
00/0
J. Adigun n 829.9
00/0
0.81/1
Benoný Breki Andrésson n 816.4
00/0
0.71/0
Adama Sidibeh n 859
0.42/0
0.21/0
Stockport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Edun n 866.6
3.57/5
Kyron Silveria Gordon n 890
2.68/6
E. Pye n 890
2.18/4
L. Bate n 871.1
2.17/5
L. Fiorini n 821.5
2.13/1
Stockport County — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Ashby-Hammond n 889
3.26/5
Oliver Whatmuff n 890
2.44/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Notts County v Stockport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Notts CountyLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Stockport CountyDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Notts County 2 · 1 draw · Stockport County 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2024-04-16 Notts County 2–5 Stockport County
  • 2023-12-22 Stockport County 2–1 Notts County
  • 2022-03-15 Stockport County 3–0 Notts County
  • 2021-10-23 Notts County 2–1 Stockport County
  • 2021-02-23 Stockport County 0–0 Notts County
  • 2020-12-15 Notts County 1–0 Stockport County
League standing · 2026/27
Notts County#18 pos10 pts10 pl-3 GD
Stockport County#1 pos22 pts11 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
Notts County scored1
Stockport County scored2.09
Notts County conceded1.3
Stockport County conceded1

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Notts County v Stockport County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Notts County v Stockport County is Draw or Away (best price 1.18 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Notts County and Stockport County?
In their last 6 meetings, Notts County won 2, Stockport County won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Notts County and Stockport County?
Recent form — Notts County 1W 0D 4L; Stockport County 4W 1D 0L.

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