Gillingham v Grimsby prediction

League Two · · Priestfield Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gillingham · Grimsby · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Gillingham v Grimsby, League Two on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Gillingham host Grimsby in League Two on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Gillingham or Grimsby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Grimsby are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Grimsby are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Gillingham, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of Gillingham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Gillingham’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Gillingham have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. Gillingham have scored 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Gillingham have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Grimsby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Grimsby’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Grimsby have no wins, five draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.57. Grimsby have scored 15 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Grimsby have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Gillingham (seventh) and Grimsby (17th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gillingham the stronger side, 92 rating points above Grimsby (Gillingham 1467, Grimsby 1375, after at least 196 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby.

Team news

Predicted Gillingham XI (3-4-2-1): O. Wright, O. Beckles, A. Smith, L. Dobbs, J. Brophy, N. Freeman, R. McKenzie, E. King, A. Little, C. McManus, R. Hale — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, James Brophy (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Nicholas Freeman (3.7 per match over 13 appearances, three assists) have been Gillingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Gillingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), James Brophy averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1163 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Nicholas Freeman averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1170 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Grimsby XI (4-1-4-1): C. Pym, H. Rodgers, M. Kacurri, C. McJannet, J. Sweeney, K. Green, C. Vernam, G. Turi, J. Walker, J. Amaluzor, A. Cook — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Géza Turi (5.5 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Kieran Green (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Grimsby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Grimsby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Géza Turi averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1310 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Kieran Green averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1135 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two · Priestfield Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Gillingham 0 · draws 2 · Grimsby 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gillingham 1W 2D 2L · Grimsby 0W 1D 4L

Gillingham v Grimsby (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 6.5
Corners
against 4.38 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.75 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGillingham for / againstLineGrimsby for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
9 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 13.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 3 against n 8
Gillingham
Gillingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zane Albarus n 474.5
4.84/4
1.84/2
—
T. Eaves n 844.4
3.36/4
1.54/2
—
S. Kendall n 811.9
2.83/0
00/0
—
L. Sillah n 855.5
2.48/3
1.44/3
—
W. Goodwin n 842.9
2.45/2
1.63/2
—
Gillingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Kendall n 811.9
5.74/1
2.81/1
W. Goodwin n 842.9
2.94/2
1.84/2
Ronan Hale n 878.9
26/4
15/2
Z. Obiero n 869.3
1.34/3
0.63/1
B. Dack n 838.3
1.23/1
0.61/1
Gillingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Kendall n 811.9
1.91/1
00/0
Ronan Hale n 878.9
0.63/1
0.11/0
L. Sillah n 855.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
T. Eaves n 844.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Brophy n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
Gillingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Luxton n 48.8
5.12/0
Zane Albarus n 474.5
4.24/4
Conor McManus n 761.7
3.87/6
O. Beckles n 890
2.38/5
E. King n 844.9
2.34/1
Gillingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Oliver Wright n 890
38/5
Grimsby
Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Justin Amaluzor n 866.8
2.28/4
2.46/5
—
J. Walker n 851.8
2.25/4
36/4
—
F. Cartwright n 836.3
1.95/1
3.45/4
—
J. Sweeney n 887.9
1.56/5
1.78/3
—
G. Turi n 885.1
1.56/5
1.25/3
—
Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Cook n 865.1
3.16/4
1.24/2
Iwan Morgan n 853.8
2.56/4
0.63/0
C. Vernam n 873.5
2.48/5
1.46/3
M. Shelton n 872.9
1.97/3
1.26/2
F. Cartwright n 836.3
1.94/2
0.62/0
Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Staunton n 873
0.21/0
0.84/1
Iwan Morgan n 853.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
K. Green n 889.9
0.54/0
00/0
M. Shelton n 872.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
Cian Doyle n 832.1
0.41/0
00/0
Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Cartwright n 836.3
4.36/4
G. Turi n 885.1
38/7
J. Walker n 851.8
2.86/3
Justin Amaluzor n 866.8
2.45/4
R. Staunton n 873
26/3
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Harrington n 888
3.15/4
C. Pym n 884.4
2.97/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Gillingham v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GillinghamLDWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
GrimsbyLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Gillingham 0 · 2 draws · Grimsby 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-18 Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby
  • 2025-10-18 Grimsby 1–0 Gillingham
  • 2025-01-28 Grimsby 1–1 Gillingham
  • 2024-10-01 Gillingham 0–1 Grimsby
  • 2024-03-16 Gillingham 1–1 Grimsby
  • 2023-09-02 Grimsby 2–0 Gillingham
League standing · 2026/27
Gillingham#7 pos17 pts12 pl+3 GD
Grimsby#17 pos14 pts12 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Gillingham scored1.42
Grimsby scored1.25
Gillingham conceded1.17
Grimsby conceded1.25

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Gillingham v Grimsby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gillingham v Grimsby is Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Gillingham and Grimsby?
In their last 6 meetings, Gillingham won 0, Grimsby won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gillingham and Grimsby?
Recent form — Gillingham 1W 2D 2L; Grimsby 0W 1D 4L.

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