GillinghamPort Vale

Gillingham v Port Vale result

Full-time · Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale

League Two · · Priestfield Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Gillingham and Port Vale drew 1–1 at Priestfield Stadium in League Two on Tuesday 20 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Gillingham, from fewer shots (9 to 11), created the better chances, 2.69 xG to 1.03 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Gillingham led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Gillingham: Ronan Hale (42’ pen); Port Vale: K. Figueroa (66’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. Figueroa’s goal on 66 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Gillingham: Conor McManus (79’) and J. Daley (85’); Port Vale: Jasper Moon (56’).

What it changes

Gillingham move down from fourth to seventh (12 league matches played). Gillingham have scored 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Gillingham have conceded 14 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Port Vale stay 20th after this result (10 league matches played). Port Vale have scored six goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Port Vale have conceded 10 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Port Vale are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ronan Hale (Gillingham) 6.2, K. Figueroa (Port Vale) 6.0 and Andrew Smith (Gillingham) 3.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Gillingham or Port Vale (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Gillingham next host Barrow on 7 November 2026.

Port Vale next host Scunthorpe on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gillingham: Gillingham v Barrow, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Port Vale: Port Vale v Scunthorpe, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale · League Two
  • Venue: Priestfield Stadium · Gillingham, Kent
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Gillingham 2 · draws 0 · Port Vale 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gillingham 2W 1D 2L · Port Vale 3W 0D 2L

Gillingham 1–1 Port Vale (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 4.38
Corners
against 4.88 / 5.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGillingham for / againstLinePort Vale for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
2.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
8.75 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
10.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
14 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8

Gillingham

Gillingham Goalkeeper

Gillingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Oliver Wright990810 min303.3 /9060.7 /9000 /90
A. Maynard-Brewer290180 min21 /9031.5 /9000 /90
O. Mason19090 min88 /9033 /9000 /90
Gillingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Oliver Wright n 890
3.88/6

Gillingham Defensive

Gillingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Beckles12901080 min252.1 /90151.3 /9080.7 /90685.7 /9090.8 /9020.2 /90
A. Smith12861035 min141.2 /90100.9 /9030.3 /90504.3 /90121 /9010.1 /90
L. Dobbs1276910 min141.4 /90212.1 /9040.4 /90696.8 /90151.5 /9030.3 /90
J. Daley524119 min21.5 /9010.8 /9000 /9086.1 /9021.5 /9010.8 /90
L. Gordon13737 min12.4 /9000 /9000 /9037.3 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Gillingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Beckles n 890
0.85/1
0.32/0
C. Hall
N. Freeman n 890
0.54/0
0.43/0
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
J. Brophy n 890
0.63/1
1.36/3
O. Hernández
A. Smith n 884.4
1.15/3
0.95/2
C. Hall
R. McKenzie n 882.4
1.46/3
00/0
—
See more players · Pro
Gillingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Beckles n 890
2.18/4
N. Freeman n 890
1.98/3
J. Brophy n 890
1.87/4
A. Smith n 884.4
1.54/3
R. McKenzie n 882.4
0.75/0
See more players · Pro

Gillingham Attacking

Gillingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ronan Hale1279950 min40.4 /9010.1 /90222.1 /90111 /9070.7 /9070.7 /90
H. Waldock1072723 min00 /9010.1 /9030.4 /9000 /9070.9 /9030.4 /90
W. Goodwin843343 min00 /9000 /90112.9 /9071.8 /9061.6 /9030.8 /90
L. Sillah671427 min20.4 /9010.2 /9051.1 /9020.4 /9030.6 /9040.8 /90
S. Palmer-Houlden24385 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Gillingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Beckles n 890
0.95/2
0.32/0
N. Freeman n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
J. Brophy n 890
0.94/1
0.42/1
A. Smith n 884.4
00/0
00/0
R. McKenzie n 882.4
0.83/2
00/0
See more players · Pro
Gillingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Freeman n 890
00/0
0.32/0
O. Beckles n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Brophy n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
A. Smith n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
R. McKenzie n 882.4
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Port Vale

Port Vale Goalkeeper

Port Vale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Smith790630 min142 /9091.3 /9000 /90
M. Maroši390270 min93 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Port Vale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Smith n 790
24/3
M. Maroši n 890
2.15/3

