Port Vale v Accrington ST prediction
Team pages: Port Vale · Accrington ST · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Port Vale v Accrington ST, League Two on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Port Vale host Accrington ST in League Two on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Port Vale have scored five goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Four of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Port Vale have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 0.43. Port Vale have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
10 of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Accrington ST have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.38 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.88. Accrington ST have scored 16 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Accrington ST have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Port Vale (21st) and Accrington ST (10th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Accrington ST the stronger side, 7 rating points above Port Vale (Accrington ST 1487, Port Vale 1480, after at least 195 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2025, finished Port Vale 2–1 Accrington ST.
Team news
Predicted Port Vale XI (3-5-2): J. Smith, C. Hall, C. Humphreys, L. Montsma, K. Dempsey, B. Garrity, J. Lawrence-Gabriel, J. Headley, R. Walters, O. Lynch, M. Watters — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) and Kyle Dempsey (3.7 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) have been Port Vale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Port Vale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 881 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. Kyle Dempsey averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 854 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Accrington ST XI (3-1-4-2): L. Moulden, J. Anderson, D. Matthews, S. Conneely, D. Tutonda, S. Mols, C. O'Brien, L. Coyle, D. Love, T. Walton, C. Warren — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Woods (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and one assist) and Stefan Mols (4.4 per match over nine appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Accrington ST’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Accrington ST (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Woods averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 966 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Stefan Mols averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 548 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · League Two · Vale Park
- Head-to-head (last 6): Port Vale 2 · draws 2 · Accrington ST 2 · 3.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Port Vale 3W 0D 2L · Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L
Port Vale v Accrington ST (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Port Vale for / against | Line | Accrington ST for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.38 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.25 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.88 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Port Vale
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Faal n 8 | 41.5 | 4.1 | 1.6 | — |
| G. Hall n 8 | 58.1 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| Maleace Asamoah n 8 | 27.4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | — |
| T. Simpson n 8 | 28.1 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| C. Humphreys n 8 | 80 | 1.7 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Faal n 8 | 41.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Maleace Asamoah n 8 | 27.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| M. Watters n 8 | 59.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| B. Waine n 8 | 45.3 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Faal n 8 | 41.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| G. Byers n 8 | 47 | 0.5 | 0 |
| M. Watters n 8 | 59.5 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Maleace Asamoah n 8 | 27.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
| J. Moon n 8 | 77.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. John n 8 | 61 | 2.6 |
| G. Byers n 8 | 47 | 2.4 |
| R. Walters n 8 | 58.3 | 2.3 |
| J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| K. Dempsey n 8 | 84.3 | 2.1 |
Accrington ST
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Walton n 8 | 78 | 2.7 | 1.4 | — |
| S. Whalley n 8 | 67.5 | 2.2 | 1.2 | — |
| Alex Henderson n 8 | 43 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Catesby n 3 | 14 | 2.1 | 0 | — |
| Devon Matthews n 8 | 88 | 1.9 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Caton n 8 | 65.5 | 4 | 2.1 |
| J. Woods n 8 | 87.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| C. Stockton n 8 | 24.6 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Alex Henderson n 8 | 43 | 2.6 | 1 |
| C. Warren n 8 | 43 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Caton n 8 | 65.5 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Stefan Mols n 8 | 65 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| J. Woods n 8 | 87.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| C. Warren n 8 | 43 | 0.5 | 0 |
| C. O'Brien n 8 | 85.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Catesby n 3 | 14 | 4.3 |
| D. Tutonda n 8 | 84.8 | 2.9 |
| Joseph Anderson n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| Aidan Borland n 8 | 73.8 | 2.1 |
| C. O'Brien n 8 | 85.5 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Moulden n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Port Vale v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-02-01 Port Vale 2–1 Accrington ST
- 2024-09-21 Accrington ST 2–2 Port Vale
- 2023-04-07 Accrington ST 3–0 Port Vale
- 2023-02-07 Port Vale 1–1 Accrington ST
- 2021-11-06 Port Vale 5–1 Accrington ST
- 2018-01-20 Accrington ST 3–2 Port Vale
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Port Vale and Accrington ST?
- In their last 6 meetings, Port Vale won 2, Accrington ST won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Port Vale and Accrington ST?
- Recent form — Port Vale 3W 0D 2L; Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.