Cambridge United v Newport County result

Full-time · Cambridge United 2–0 Newport County

League Two · Sat, 30 Aug 2025 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cambridge United · Newport County · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Cambridge United 2–0 Newport County — Cambridge United won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.4% of 170 landed (95% range 44.9–59.7%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Cambridge United beat Newport County 2–0 in League Two on Saturday 30 August. Newport County have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Cambridge United led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Cambridge United: Kelland Watts (38’, assisted by Sulaiman Kaikai) and James Brophy (75’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kelland Watts’s goal on 38 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Cambridge United 0.00, Newport County 0.00, from 10 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Newport County: A. Driscoll-Glennon (60’).

What it changes

Cambridge United move up from 11th to 10th (six league matches played).

Newport County move down from 16th to 20th (six league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sulaiman Kaikai (Cambridge United) 5.7, Kelland Watts (Cambridge United) 5.6 and James Brophy (Cambridge United) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Cambridge United next host Plymouth on 24 October 2026.

Newport County next travel to Cheltenham on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cambridge United: Cambridge United v Plymouth, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Newport County: Cheltenham v Newport County, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Cambridge United 2–0 Newport County · League Two
Referee: Gareth Rhodes,
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Cambridge United 3 · draws 1 · Newport County 2 · 1.5 goals/game
Recent form: Cambridge United 3W 1D 1L · Newport County 1W 0D 4L

Cambridge United 2–0 Newport County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 2.88

Corners

against 3.13 / 6.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 2.25

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 5.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Cambridge United for / against	Line	Newport County for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	2.88 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.13 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9.5 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.25 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.38 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Cambridge United

Cambridge United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Loft n 8	21.9	4.6 4/3	1 2/0	—
E. Kachunga n 8	59	2.5 6/3	1 4/1	—
D. Ball n 8	64.8	2.3 6/3	0.9 4/1	B. Lloyd
K. Kouassi n 8	41.9	1.6 5/1	1.9 4/3	—
L. Appéré n 8	73.3	1.4 6/3	0.9 4/2	—

Cambridge United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Lavery n 8	52.4	2.6 7/3	1.3 5/1
S. Kaikai n 8	76	1.6 7/3	0.6 3/1
J. Brophy n 8	70.1	1.6 6/2	1 5/1
B. Knight n 8	57.1	1.6 4/2	0.6 1/1
R. Loft n 8	21.9	1.5 3/0	1 2/0

Cambridge United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Lavery n 8	52.4	0.6 2/1	0.4 2/0
R. Loft n 8	21.9	0.5 1/0	0.5 1/0
Z. Bradshaw n 8	30	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
K. Kouassi n 8	41.9	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
L. Appéré n 8	73.3	0.5 3/0	0 0/0

Cambridge United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Gibbons n 8	69	3.4 7/5
S. McLoughlin n 8	66.6	2.7 8/3
B. Stevenson n 8	90	2.4 6/5
B. Purrington n 8	62.6	2 5/4
L. Bennett n 8	72.5	1.9 6/3

Newport County

Newport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Whitmore n 8	69.9	3.9 8/7	1 4/2	—
C. Baker-Richardson n 8	36.1	2.5 5/2	2.2 5/1	—
K. Hudlin n 8	45.6	2.2 5/2	2 5/2	—
T. Davies n 8	77.6	1.9 7/4	0.7 3/2	—
B. Lloyd n 6	51.2	1.8 4/2	0.6 2/0	D. Ball

Newport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Kamwa n 8	63.6	1.4 5/2	0.2 1/0
M. Spellman n 8	32.4	1.4 2/1	0.3 1/0
G. Garner n 8	42.5	1.3 3/2	0.5 2/0
A. Driscoll-Glennon n 8	67.8	1 4/2	0.7 2/2
M. Reindorf n 8	59	1 4/1	1 4/1

Newport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
O. Greaves n 8	43.1	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
K. Hudlin n 8	45.6	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
G. Garner n 8	42.5	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
L. Shephard n 8	79.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
B. Lloyd n 6	51.2	0 0/0	0.3 1/0

Newport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Lloyd n 6	51.2	2.9 3/3
K. Whitmore n 8	69.9	2.7 8/5
S. McLoughlin n 8	66.6	2.7 8/3
T. Davies n 8	77.6	2.6 7/4
H. Ogunneye n 5	73.6	2.4 5/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Cambridge United		Newport County
55%	Possession	45%
10	Shots	4
3	Shots on target	2
4	Shots off target	1
3	Blocked shots	1
7	Shots inside the box	3
7	Corners	4
3	Offsides	3
10	Fouls	14
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	1
437	Passes	362
76%	Pass accuracy	72%

Cambridge United player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
J. Eastwood	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.5
L. Bennett	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	7.5
M. Jobe	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.3
K. Watts	90	1	0	1	1	0	0	8.2
B. Purrington	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	7.6
D. Ball	90	0	0	1	1	0	3	7.7
P. Mpanzu	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
S. Kaikai	90	0	1	2	0	2	2	7.3
J. Brophy	89	1	0	1	1	1	1	7
L. Appéré	84	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.3
B. Knight	69	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.2
K. Kouassi sub	21	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.3
S. McLoughlin sub	13	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
J. Gibbons sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Newport County player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Tzanev	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
H. Ogunneye	90	0	0	0	2	0	7
M. Baker	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
L. Jenkins	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
T. Davies	90	2	1	1	1	0	6.7
A. Driscoll-Glennon	90	1	1	0	2	Y	7
C. Antwi	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
B. Lloyd	57	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
G. Garner	57	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Smith	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
M. Spellman	45	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
C. Evans sub	45	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
B. Kamwa sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
C. Brennan sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Reindorf sub	33	0	0	1	0	0	7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Cambridge United v Newport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Cambridge UnitedWDWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Newport CountyWLLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Cambridge United 3 · 1 draw · Newport County 2 · 1.5 goals/game

2021-04-17 Newport County 0–1 Cambridge United
2020-10-10 Cambridge United 2–1 Newport County
2020-09-15 Newport County 1–0 Cambridge United
2020-02-08 Newport County 0–1 Cambridge United
2019-08-10 Cambridge United 0–0 Newport County
2019-04-13 Cambridge United 0–3 Newport County

League standing · 2025/26

Cambridge United#3 pos82 pts46 pl+33 GD

Newport County#20 pos43 pts46 pl-29 GD

Goals per game

Cambridge United scored1.43

Newport County scored1.04

Cambridge United conceded0.72

Newport County conceded1.67

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Cambridge United v Newport County?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Cambridge United v Newport County was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Cambridge United and Newport County?: In their last 6 meetings, Cambridge United won 3, Newport County won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cambridge United and Newport County?: Recent form — Cambridge United 3W 1D 1L; Newport County 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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