Dumbarton v Elgin City result

Full-time · Dumbarton 1–1 Elgin City

League Two – Scotland ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Dumbarton 1–1 Elgin City — this League Two – Scotland match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Dumbarton and Elgin City drew 1–1 in League Two – Scotland on Saturday 16 August. Dumbarton are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Elgin City are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Elgin City led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Elgin City: J. Walker (32’, assisted by Lyall Booth); Dumbarton: S. Honeyman (74’, assisted by L. McIntosh).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Honeyman’s goal on 74 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Dumbarton: S. Tomlinson (22’), M. Durnan (31’) and K. Kirkpatrick (90+7’); Elgin City: R. Sargent (55’), Lyall Booth (66’), J. MacIver (76’) and D. Gavin (90+6’).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.9% of the time in the last 90 days (418 of 634).

Next up

Dumbarton next host Keith on 24 October 2026.

Elgin City next travel to Stirling University on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dumbarton: Dumbarton v Keith, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Elgin City: Stirling University v Elgin City, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Dumbarton 1–1 Elgin City · League Two – Scotland
  • Referee: Joel Kennedy
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Dumbarton 2 · draws 1 · Elgin City 3 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Dumbarton 3W 0D 2L · Elgin City 0W 0D 5L

Dumbarton 1–1 Elgin City (League Two – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Dumbarton v Elgin City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DumbartonLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Elgin CityLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.8 scored / 4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Dumbarton 2 · 1 draw · Elgin City 3 · 2 goals/game
  • 2024-04-27 Dumbarton 2–2 Elgin City
  • 2024-01-27 Elgin City 0–1 Dumbarton
  • 2023-11-18 Dumbarton 1–0 Elgin City
  • 2023-09-16 Elgin City 2–0 Dumbarton
  • 2023-04-29 Elgin City 1–0 Dumbarton
  • 2023-02-25 Dumbarton 1–2 Elgin City
League standing · 2025/26
Dumbarton#9 pos35 pts36 pl-14 GD
Elgin City#6 pos44 pts36 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Dumbarton scored1.31
Elgin City scored1.42
Dumbarton conceded1.69
Elgin City conceded1.53

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Dumbarton v Elgin City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dumbarton v Elgin City was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Dumbarton and Elgin City?
In their last 6 meetings, Dumbarton won 2, Elgin City won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dumbarton and Elgin City?
Recent form — Dumbarton 3W 0D 2L; Elgin City 0W 0D 5L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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