Dumbarton v East Kilbride result

Full-time · Dumbarton 0–1 East Kilbride

League Two – Scotland ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Dumbarton 0–1 East Kilbride — East Kilbride won this League Two – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

East Kilbride won 1–0 at Dumbarton in League Two – Scotland on Saturday 25 April.

The goals

East Kilbride led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — East Kilbride: B. McLuckie (9’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with B. McLuckie’s goal on 9 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Dumbarton: T. Joseph (58’) and J. Duncan (90+2’); East Kilbride: João Baldé (90’) and B. McLuckie (90+2’).

What it changes

East Kilbride recorded the only away win among the five finished matches of round 35.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Dumbarton or East Kilbride (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Dumbarton next host Keith on 24 October 2026.

East Kilbride next travel to Cove Rangers on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dumbarton: Dumbarton v Keith, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for East Kilbride: Cove Rangers v East Kilbride, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Dumbarton 0–1 East Kilbride · League Two – Scotland
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Dumbarton 1 · draws 2 · East Kilbride 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Dumbarton 2W 2D 1L · East Kilbride 3W 1D 1L

Dumbarton 0–1 East Kilbride (League Two – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Dumbarton v East Kilbride — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DumbartonWDDWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
East KilbrideWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Dumbarton 1 · 2 draws · East Kilbride 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-21 East Kilbride 3–1 Dumbarton
  • 2025-12-13 Dumbarton 2–0 East Kilbride
  • 2025-09-20 East Kilbride 1–1 Dumbarton
  • 2024-07-13 Dumbarton 1–1 East Kilbride
League standing · 2025/26
Dumbarton#9 pos35 pts36 pl-14 GD
East Kilbride#1 pos69 pts36 pl+31 GD
Goals per game
Dumbarton scored1.31
East Kilbride scored2.14
Dumbarton conceded1.69
East Kilbride conceded1.28

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Dumbarton v East Kilbride?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dumbarton v East Kilbride was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Dumbarton and East Kilbride?
In their last 4 meetings, Dumbarton won 1, East Kilbride won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dumbarton and East Kilbride?
Recent form — Dumbarton 2W 2D 1L; East Kilbride 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

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