Forfar Athletic v East Kilbride result

Full-time · Forfar Athletic 1–0 East Kilbride

League Two – Scotland · · Station Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Forfar Athletic 1–0 East Kilbride — Forfar Athletic won this League Two – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.3% of 1371 landed (95% range 64.7–69.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Forfar Athletic beat East Kilbride 1–0 at Station Park in League Two – Scotland on Saturday 11 April.

The goals

Forfar Athletic led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Forfar Athletic: S. Morrison (7’, assisted by C. Slater).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Morrison’s goal on 7 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Forfar Athletic: S. Shepherd (51’); East Kilbride: J. Robertson (49’), J. Leitch (62’), J. McGregor (76’) and S. Fagan (83’).

What it changes

Forfar Athletic move up from fifth to fourth (33 league matches played).

East Kilbride stay first after this result (33 league matches played).

Forfar Athletic are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or East Kilbride, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (922 of 1371).

Next up

Forfar Athletic next travel to Bo'ness United on 24 October 2026.

East Kilbride next travel to Cove Rangers on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Forfar Athletic: Bo'ness United v Forfar Athletic, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for East Kilbride: Cove Rangers v East Kilbride, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Forfar Athletic 1–0 East Kilbride · League Two – Scotland
  • Venue: Station Park · Forfar
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Forfar Athletic 0 · draws 0 · East Kilbride 3 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Forfar Athletic 1W 2D 2L · East Kilbride 3W 1D 1L

Forfar Athletic 1–0 East Kilbride (League Two – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Forfar Athletic v East Kilbride — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Forfar AthleticLDLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
East KilbrideWLWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Forfar Athletic 0 · 0 draws · East Kilbride 3 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-01-31 East Kilbride 3–1 Forfar Athletic
  • 2025-12-06 Forfar Athletic 0–3 East Kilbride
  • 2025-08-30 East Kilbride 5–0 Forfar Athletic
League standing · 2025/26
Forfar Athletic#4 pos50 pts36 pl+4 GD
East Kilbride#1 pos69 pts36 pl+31 GD
Goals per game
Forfar Athletic scored1.42
East Kilbride scored2.14
Forfar Athletic conceded1.31
East Kilbride conceded1.28

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Forfar Athletic v East Kilbride?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Forfar Athletic v East Kilbride was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Forfar Athletic and East Kilbride?
In their last 3 meetings, Forfar Athletic won 0, East Kilbride won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Forfar Athletic and East Kilbride?
Recent form — Forfar Athletic 1W 2D 2L; East Kilbride 3W 1D 1L.

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