Northampton v Colchester prediction
Team pages: Northampton · Colchester · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Northampton v Colchester, League Two on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST.
The match
Northampton host Colchester in League Two on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Northampton or Colchester (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Three of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (20%).
Colchester are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Both teams scored in six of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Northampton have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.25. Northampton have scored six goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Northampton have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Five of Colchester’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Colchester’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Colchester have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.63. Colchester have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Colchester have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Northampton (23rd) and Colchester (19th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Colchester the stronger side, 37 rating points above Northampton (Colchester 1418, Northampton 1380, after at least 190 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Northampton are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Colchester. The most recent meeting, on 25 February 2023, finished Colchester 0–1 Northampton.
Team news
Predicted Northampton XI (4-4-2): Z. Jeacock, E. Moore, J. Guthrie, J. Maxwell, J. Donacien, J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh, L. Evans, J. Wormleighton, T. Fornah, O. Dale, N. Opoku — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Joseph Wormleighton (4.2 per match over 10 appearances) and Jonathan Guthrie (3.5 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Northampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Northampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Joseph Wormleighton averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 783 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Jonathan Guthrie averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 999 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Colchester XI (4-2-3-1): T. Lo-Tutala, J. Tucker, E. Iandolo, R. Hunt, S. Raggett, M. Sesay, J. Williams, J. Payne, H. Anderson, O. Thorn, B. Ihionvien — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Payne (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) and Moses Sesay (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Colchester’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Colchester (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Payne averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 903 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Moses Sesay averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 771 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · League Two · Sixfields Stadium
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Northampton 4 · draws 0 · Colchester 2 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Northampton 1W 1D 3L · Colchester 0W 4D 1L
Northampton v Colchester (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Northampton for / against | Line | Colchester for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.88 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.13 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.38 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.38 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Northampton
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Dale n 8 | 67.9 | 2.3 | 2 | — |
| E. List n 8 | 34.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 | — |
| K. Simon-Swyer n 8 | 28.4 | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| Matthew Warhurst n 8 | 52.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | — |
| J. Wormleighton n 8 | 82.1 | 1.8 | 1.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| H. Saunders n 8 | 56.5 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| E. List n 8 | 34.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Matthew Warhurst n 8 | 52.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| O. Dale n 8 | 67.9 | 2 | 1.2 |
| J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 8 | 80.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 8 | 80.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| E. List n 8 | 34.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| L. Evans n 8 | 74 | 0 | 0.2 |
| O. Dale n 8 | 67.9 | 0 | 0.2 |
| L. Briggs n 7 | 60.6 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Wormleighton n 8 | 82.1 | 3.7 |
| J. Donacien n 8 | 75.3 | 3 |
| S. Chambers n 5 | 46 | 2.3 |
| C. Lemonheigh-Evans n 8 | 62.9 | 2.1 |
| N. Opoku n 8 | 57.4 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Z. Jeacock n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
Colchester
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Connelly n 6 | 9.3 | 8 | 0 | — |
| B. Lubala n 8 | 29.8 | 3.4 | 1.5 | — |
| B. Ihionvien n 8 | 47 | 2.9 | 1.7 | — |
| H. Anderson n 8 | 87.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | — |
| Jaden Williams n 8 | 32.9 | 2.4 | 3.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Lubala n 8 | 29.8 | 3.4 | 0.4 |
| M. Sesay n 8 | 81.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| B. Ihionvien n 8 | 47 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| H. Anderson n 8 | 87.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Thorn n 8 | 55 | 0 | 0.6 |
| M. Sesay n 8 | 81.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| H. Anderson n 8 | 87.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Jaden Williams n 8 | 32.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| K. Vincent-Young n 8 | 62.9 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Kuffour n 8 | 36.3 | 3.7 |
| Ben Perry n 8 | 60.4 | 3.5 |
| L. Chiwome n 8 | 12.9 | 3.5 |
| R. Harvey n 4 | 22.8 | 3 |
| P. Digby n 8 | 56 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Lo-Tutala n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Northampton v Colchester — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2023-02-25 Colchester 0–1 Northampton
- 2022-07-30 Northampton 3–2 Colchester
- 2022-02-19 Northampton 3–0 Colchester
- 2021-08-14 Colchester 0–1 Northampton
- 2019-08-24 Colchester 1–0 Northampton
- 2019-02-02 Northampton 0–4 Colchester
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Northampton v Colchester?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Northampton v Colchester is Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between Northampton and Colchester?
- In their last 6 meetings, Northampton won 4, Colchester won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Northampton and Colchester?
- Recent form — Northampton 1W 1D 3L; Colchester 0W 4D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.