Gillingham v Chesterfield result

Full-time · Gillingham 4–1 Chesterfield

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Gillingham 4–1 Chesterfield — Gillingham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.6% of 171 landed (95% range 45.2–60%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Gillingham beat Chesterfield 4–1 in League Two on Tuesday 19 August. Gillingham are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Gillingham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Gillingham: Armani Little (28’ pen, 50’ pen), Lenni Rae Cirino (56’, assisted by G. Morris) and Marcus Wyllie (90’, assisted by N. Khumbeni); Chesterfield: Armando Dobra (53’, assisted by William Grigg).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Armani Little’s goal on 28 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Gillingham 0.00, Chesterfield 0.00, from 11 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Hicks showed five yellow cards — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Gillingham: Joshua Andrews (37’), Lenni Rae Cirino (45+1’), Ethan Coleman (71’) and Elliott Nevitt (73’); Chesterfield: V. Campbell (62’).

What it changes

Gillingham move up from 12th to fifth (four league matches played).

Chesterfield move down from first to second (four league matches played).

Gillingham have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Armani Little (Gillingham) 10.3, Armando Dobra (Chesterfield) 8.4 and Sam Gale (Gillingham) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Gillingham next host Port Vale on 20 October 2026.

Chesterfield next host Colchester on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gillingham: Gillingham v Port Vale, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Chesterfield: Chesterfield v Colchester, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Gillingham 4–1 Chesterfield · League Two
  • Referee: C. Hicks
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Gillingham 1 · draws 1 · Chesterfield 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gillingham 2W 3D 0L · Chesterfield 3W 0D 2L

Gillingham 4–1 Chesterfield (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.63 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.43 / 6.29
Corners
against 4 / 3.43 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 6.43
Shots on target
against 2.86 / 3.14 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3 / 1.57
Cards
against 2 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.4 yellows
Referee · C. Hicks
1.2 home / 1.2 away
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGillingham for / againstLineChesterfield for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.43 for · 4 against n 7
9.5standard
6.29 for · 3.43 against n 7
Shots
9.43 for · 11.57 against n 7
19.5standard
13.14 for · 7.71 against n 7
Shots on target
2.43 for · 2.86 against n 7
8.5standard
6.43 for · 3.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
14.71 for · 11.29 against n 7
21.5standard
11 for · 13.71 against n 7
Cards shown
3 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
1.57 for · 3 against n 7

Referee: C. Hicks — 2.4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.2 fouls over 5 matches (1.2 to the home side, 1.2 to the away side).

Gillingham
Gillingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Gbode n 858.3
3.18/6
2.56/5
—
E. Coleman n 851.3
2.67/4
1.34/2
—
J. Andrews n 834.3
2.64/4
24/2
—
N. Khumbeni n 829.8
2.63/2
1.54/0
—
Jimmy Morgan n 853.3
2.15/3
2.15/3
—
Gillingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Agbinone n 844.1
25/2
0.83/0
J. Gbode n 858.3
1.57/1
15/0
Jimmy Morgan n 853.3
1.14/1
0.21/0
B. Dack n 854.9
12/2
0.42/0
J. Andrews n 834.3
12/1
0.72/0
Gillingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Rowe n 849.3
0.21/0
0.52/0
B. Dack n 854.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
J. Gbode n 858.3
0.63/0
00/0
J. Nolan n 843.1
00/0
0.31/0
A. Little n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Gillingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Coleman n 851.3
3.76/4
S. Gale n 872.1
36/4
A. Little n 890
2.68/6
S. Ogie n 876.8
2.67/5
J. Nolan n 843.1
2.34/4
Chesterfield
Chesterfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Duffy n 842.3
2.45/3
1.33/2
—
M. Dibley-Dias n 723.9
2.23/1
1.63/0
—
M. Jacobs n 818.8
1.83/0
1.82/1
—
V. Campbell n 861.3
1.77/1
0.63/0
—
L. Bonis n 752
1.74/1
24/2
—
Chesterfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Bonis n 752
2.74/3
1.23/2
R. Colclough n 849
2.36/3
0.94/0
O. Banks n 864.9
2.14/2
13/1
A. Dobra n 861.1
25/3
1.53/3
W. Grigg n 851.6
26/2
1.55/2
Chesterfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Duffy n 842.3
0.31/0
0.83/0
R. Colclough n 849
0.21/0
0.52/0
W. Grigg n 851.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Jacobs n 818.8
0.61/0
00/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 869
0.21/0
0.32/0
Chesterfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Dibley-Dias n 723.9
3.84/2
A. Dobra n 861.1
2.86/5
L. Mandeville n 848.6
2.34/3
D. Duffy n 842.3
2.16/2
Jenson Metcalfe n 869
25/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GillinghamChesterfield
29%Possession71%
11Shots7
6Shots on target3
5Shots off target4
0Blocked shots0
8Shots inside the box6
0Corners2
0Offsides1
15Fouls13
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves2
204Passes503
51%Pass accuracy80%

Gillingham player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Morris9001001006.5
R. McKenzie9000000106.9
A. Smith9000001106.3
S. Gale9000110607.2
R. Hutton9000101106.9
E. Coleman90000013Y7.3
A. Little8720220008.5
J. Williams8700000006.2
J. Andrews81003012Y6.3
E. Nevitt81001100Y6.3
Lenni Rae Cirino68101101Y7.2
A. Rowe sub2300000006.3
S. Vokes sub1000000006.3
Marcus Wyllie sub1010110107.3
N. Khumbeni sub1001001107.2
B. Dack sub1000100006.6

Chesterfield player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Z. Hemming9000000006
C. Dunkley9000001106.3
K. McFadzean9000000106.6
R. Stirk9000100106.2
D. Markanday9000100006.5
A. Dobra9010111307.2
L. Gordon8800002106.2
R. Darcy7700210306.7
V. Campbell70000022Y6
T. Naylor7000100006.3
W. Grigg6901001006.2
L. Bonis sub2200110006.2
L. Mandeville sub2100001106.7
J. Fleck sub2100000006.3
D. Duffy sub1400000006.5
A. Lewis sub900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Gillingham v Chesterfield — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GillinghamWDWDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
ChesterfieldLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Gillingham 1 · 1 draw · Chesterfield 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-04-08 Chesterfield 1–1 Gillingham
  • 2024-08-31 Gillingham 1–0 Chesterfield
League standing · 2025/26
Gillingham#17 pos53 pts46 pl-19 GD
Chesterfield#6 pos79 pts46 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Gillingham scored1.15
Chesterfield scored1.54
Gillingham conceded1.57
Chesterfield conceded1.22

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Gillingham v Chesterfield?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gillingham v Chesterfield was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Gillingham and Chesterfield?
In their last 2 meetings, Gillingham won 1, Chesterfield won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gillingham and Chesterfield?
Recent form — Gillingham 2W 3D 0L; Chesterfield 3W 0D 2L.

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