Cheltenham v Newport County prediction
Team pages: Cheltenham · Newport County · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Cheltenham v Newport County, League Two on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST.
The match
Cheltenham host Newport County in League Two on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Newport County, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Cheltenham have conceded 22 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). 12 of Cheltenham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Newport County are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Both teams scored in 12 of Cheltenham’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, Cheltenham have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 2.13. Cheltenham have scored 21 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Eight of Newport County’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Newport County’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Newport County have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.50. Newport County have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Newport County have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Cheltenham (fifth) and Newport County (12th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Newport County the stronger side, 64 rating points above Cheltenham (Newport County 1458, Cheltenham 1394, after at least 280 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Cheltenham are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Newport County. The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County.
Team news
Predicted Cheltenham XI (4-1-4-1): W. Stanway, P. Sweeney, J. Tomkinson, R. Cundy, J. Tomlinson, J. Shipley, C. McCann, B. Stevenson, J. Evans, R. Broom, A. Weimann — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jake Evans (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and two assists) and Charlie McCann (4.1 per match over 12 appearances, seven goals and one assist) have been Cheltenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cheltenham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jake Evans averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 910 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Charlie McCann averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1084 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Newport County XI (3-4-1-2): J. Wright, L. Jenkins, K. Cameron, C. Norman, C. Brennan, M. Dibley-Dias, H. Biggins, M. Adu-Poku, S. Gwengwe, C. Doidge, G. Garner — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ciaran Brennan (4.6 per match over 13 appearances, one assist) and Y. Bamba (4.1 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Newport County’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newport County (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ciaran Brennan averages 0.4 key passes per 90 over 1168 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. Y. Bamba averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 388 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · League Two · Whaddon Road
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Cheltenham 4 · draws 1 · Newport County 1 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Cheltenham 2W 0D 3L · Newport County 2W 3D 0L
Cheltenham v Newport County (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cheltenham for / against | Line | Newport County for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 8.25 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.25 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.75 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.88 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.5 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.13 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Cheltenham
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Otchere n 8 | 15.8 | 6.4 | 0.7 | — |
| J. Bickerstaff n 8 | 14 | 4 | 0.8 | — |
| S. McWilliams n 8 | 74.1 | 2.7 | 1.8 | — |
| F. Willcox n 8 | 45.5 | 2 | 2.7 | — |
| J. Evans n 8 | 77 | 1.8 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Miller n 8 | 38.1 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Favour Onukwuli n 5 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 0 |
| R. Broom n 8 | 52.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| F. Willcox n 8 | 45.5 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| J. Evans n 8 | 77 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Miller n 8 | 38.1 | 0.9 | 0 |
| C. McCann n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| K. Otchere n 8 | 15.8 | 0.7 | 0 |
| R. Broom n 8 | 52.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| A. Weimann n 8 | 84.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. McWilliams n 8 | 74.1 | 3.3 |
| B. Stevenson n 8 | 84.9 | 2.8 |
| J. Wilson n 8 | 61.6 | 1.8 |
| F. Willcox n 8 | 45.5 | 1.7 |
| G. Nurse n 8 | 40.3 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Stanway n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
Newport County
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Etete n 8 | 32 | 3.5 | 3.5 | — |
| Y. Bamba n 8 | 46.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | — |
| G. Garner n 8 | 20.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 | — |
| C. Evans n 8 | 72.9 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| Alfie Merritt n 6 | 38.2 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Etete n 8 | 32 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| T. Nyakuhwa n 8 | 23.3 | 2.4 | 1 |
| C. Doidge n 8 | 68.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| M. Adu-Poku n 8 | 50.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| M. Smith n 8 | 18.3 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Nyakuhwa n 8 | 23.3 | 0.5 | 1 |
| C. Doidge n 8 | 68.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Shaquille Gwengwe n 8 | 73 | 0.5 | 0 |
| G. Garner n 8 | 20.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Alfie Merritt n 6 | 38.2 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Dibley-Dias n 8 | 83.1 | 3.5 |
| C. Evans n 8 | 72.9 | 3.2 |
| C. Brennan n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
| Alfie Merritt n 6 | 38.2 | 3.1 |
| M. Smith n 8 | 18.3 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Wright n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Cheltenham v Newport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-18 Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County
- 2025-10-18 Newport County 0–2 Cheltenham
- 2025-02-22 Newport County 0–3 Cheltenham
- 2024-08-10 Cheltenham 3–2 Newport County
- 2021-05-01 Newport County 1–0 Cheltenham
- 2021-01-19 Cheltenham 1–1 Newport County
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Cheltenham v Newport County?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v Newport County is Draw or Away (best price 1.62 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Newport County?
- In their last 6 meetings, Cheltenham won 4, Newport County won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Newport County?
- Recent form — Cheltenham 2W 0D 3L; Newport County 2W 3D 0L.
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