Northampton v Cheltenham prediction
Team pages: Northampton · Cheltenham · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Northampton v Cheltenham, League Two on Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Northampton host Cheltenham in League Two on Tuesday 29 December (kick-off 19:45 UK).
The key numbers
Cheltenham have conceded 20 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). 12 of Cheltenham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 12 of Cheltenham’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).
Form and the table
Four of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in seven of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Northampton have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.29. Northampton have scored six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Northampton have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Away from home, Cheltenham have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 2.29. Cheltenham have scored 17 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Cheltenham have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Northampton (22nd) and Cheltenham (eighth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Northampton the stronger side, 131 rating points above Cheltenham (Northampton 1456, Cheltenham 1325, after at least 189 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Northampton are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Cheltenham. The most recent meeting, on 1 January 2024, finished Northampton 1–0 Cheltenham.
Team news
Predicted Northampton XI (4-4-2): Z. Jeacock, E. Moore, J. Guthrie, J. Maxwell, J. Donacien, J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh, T. Fornah, L. Evans, L. Briggs, N. Opoku, M. Warhurst — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Joseph Wormleighton (4.0 per match over nine appearances) and Jonathan Guthrie (3.7 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) have been Northampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Northampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Joseph Wormleighton averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 693 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last nine appearances. Jonathan Guthrie averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 909 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Cheltenham XI (4-2-3-1): W. Stanway, P. Sweeney, R. Cundy, J. Tomkinson, J. Tomlinson, J. Shipley, C. McCann, J. Evans, B. Stevenson, S. McWilliams, A. Weimann — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jake Evans (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Charlie McCann (3.8 per match over 11 appearances, seven goals) have been Cheltenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cheltenham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jake Evans averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 826 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Charlie McCann averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 994 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · League Two · Sixfields Stadium
- Head-to-head (last 6): Northampton 3 · draws 1 · Cheltenham 2 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Northampton 2W 1D 2L · Cheltenham 1W 1D 3L
Northampton v Cheltenham (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Northampton for / against | Line | Cheltenham for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.38 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 8.63 for · 17.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.75 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.38 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.13 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Northampton
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. List n 8 | 35 | 3.2 | 2.9 | — |
| O. Dale n 8 | 66.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | — |
| Matthew Warhurst n 8 | 52.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | — |
| K. Simon-Swyer n 8 | 28.4 | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| J. Wormleighton n 8 | 82.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| H. Saunders n 8 | 56.5 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| E. List n 8 | 35 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| O. Dale n 8 | 66.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| S. Hoskins n 8 | 33.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Matthew Warhurst n 8 | 52.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 8 | 72.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| N. Opoku n 8 | 65.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| E. List n 8 | 35 | 0.3 | 0 |
| O. Dale n 8 | 66.6 | 0 | 0.2 |
| L. Evans n 8 | 63.8 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Wormleighton n 8 | 82.1 | 3.7 |
| J. Donacien n 8 | 71.4 | 3 |
| S. Chambers n 5 | 46 | 2.3 |
| C. Lemonheigh-Evans n 8 | 62.9 | 2 |
| J. Maxwell n 8 | 69.9 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Z. Jeacock n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Cheltenham
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Otchere n 8 | 6.6 | 8.5 | 0 | — |
| S. McWilliams n 8 | 74.1 | 2.7 | 1.8 | — |
| J. Bickerstaff n 8 | 17.8 | 2.5 | 0.6 | — |
| F. Willcox n 8 | 45.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | — |
| J. Evans n 8 | 77.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Miller n 8 | 41.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Favour Onukwuli n 5 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 0 |
| K. Otchere n 8 | 6.6 | 1.7 | 0 |
| J. Evans n 8 | 77.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Miller n 8 | 41.5 | 1.1 | 0 |
| C. McCann n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0 |
| A. Weimann n 8 | 84.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| R. Broom n 8 | 58.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| J. Evans n 8 | 77.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. McWilliams n 8 | 74.1 | 3.3 |
| B. Stevenson n 8 | 73.8 | 2.7 |
| J. Wilson n 8 | 61.6 | 1.8 |
| F. Willcox n 8 | 45.5 | 1.7 |
| J. Tomkinson n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Stanway n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Northampton v Cheltenham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-01-01 Northampton 1–0 Cheltenham
- 2023-08-26 Cheltenham 0–1 Northampton
- 2020-06-22 Cheltenham 0–3 Northampton
- 2020-06-18 Northampton 0–2 Cheltenham
- 2020-02-25 Cheltenham 2–1 Northampton
- 2019-12-29 Northampton 1–1 Cheltenham
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Northampton and Cheltenham?
- In their last 6 meetings, Northampton won 3, Cheltenham won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Northampton and Cheltenham?
- Recent form — Northampton 2W 1D 2L; Cheltenham 1W 1D 3L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.