Gillingham v Rochdale prediction

League Two · · Priestfield Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Gillingham v Rochdale, League Two on Sat, 13 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Gillingham host Rochdale in League Two on Saturday 13 February (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Rochdale have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Gillingham are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Rochdale, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of Gillingham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Gillingham’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Gillingham have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. Gillingham have scored 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Gillingham have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Rochdale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Rochdale’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Rochdale have one win, four draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.78 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.67. Rochdale have scored 15 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rochdale have conceded 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Rochdale are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Gillingham (seventh) and Rochdale (14th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gillingham the stronger side, 44 rating points above Rochdale (Gillingham 1467, Rochdale 1423, after at least 104 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Rochdale 1–4 Gillingham.

Team news

Predicted Gillingham XI (3-4-2-1): O. Wright, O. Beckles, A. Smith, L. Dobbs, J. Brophy, N. Freeman, R. McKenzie, E. King, A. Little, C. McManus, R. Hale — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, James Brophy (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Nicholas Freeman (3.7 per match over 13 appearances, three assists) have been Gillingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Gillingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), James Brophy averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1163 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Nicholas Freeman averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1170 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Rochdale XI (4-2-3-1): N. Ramming, K. Wilson, C. Tasker, A. Flint, O. Adebayo-Rowling, B. Adeeko, H. Gilmour, G. Middleton, K. Taylor, E. Francis, D. Brown — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Aden Flint (3.9 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Charlie Tasker (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Rochdale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rochdale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Aden Flint averages 0.3 tackles per 90 over 630 minutes, with a tackle in two of the last seven appearances. Charlie Tasker averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 693 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two · Priestfield Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Gillingham 4 · draws 2 · Rochdale 0 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gillingham 1W 2D 2L · Rochdale 2W 2D 1L

Gillingham v Rochdale (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 5.38
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGillingham for / againstLineRochdale for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
9 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 17.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Gillingham
Gillingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zane Albarus n 474.5
4.84/4
1.84/2
—
T. Eaves n 844.4
3.36/4
1.54/2
—
S. Kendall n 811.9
2.83/0
00/0
—
L. Sillah n 855.5
2.48/3
1.44/3
—
W. Goodwin n 842.9
2.45/2
1.63/2
—
Gillingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Kendall n 811.9
5.74/1
2.81/1
W. Goodwin n 842.9
2.94/2
1.84/2
Ronan Hale n 878.9
26/4
15/2
Z. Obiero n 869.3
1.34/3
0.63/1
B. Dack n 838.3
1.23/1
0.61/1
Gillingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Kendall n 811.9
1.91/1
00/0
Ronan Hale n 878.9
0.63/1
0.11/0
L. Sillah n 855.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
T. Eaves n 844.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Brophy n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
Gillingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Luxton n 48.8
5.12/0
Zane Albarus n 474.5
4.24/4
Conor McManus n 761.7
3.87/6
O. Beckles n 890
2.38/5
E. King n 844.9
2.34/1
Gillingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Oliver Wright n 890
38/5
Rochdale
Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Francis n 847.6
2.46/3
0.52/0
—
E. Dieseruvwe n 843.4
2.15/1
1.86/1
—
D. Brown n 883.1
1.87/4
1.25/3
—
I. Henderson n 847.1
1.74/2
13/1
—
Z. Silcott-Duberry n 846.1
1.76/1
0.73/0
—
Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Smith n 826.4
33/2
1.32/1
D. Brown n 883.1
2.38/5
1.17/1
C. Hayes n 847.8
2.14/2
0.52/0
E. Dieseruvwe n 843.4
1.65/1
0.31/0
A. Flint n 890
1.56/3
0.54/0
Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Brown n 883.1
0.54/0
0.11/0
G. Middleton n 871
00/0
0.53/0
A. Flint n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
D. Rodney n 852
0.41/1
00/0
I. Henderson n 847.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Beckwith n 347.3
5.73/1
Kane Taylor n 876.3
3.17/6
H. Gilmour n 881.5
2.37/7
O. Adebayo-Rowling n 863.9
2.18/3
L. Hannant n 850.4
1.64/2
Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sam Waller n 881.3
2.95/4
Nils Ramming n 890
2.86/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Gillingham v Rochdale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GillinghamLDWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
RochdaleWWDLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Gillingham 4 · 2 draws · Rochdale 0 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 Rochdale 1–4 Gillingham
  • 2023-02-18 Rochdale 0–2 Gillingham
  • 2022-08-06 Gillingham 1–0 Rochdale
  • 2021-01-23 Gillingham 2–2 Rochdale
  • 2020-12-19 Rochdale 1–4 Gillingham
  • 2020-01-25 Rochdale 2–2 Gillingham
League standing · 2026/27
Gillingham#7 pos17 pts12 pl+3 GD
Rochdale#14 pos15 pts12 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Gillingham scored1.42
Rochdale scored1.25
Gillingham conceded1.17
Rochdale conceded1.42

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Gillingham and Rochdale?
In their last 6 meetings, Gillingham won 4, Rochdale won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gillingham and Rochdale?
Recent form — Gillingham 1W 2D 2L; Rochdale 2W 2D 1L.

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