Plymouth v Milton Keynes Dons prediction

League One · · Home Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Plymouth v Milton Keynes Dons, League One on Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Plymouth host Milton Keynes Dons in League One on Tuesday 29 December (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Milton Keynes Dons’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Form and the table

Eight of Plymouth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Plymouth’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Plymouth have five wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 1.33. Plymouth have scored 18 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Plymouth have conceded 14 goals, the 12th-most of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Milton Keynes Dons’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Away from home, Milton Keynes Dons have one win, five draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.88. Milton Keynes Dons have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Milton Keynes Dons have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Plymouth (fourth) and Milton Keynes Dons (18th) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Plymouth the stronger side, 186 rating points above Milton Keynes Dons (Plymouth 1594, Milton Keynes Dons 1408, after at least 230 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 January 2023, finished Plymouth 3–1 Milton Keynes Dons.

Team news

Predicted Plymouth XI (4-4-2): M. Mahoney, W. Harding, A. Mitchell, M. Sorinola, J. Pleguezuelo, H. White, R. Curtis, O. Irow, T. Bakinson, W. Evans, A. Pepple — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Harvey White (4.0 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and three assists) and Ronan Curtis (3.9 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Plymouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Plymouth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Harvey White averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1144 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Ronan Curtis averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 945 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Milton Keynes Dons XI (3-1-4-2): C. MacGillivray, C. Goode, C. Nelson, M. Ekpiteta, R. Wintle, A. Gilbey, C. Bramall, D. Barlaser, B. Wiles, S. Nombe, A. Collins — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Aaron Collins (4.9 per match over 10 appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Curtis Nelson (3.7 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Milton Keynes Dons’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Milton Keynes Dons (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Aaron Collins averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 675 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Curtis Nelson averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 784 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League One · Home Park
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Plymouth 3 · draws 1 · Milton Keynes Dons 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Plymouth 3W 0D 2L · Milton Keynes Dons 1W 3D 1L

Plymouth v Milton Keynes Dons (League One): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.5
Corners
against 6 / 6 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 2.88
Shots on target
against 4 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.63
Cards
against 2 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePlymouth for / againstLineMilton Keynes Dons for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
14.88 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.25 for · 17 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
2.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 9.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Plymouth
Plymouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Ross n 854.4
3.16/4
13/1
—
M. Sorinola n 855.9
2.46/4
2.67/3
—
R. Curtis n 872.5
2.37/5
2.37/4
—
W. Evans n 884.6
1.98/5
0.53/1
—
B. Ibrahim n 847.3
1.94/2
0.21/0
—
Plymouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Owen Oseni n 843.6
3.46/3
2.34/3
C. Watts n 834.8
3.25/4
1.64/1
X. Amaechi n 831
2.96/1
1.13/0
O. Irow n 866
2.78/5
1.45/3
A. Pepple n 878
2.68/4
16/1
Plymouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Owen Oseni n 843.6
0.82/1
0.31/0
C. Watts n 834.8
0.62/0
0.31/0
X. Amaechi n 831
0.72/0
00/0
A. Pepple n 878
0.64/0
00/0
R. Curtis n 872.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
Plymouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Ibrahim n 847.3
46/4
J. MacKenzie n 849.1
3.98/6
X. Amaechi n 831
3.66/3
M. Sorinola n 855.9
2.66/5
J. Edwards n 843.6
2.65/4
Plymouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Mahoney n 890
2.66/4
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Hepburn-Murphy n 823.6
2.94/2
1.94/0
—
J. Matete n 823.5
2.94/2
1.43/0
—
A. Gilbey n 866.5
2.77/6
13/2
—
S. Nombe n 884.1
25/5
1.27/1
—
C. Nelson n 885.6
1.66/4
0.11/0
—
Milton Keynes Dons — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Collins n 872
37/6
1.16/1
I. Fullah n 832.5
2.14/1
0.72/0
C. Paterson n 856.9
1.85/4
0.63/0
A. Gilbey n 866.5
1.76/3
0.84/1
D. Crowley n 832.9
1.43/1
0.31/0
Milton Keynes Dons — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Collins n 872
0.96/0
0.21/0
C. Paterson n 856.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. Silvera n 827.3
00/0
0.41/0
D. Crowley n 832.9
00/0
0.31/0
A. Gilbey n 866.5
0.21/0
00/0
Milton Keynes Dons — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Matete n 823.5
3.86/2
M. Ekpiteta n 875.9
2.56/5
A. Gilbey n 866.5
2.46/4
I. Fullah n 832.5
2.14/2
S. Silvera n 827.3
2.13/1
Milton Keynes Dons — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Dennis n 890
3.67/4
C. MacGillivray n 891.1
3.27/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Plymouth v Milton Keynes Dons — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PlymouthWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Milton Keynes DonsDDDLW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Plymouth 3 · 1 draw · Milton Keynes Dons 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2023-01-01 Plymouth 3–1 Milton Keynes Dons
  • 2022-10-15 Milton Keynes Dons 1–4 Plymouth
  • 2022-04-30 Plymouth 0–5 Milton Keynes Dons
  • 2021-12-08 Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Plymouth
  • 2021-03-16 Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 Plymouth
  • 2020-12-19 Plymouth 1–0 Milton Keynes Dons
League standing · 2026/27
Plymouth#4 pos19 pts11 pl+4 GD
Milton Keynes Dons#18 pos9 pts9 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Plymouth scored1.64
Milton Keynes Dons scored1.22
Plymouth conceded1.27
Milton Keynes Dons conceded1.78

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Plymouth and Milton Keynes Dons?
In their last 6 meetings, Plymouth won 3, Milton Keynes Dons won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Plymouth and Milton Keynes Dons?
Recent form — Plymouth 3W 0D 2L; Milton Keynes Dons 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →