Rochdale v Bristol Rovers prediction
Team pages: Rochdale · Bristol Rovers · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rochdale v Bristol Rovers, League Two on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Rochdale host Bristol Rovers in League Two on Saturday 19 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Rochdale have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Nine of Rochdale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Rochdale’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Rochdale have four wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.17. Rochdale have scored 13 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rochdale have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Seven of Bristol Rovers’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Bristol Rovers’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Bristol Rovers have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.75. Bristol Rovers have scored 15 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bristol Rovers have conceded 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Bristol Rovers have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Rochdale (13th) and Bristol Rovers (ninth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rochdale the stronger side, 49 rating points above Bristol Rovers (Rochdale 1443, Bristol Rovers 1394, after at least 103 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Bristol Rovers are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Rochdale. The most recent meeting, on 5 November 2022, finished Bristol Rovers 1–0 Rochdale.
Team news
Predicted Rochdale XI (4-2-3-1): N. Ramming, K. Wilson, C. Tasker, A. Flint, O. Adebayo-Rowling, B. Adeeko, H. Gilmour, K. Taylor, G. Middleton, L. Hannant, D. Brown — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Aden Flint (4.2 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) and Charlie Tasker (3.8 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Rochdale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rochdale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Aden Flint averages 0.3 tackles per 90 over 540 minutes, with a tackle in two of the last six appearances. Charlie Tasker averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 603 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances.
Predicted Bristol Rovers XI (4-2-3-1): B. Young, K. Balmer, T. James, B. Purrington, C. Kelly, C. Mola, R. Smallwood, S. Forde, B. Kamwa, T. Leigh, F. Cavegn — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Clinton Mola (3.9 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Thomas James (3.6 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Bristol Rovers’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bristol Rovers (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Clinton Mola averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 1023 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Thomas James averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 895 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · League Two · Spotland Stadium
- Head-to-head (last 6): Rochdale 1 · draws 1 · Bristol Rovers 4 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Rochdale 3W 1D 1L · Bristol Rovers 1W 0D 4L
Rochdale v Bristol Rovers (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Rochdale for / against | Line | Bristol Rovers for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.13 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.25 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.38 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.13 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Rochdale
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Francis n 8 | 37.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | — |
| E. Dieseruvwe n 8 | 43.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | — |
| I. Henderson n 8 | 57.3 | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| H. Gilmour n 8 | 70.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 | — |
| Z. Silcott-Duberry n 8 | 46.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith n 8 | 26.4 | 3 | 1.3 |
| D. Brown n 8 | 82.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| C. Hayes n 8 | 42.8 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| E. Dieseruvwe n 8 | 43.4 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| A. Flint n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown n 8 | 82.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| A. Flint n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| G. Middleton n 8 | 61.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
| D. Rodney n 8 | 52 | 0.4 | 0 |
| J. Smith n 8 | 26.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Kane Taylor n 8 | 81.6 | 2.9 |
| H. Gilmour n 8 | 70.6 | 2.4 |
| O. Adebayo-Rowling n 8 | 69.5 | 2.1 |
| C. Tasker n 8 | 81 | 1.9 |
| L. Hannant n 8 | 59.8 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Waller n 8 | 81.3 | 3 |
| Nils Ramming n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
Bristol Rovers
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Quigley n 8 | 31.8 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — |
| S. Forde n 8 | 72.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | — |
| C. Mola n 8 | 87.3 | 2.3 | 0.4 | — |
| R. Smallwood n 8 | 78.9 | 1.7 | 0.1 | — |
| T. Leigh n 8 | 72.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Leigh n 8 | 72.9 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| J. Quigley n 8 | 31.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| R. Russell-Denny n 8 | 22.6 | 2 | 1 |
| E. Harrison n 8 | 54.5 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| F. Cavegn n 8 | 69.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Leigh n 8 | 72.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| R. Russell-Denny n 8 | 22.6 | 0 | 0.5 |
| B. Kamwa n 8 | 61.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| E. Harrison n 8 | 54.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| A. Kilgour n 8 | 70.9 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Mola n 8 | 87.3 | 3.9 |
| R. Smallwood n 8 | 78.9 | 3.6 |
| R. Harbottle n 8 | 82 | 2.7 |
| J. Sparkes n 8 | 75.1 | 1.9 |
| Keenan Gough n 8 | 73.5 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Brad Young n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Rochdale v Bristol Rovers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2022-11-05 Bristol Rovers 1–0 Rochdale
- 2022-04-30 Rochdale 3–4 Bristol Rovers
- 2021-12-11 Bristol Rovers 4–2 Rochdale
- 2021-01-30 Bristol Rovers 1–2 Rochdale
- 2020-10-31 Rochdale 1–1 Bristol Rovers
- 2019-11-02 Rochdale 1–2 Bristol Rovers
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Rochdale and Bristol Rovers?
- In their last 6 meetings, Rochdale won 1, Bristol Rovers won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Rochdale and Bristol Rovers?
- Recent form — Rochdale 3W 1D 1L; Bristol Rovers 1W 0D 4L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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