Rochdale v York prediction

League Two · · Spotland Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Rochdale v York, League Two on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rochdale host York in League Two on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Rochdale have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. York are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Rochdale, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Rochdale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Rochdale’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Rochdale have four wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.17. Rochdale have scored 13 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rochdale have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Seven of York’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of York’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, York have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.29. York have scored 18 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). York have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

York are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Rochdale (13th) and York (fourth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have York the stronger side, 121 rating points above Rochdale (York 1564, Rochdale 1443, after at least 10 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Rochdale 1–1 York.

Team news

Predicted Rochdale XI (4-2-3-1): N. Ramming, K. Wilson, C. Tasker, A. Flint, O. Adebayo-Rowling, B. Adeeko, H. Gilmour, K. Taylor, G. Middleton, L. Hannant, D. Brown — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Aden Flint (4.2 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) and Charlie Tasker (3.8 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Rochdale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rochdale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Aden Flint averages 0.3 tackles per 90 over 540 minutes, with a tackle in two of the last six appearances. Charlie Tasker averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 603 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances.

Predicted York XI (3-4-2-1): A. McNally, M. Kitching, R. Fallowfield, Z. Johnson, O. Banks, H. Boyes, A. Hunt, J. Felix, J. King, A. Read, O. Pearce — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Harry Boyes (5.4 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and six assists) and Alexander Newby (4.1 per match over 11 appearances, six goals and one assist) have been York’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for York (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Harry Boyes averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 876 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Alexander Newby averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 723 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two · Spotland Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rochdale 0 · draws 2 · York 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rochdale 3W 1D 1L · York 2W 2D 1L

Rochdale v York (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.25
Corners
against 4.75 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.38 / 2 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRochdale for / againstLineYork for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
10.13 for · 16.25 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
8.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
Rochdale
Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Francis n 837.8
2.45/2
0.62/0
—
E. Dieseruvwe n 843.4
2.15/1
1.86/1
—
I. Henderson n 857.3
25/3
0.83/1
—
H. Gilmour n 870.6
1.96/3
1.65/3
—
Z. Silcott-Duberry n 846.1
1.76/1
0.73/0
—
Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Smith n 826.4
33/2
1.32/1
D. Brown n 882.8
2.38/5
16/1
E. Dieseruvwe n 843.4
1.65/1
0.31/0
A. Flint n 890
1.36/2
0.43/0
L. Maguire n 850
1.35/1
0.52/0
Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Brown n 882.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
A. Flint n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Middleton n 861.4
00/0
0.42/0
D. Rodney n 852
0.41/1
00/0
J. Smith n 826.4
0.41/0
00/0
Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kane Taylor n 881.6
2.97/6
H. Gilmour n 870.6
2.46/6
O. Adebayo-Rowling n 869.5
2.18/4
C. Tasker n 881
1.97/3
L. Hannant n 859.8
1.34/2
Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sam Waller n 881.3
35/4
Nils Ramming n 890
2.86/4
York
York — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Malcolm n 826.5
37/0
0.82/0
—
F. Maguire n 415.3
32/0
4.42/1
—
M. Williams n 890
1.65/4
0.63/1
—
O. Banks n 888.8
1.57/3
1.46/3
—
J. Hunt n 842.4
1.13/1
1.13/1
—
York — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Hewitt n 37.3
4.11/0
00/0
J. Malcolm n 826.5
3.43/2
33/2
F. Maguire n 415.3
32/0
00/0
O. Pearce n 884.1
2.37/7
0.95/2
A. Newby n 869.1
2.36/5
1.34/3
York — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Malcolm n 826.5
1.33/0
00/0
O. Pearce n 884.1
0.75/0
0.43/0
A. Newby n 869.1
0.73/1
00/0
H. Boyes n 887.9
00/0
0.63/2
J. King n 835.9
00/0
0.62/0
York — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Maguire n 415.3
32/0
J. Felix n 563.8
2.85/3
J. Felix n 850.6
2.77/4
A. Read n 818.3
2.54/0
A. Hunt n 873.6
27/2
York — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alfie Shane McNally n 890
2.66/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rochdale v York — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RochdaleWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
YorkWLWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rochdale 0 · 2 draws · York 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Rochdale 1–1 York
  • 2025-11-11 York 4–1 Rochdale
  • 2025-10-11 Rochdale 1–2 York
  • 2025-03-25 Rochdale 0–4 York
  • 2024-08-20 York 1–0 Rochdale
  • 2023-12-16 Rochdale 0–0 York
League standing · 2026/27
Rochdale#13 pos14 pts11 pl-2 GD
York#4 pos16 pts10 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Rochdale scored1.18
York scored1.8
Rochdale conceded1.36
York conceded1.2

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Rochdale and York?
In their last 6 meetings, Rochdale won 0, York won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rochdale and York?
Recent form — Rochdale 3W 1D 1L; York 2W 2D 1L.

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