Newport County v Accrington ST prediction
Team pages: Newport County · Accrington ST · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Newport County v Accrington ST, League Two on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Newport County host Accrington ST in League Two on Saturday 17 April (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Newport County are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Seven of Newport County’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Newport County’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Newport County have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.00. Newport County have scored 14 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Newport County have conceded 13 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
10 of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Accrington ST have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.38 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.88. Accrington ST have scored 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Accrington ST have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Newport County (11th) and Accrington ST (10th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Accrington ST the stronger side, 14 rating points above Newport County (Accrington ST 1487, Newport County 1473, after at least 195 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Accrington ST 0–0 Newport County.
Team news
Predicted Newport County XI (4-2-3-1): J. Wright, L. Jenkins, K. Cameron, C. Norman, M. Jacob, C. Brennan, H. Biggins, M. Dibley-Dias, M. Adu-Poku, Y. Bamba, C. Doidge — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ciaran Brennan (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, one assist) and Y. Bamba (4.1 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Newport County’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newport County (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ciaran Brennan averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 1078 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last 10 appearances. Y. Bamba averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 388 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last five appearances.
Predicted Accrington ST XI (3-1-4-2): L. Moulden, J. Anderson, D. Matthews, S. Conneely, D. Tutonda, S. Mols, C. O'Brien, L. Coyle, D. Love, T. Walton, C. Warren — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Woods (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and one assist) and Stefan Mols (4.4 per match over nine appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Accrington ST’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Accrington ST (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Woods averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 966 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Stefan Mols averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 548 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · League Two · Rodney Parade
- Head-to-head (last 6): Newport County 2 · draws 1 · Accrington ST 3 · 3.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Newport County 2W 3D 0L · Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L
Newport County v Accrington ST (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Newport County for / against | Line | Accrington ST for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.25 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.25 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.88 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.88 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Newport County
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Bamba n 8 | 51.6 | 2.6 | 1.5 | — |
| K. Etete n 8 | 34.9 | 2.6 | 2.3 | — |
| G. Garner n 8 | 18.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | — |
| C. Evans n 8 | 72.9 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| Alfie Merritt n 5 | 36.8 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Nyakuhwa n 8 | 23.3 | 2.4 | 1 |
| K. Etete n 8 | 34.9 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Alfie Merritt n 5 | 36.8 | 2 | 0.5 |
| C. Doidge n 8 | 68.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Nyakuhwa n 8 | 23.3 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Y. Bamba n 5 | 77.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| C. Doidge n 8 | 68.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Shaquille Gwengwe n 8 | 73 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Alfie Merritt n 5 | 36.8 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Dibley-Dias n 8 | 74.9 | 3.8 |
| C. Brennan n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
| C. Evans n 8 | 72.9 | 3.2 |
| Alfie Merritt n 5 | 36.8 | 2.9 |
| Y. Bamba n 8 | 51.6 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Wright n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
Accrington ST
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Walton n 8 | 78 | 2.7 | 1.4 | — |
| S. Whalley n 8 | 67.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | — |
| Alex Henderson n 8 | 43 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Catesby n 3 | 14 | 2.1 | 0 | — |
| Devon Matthews n 8 | 88 | 1.9 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Caton n 8 | 65.5 | 4 | 2.1 |
| J. Woods n 8 | 87.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| C. Stockton n 8 | 24.6 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Alex Henderson n 8 | 43 | 2.6 | 1 |
| C. Warren n 8 | 43 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Caton n 8 | 65.5 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Stefan Mols n 8 | 65 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| J. Woods n 8 | 87.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| C. Warren n 8 | 43 | 0.5 | 0 |
| C. O'Brien n 8 | 85.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Catesby n 3 | 14 | 4.3 |
| D. Tutonda n 8 | 84.8 | 2.9 |
| Joseph Anderson n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| Aidan Borland n 8 | 73.8 | 2.1 |
| C. O'Brien n 8 | 85.5 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Moulden n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Newport County v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-19 Accrington ST 0–0 Newport County
- 2026-01-27 Newport County 1–4 Accrington ST
- 2025-10-11 Accrington ST 0–1 Newport County
- 2025-03-11 Accrington ST 5–0 Newport County
- 2024-08-24 Newport County 3–1 Accrington ST
- 2024-04-09 Newport County 1–3 Accrington ST
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Newport County and Accrington ST?
- In their last 6 meetings, Newport County won 2, Accrington ST won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Newport County and Accrington ST?
- Recent form — Newport County 2W 3D 0L; Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L.
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