Accrington ST v Barnet prediction

League Two · · The Wham Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Accrington ST vs Barnet, League Two on Sat, 20 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

Form and momentum

Barnet have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every match in the last 15 results. Barnet are unbeaten in their last eight matches (last 15 results). 14 of Barnet’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (93%). Both teams scored in every one of Barnet’s last 15 results (100%).

Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last four matches (last 15 results). Ten of Accrington ST’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in ten of Accrington ST’s last 15 results (67%).

The shape of the game

At home, Accrington ST have two wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches — 1.67 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.50. Accrington ST have scored 13 goals, the 8th-highest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Accrington ST have conceded 14 goals, the 17th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

At away, Barnet have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches — 2.13 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.50. Barnet have scored 20 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Barnet have conceded eleven goals, the 8th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Accrington ST (15th) and Barnet (2nd) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Barnet the stronger side, 311 rating points above Accrington ST (1412 v 1722, after at least 100 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Barnet are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Accrington ST (last 6 meetings). The most recent meeting, on 12 September 2026, finished Barnet 2–1 Accrington ST.

Players to watch

By TACTIX Impact, J. Woods (4.0 per match over ten appearances, three goals and one assist) and C. Caton (3.8 per match over eight appearances, five goals) have been Accrington ST’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Accrington ST: J. Woods 2.2 shots per 90 (876 minutes), a shot in 8 of the last 10 appearances; C. Caton 4.0 shots per 90 (524 minutes), a shot in 8 of the last 8 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

By TACTIX Impact, C. Lakin (5.8 per match over nine appearances, six goals and two assists) and K. Tshimanga (5.2 per match over nine appearances, five goals and five assists) have been Barnet’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Barnet: C. Lakin 2.5 key passes per 90 (792 minutes), a key pass in 8 of the last 9 appearances; K. Tshimanga 1.5 shots per 90 (805 minutes), a shot in 7 of the last 9 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

Predicted line-ups

Predicted Accrington ST XI (3-1-4-2): L. Moulden, Devon Matthews, Joseph Anderson, S. Conneely, D. Tutonda, D. Love, L. Coyle, Stefan Mols, C. O'Brien, T. Walton, J. Woods — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted Barnet XI (4-2-3-1): M. Cox, D. Collinge, A. Senior, Z. Williams, N. Tavares, O. Gallagher, C. Lakin, B. Comley, N. Ofoborh, I. Kanu, K. Tshimanga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

TACTIX runs Accrington ST vs Barnet (League Two) through its calibrated model across every major market, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6.13
Corners
against 4.63 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.88 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAccrington ST for / againstLineBarnet for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.13 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.75 for · 15 against n 8
Cards shown
3.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 3 against n 8
Accrington ST
Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Walton n 871.1
36/5
1.46/3
—
S. Whalley n 867.5
2.26/5
1.26/1
—
Alex Henderson n 843.1
2.15/2
0.83/0
—
J. Catesby n 314
2.11/0
00/0
—
Devon Matthews n 888
1.98/5
0.96/1
—
Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Caton n 865.5
48/6
2.16/3
Alex Henderson n 843.1
3.44/3
14/0
C. Stockton n 824.6
2.75/1
0.92/0
C. Warren n 738.3
2.44/2
1.33/1
J. Woods n 887.4
2.16/3
0.64/1
Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Caton n 865.5
0.93/2
00/0
C. Warren n 738.3
0.71/1
00/0
Stefan Mols n 857.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
J. Woods n 887.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
T. Walton n 871.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Catesby n 314
4.31/1
D. Tutonda n 875
37/5
Joseph Anderson n 890
2.37/6
Aidan Borland n 873.1
2.26/3
D. Love n 881.9
1.98/4
Accrington ST — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Moulden n 890
2.86/5
Barnet
Barnet — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Maskell n 614.8
6.14/2
22/0
—
I. Williams n 512.4
5.83/1
00/0
—
I. Kanu n 875.8
2.57/5
2.86/5
—
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
27/4
0.86/0
—
K. Smith n 834.4
24/2
13/0
—
Barnet — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Lakin n 887.8
2.38/6
1.46/3
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
T. Knowles n 854.3
1.96/2
0.84/0
A. Senior n 890
1.55/4
0.43/0
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
1.56/3
0.85/1
Barnet — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
0.54/0
0.65/0
C. Lakin n 887.8
0.85/1
0.32/0
J. Maskell n 614.8
00/0
11/0
K. Smith n 834.4
00/0
0.72/0
T. Knowles n 854.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
Barnet — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Williams n 512.4
5.83/1
J. Maskell n 614.8
43/1
D. Ajayi n 838.9
2.96/2
K. Smith n 834.4
2.64/2
J. Maskell n 323.3
2.61/1
Barnet — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Cox n 890
2.35/5

TACTIX model preview

The TACTIX model has priced Accrington ST vs Barnet across every betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:

Today’s free pick for this match posts shortly before kick-off.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Accrington ST v Barnet — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Accrington STLDDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
BarnetDDWWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Accrington ST 2 · 1 draw · Barnet 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-09-12 Barnet 2–1 Accrington ST
  • 2026-02-24 Accrington ST 0–1 Barnet
  • 2025-10-04 Barnet 2–0 Accrington ST
  • 2022-11-26 Accrington ST 1–0 Barnet
  • 2018-02-17 Barnet 1–1 Accrington ST
  • 2017-10-28 Accrington ST 4–1 Barnet
League standing · 2026/27
Accrington ST#15 pos11 pts10 pl-1 GD
Barnet#2 pos18 pts8 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Accrington ST scored1.3
Barnet scored2.5
Accrington ST conceded1.4
Barnet conceded1.38

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Accrington ST and Barnet?
In their last 6 meetings, Accrington ST won 2, Barnet won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Accrington ST and Barnet?
Recent form — Accrington ST 1W 3D 1L; Barnet 3W 2D 0L.

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