Port Vale Defensive

Port Vale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Hall974668 min30.4 /9040.5 /9070.9 /90395.3 /9060.8 /9000 /90
C. Humphreys790630 min60.9 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90273.9 /90121.7 /9020.3 /90
L. Montsma780557 min101.6 /9071.1 /9010.2 /90406.5 /9061 /9010.2 /90
L. Gordon588441 min20.4 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90163.3 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
K. John554268 min82.7 /9072.4 /9000 /90196.4 /9041.3 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Port Vale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 890
1.35/2
1.98/4
N. Freeman
K. Dempsey n 884.3
1.57/3
0.32/0
—
O. Lynch n 861.3
0.73/1
0.73/1
—
C. Hall n 881.4
0.83/1
0.75/0
A. Smith
O. Hernández n 857.3
14/1
1.85/2
J. Brophy
See more players · Pro
Port Vale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 890
2.18/6
K. Dempsey n 884.3
2.18/3
O. Lynch n 861.3
0.63/0
C. Hall n 881.4
0.42/1
O. Hernández n 857.3
26/3
See more players · Pro

Port Vale Attacking

Port Vale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Lynch1060599 min10.2 /9000 /90111.7 /9060.9 /9040.6 /9060.9 /90
O. Hernández954488 min10.2 /9000 /9061.1 /9050.9 /90112 /9081.5 /90
B. Waine554272 min00 /9000 /9031 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
M. Watters360181 min00 /9000 /9052.5 /9021 /9000 /9031.5 /90
M. Faal359176 min00 /9000 /9073.6 /9021 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Port Vale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 890
0.95/2
0.11/0
K. Dempsey n 884.3
1.14/3
0.42/1
O. Lynch n 861.3
1.35/2
0.94/1
C. Hall n 881.4
0.63/1
00/0
O. Hernández n 857.3
1.24/2
13/2
See more players · Pro
Port Vale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 890
00/0
0.11/0
K. Dempsey n 884.3
0.11/0
00/0
O. Lynch n 861.3
0.21/0
00/0
C. Hall n 881.4
00/0
00/0
O. Hernández n 857.3
0.21/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GillinghamPort Vale
41%Possession59%
2.69Expected goals (xG)1.03
9Shots11
3Shots on target3
2Shots off target3
4Blocked shots5
7Shots inside the box5
9Corners4
3Offsides3
12Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves2
294Passes429
65%Pass accuracy75%

Gillingham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Beckles9000000207
J. Brophy9000000107.3
N. Freeman9000001306.6
A. Little9000103106.5
Oliver Wright9000000007.2
A. Smith9000110107.2
J. Daley90000002Y6.6
T. Eaves8400210006.9
Conor McManus84000002Y6.6
Ronan Hale7410111007.3
E. Coleman7000000007.5
H. Waldock sub2000000006.3
G. McCleary sub1600000106.9
S. Kendall sub1100000006.3
M. Luxton sub1100000006.6

Port Vale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Moon90000004Y6.9
G. Byers9000001006.9
C. Hall9000002006.3
C. Humphreys9000100106.6
J. Lawrence-Gabriel9000001007
M. Maroši9000000007
B. Garrity8900001206.6
K. John6600000106.6
G. Hall4500000006.3
O. Hernández4500000006.5
M. Watters4500110006.9
K. Dempsey sub4500110007.3
O. Lynch sub4500100006.2
K. Figueroa sub4510210107.9
J. Headley sub2400001107
R. Walters sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Gillingham v Port Vale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GillinghamWLDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Port ValeLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Gillingham 2 · 0 draws · Port Vale 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2025-05-03 Port Vale 0–1 Gillingham
  • 2024-11-09 Gillingham 1–0 Port Vale
League standing · 2026/27
Gillingham#8 pos20 pts14 pl+1 GD
Port Vale#19 pos15 pts12 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Gillingham scored1.43
Port Vale scored0.83
Gillingham conceded1.36
Port Vale conceded1.17

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Gillingham v Port Vale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gillingham v Port Vale was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Gillingham and Port Vale?
In their last 2 meetings, Gillingham won 2, Port Vale won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gillingham and Port Vale?
Recent form — Gillingham 2W 1D 2L; Port Vale 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+