Port Vale v Swindon Town prediction
Team pages: Port Vale · Swindon Town · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Port Vale v Swindon Town, League Two on Tue, 09 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Port Vale host Swindon Town in League Two on Tuesday 9 February (kick-off 19:45 UK).
Form and the table
Four of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Port Vale have three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.83 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 0.50. Port Vale have scored six goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Port Vale have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Nine of Swindon Town’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Swindon Town’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Swindon Town have one win, one draw and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 2.13. Swindon Town have scored 13 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Swindon Town have conceded 16 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Port Vale are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Port Vale (20th) and Swindon Town (15th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Port Vale the stronger side, 23 rating points above Swindon Town (Port Vale 1488, Swindon Town 1465, after at least 280 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 1 September 2026, finished Swindon Town 3–1 Port Vale.
Team news
Predicted Port Vale XI (3-5-2): M. Maroši, C. Hall, C. Humphreys, L. Montsma, B. Garrity, K. Dempsey, J. Lawrence-Gabriel, J. Headley, G. Hall, O. Lynch, O. Hernández — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kyle Dempsey (3.8 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) and Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) have been Port Vale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Port Vale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kyle Dempsey averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 899 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 971 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Swindon Town XI (4-3-3): C. Ripley, S. Negru, K. Majekodunmi, D. Butler, J. Ball, A. Munda, J. Thomson, O. Clarke, A. Drinan, A. Hackford, J. Hungbo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Billy Kirkman (4.9 per match over 10 appearances) and Aaron Drinan (4.7 per match over 13 appearances, eight goals and one assist) have been Swindon Town’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Swindon Town (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Billy Kirkman averages 5.2 tackles per 90 over 642 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Aaron Drinan averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1136 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · League Two · Vale Park
- Head-to-head (last 6): Port Vale 2 · draws 1 · Swindon Town 3 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Port Vale 3W 1D 1L · Swindon Town 1W 2D 2L
Port Vale v Swindon Town (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Port Vale for / against | Line | Swindon Town for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.63 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 17 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.38 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.63 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.75 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Port Vale
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Hall n 8 | 52.5 | 2.6 | 1.3 | — |
| Maleace Asamoah n 8 | 27.4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | — |
| T. Simpson n 8 | 28.1 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| K. Figueroa n 4 | 35 | 1.9 | 2.6 | — |
| M. Watters n 8 | 57.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Figueroa n 4 | 35 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| M. Watters n 8 | 57.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| K. Dempsey n 8 | 78.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Maleace Asamoah n 8 | 27.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Figueroa n 4 | 35 | 0.6 | 0 |
| G. Byers n 8 | 54.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Maleace Asamoah n 8 | 27.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
| J. Moon n 8 | 78.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| J. Headley n 8 | 59.5 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Walters n 8 | 47.1 | 2.9 |
| K. Dempsey n 8 | 78.6 | 2.1 |
| K. John n 8 | 63.6 | 2.1 |
| G. Byers n 8 | 54.6 | 2.1 |
| J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 8 | 90 | 2 |
Swindon Town
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Debayo n 8 | 17.9 | 3.8 | 0.6 | — |
| J. Ball n 8 | 44.9 | 2.3 | 0.5 | — |
| B. Middlemas n 8 | 58.8 | 1.9 | 1 | — |
| A. Munda n 8 | 81.6 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| O. Clarke n 8 | 64.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hungbo n 8 | 44.3 | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| A. Drinan n 8 | 85.9 | 3 | 1.4 |
| J. Snowdon n 8 | 45.1 | 1.7 | 1 |
| O. Clarke n 8 | 64.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| B. Middlemas n 8 | 58.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Drinan n 8 | 85.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| J. Hungbo n 8 | 44.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| B. Middlemas n 8 | 58.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| J. Pearman n 6 | 40 | 0 | 0.4 |
| L. Millard n 8 | 27.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Kirkman n 8 | 57.8 | 5.8 |
| J. Debayo n 8 | 17.9 | 4.4 |
| Jack Thomson n 8 | 87 | 2.8 |
| O. Clarke n 8 | 64.4 | 2.8 |
| J. Ball n 8 | 44.9 | 2.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Ripley n 8 | 90 | 5.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Port Vale v Swindon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-01 Swindon Town 3–1 Port Vale
- 2025-02-08 Swindon Town 3–3 Port Vale
- 2024-09-28 Port Vale 2–1 Swindon Town
- 2022-05-19 Port Vale 1–0 Swindon Town
- 2022-05-15 Swindon Town 2–1 Port Vale
- 2022-01-15 Port Vale 1–3 Swindon Town
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Port Vale and Swindon Town?
- In their last 6 meetings, Port Vale won 2, Swindon Town won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Port Vale and Swindon Town?
- Recent form — Port Vale 3W 1D 1L; Swindon Town 1W 2D 2L.
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