Swindon Town v Grimsby result
Team pages: Swindon Town · Grimsby · Head-to-head
Swindon Town 2–2 Grimsby — this League Two match was drawn.
The result
Swindon Town and Grimsby drew 2–2 in League Two on Saturday 22 November. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Grimsby out-shot Swindon Town 15 to 14 and created the better chances, 3.54 xG to 2.18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
The goals
It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Swindon Town: Oliver Palmer (7’, assisted by James Ball) and B. Bodin (13’, assisted by D. Oldaker); Grimsby: Kieran Green (22’, assisted by Charles Vernam) and Daniel Rose (41’ pen).
Discipline
Oliver Yates, England showed four yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Swindon Town: G. Kilkenny (40’) and Jake Tabor (79’); Grimsby: Géza Turi (67’) and George McEachran (86’).
What it changes
Swindon Town move down from first to second (17 league matches played).
Grimsby move down from eighth to ninth (17 league matches played).
Swindon Town are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Grimsby are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Oliver Palmer (Swindon Town) 7.1, Charles Vernam (Grimsby) 6.8 and Kieran Green (Grimsby) 6.6 led the match.
Next up
Swindon Town next travel to Bristol Rovers on 24 October 2026.
Grimsby next travel to Gillingham on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Swindon Town: Bristol Rovers v Swindon Town, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Gillingham v Grimsby, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Swindon Town 2–2 Grimsby · League Two
- Referee: Oliver Yates, England
- Head-to-head (last 6): Swindon Town 5 · draws 0 · Grimsby 1 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Swindon Town 2W 3D 0L · Grimsby 1W 1D 3L
Swindon Town 2–2 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 November 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Swindon Town for / against | Line | Grimsby for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.14 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.86 for · 11.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.43 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.57 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.43 for · 12.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.57 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Oliver Yates, England.
Swindon Town
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Palmer n 8 | 74.6 | 2.6 | 1.4 | K. Green |
| Joel McGregor n 8 | 46.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | — |
| T. Nichols n 8 | 69 | 1.5 | 2.1 | — |
| Finley Munroe n 8 | 86.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | — |
| G. Kilkenny n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Princewill Ehibhatiomhan n 8 | 18.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| O. Palmer n 8 | 74.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| A. Drinan n 8 | 84.3 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| D. Butterworth n 8 | 26.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| P. Glatzel n 8 | 59.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Drinan n 8 | 84.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Princewill Ehibhatiomhan n 8 | 18.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| O. Palmer n 8 | 74.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Finley Munroe n 8 | 86.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| O. Clarke n 8 | 73.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Nichols n 8 | 69 | 2.9 |
| G. Kilkenny n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
| J. Snowdon n 8 | 68 | 2.3 |
| P. Glatzel n 8 | 59.5 | 2.3 |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel n 8 | 76.1 | 2.2 |
Grimsby
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rose n 8 | 29.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 | — |
| Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell n 8 | 17.8 | 2.5 | 1.9 | — |
| K. Green n 8 | 82.8 | 2 | 0.1 | O. Palmer |
| Jaze Kabia n 8 | 80 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Justin Amaluzor n 8 | 51.6 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell n 8 | 17.8 | 3.2 | 0.6 |
| C. Vernam n 8 | 75.1 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| J. Walker n 8 | 44.5 | 2.8 | 2 |
| Zak Gilsenan n 6 | 27.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Jaze Kabia n 8 | 80 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Gilsenan n 6 | 27.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| J. Walker n 8 | 44.5 | 1 | 0 |
| C. Vernam n 8 | 75.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell n 8 | 17.8 | 0 | 0.6 |
| J. Sweeney n 8 | 74.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Oduor n 8 | 19.9 | 5.1 |
| Neo Eccleston n 8 | 45.3 | 4 |
| G. McEachran n 8 | 83.4 | 2.8 |
| J. Svanþórsson n 8 | 46.5 | 2.7 |
| D. Burns n 8 | 48.4 | 2.6 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Swindon Town | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | Possession | 58% |
| 2.18 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.54 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 13 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 289 | Passes | 397 |
| 58% | Pass accuracy | 72% |
Swindon Town player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ripley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| O. Clarke | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| G. Kilkenny | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 5.6 |
| Finley Munroe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| P. Glatzel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| O. Palmer | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Ball | 74 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Oldaker | 74 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Tafazolli | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| B. Bodin | 65 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Joel McGregor sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Princewill Ehibhatiomhan sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| W. Wright sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jake Tabor sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
Grimsby player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. O'Donnell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| H. Rodgers | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| T. Warren | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. McJannet | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Staunton | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Burns | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| G. McEachran | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 7 |
| C. Vernam | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Green | 86 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Rose | 82 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| G. Turi | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| E. Khouri sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Walker sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Jaze Kabia sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Swindon Town v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-04-18 Grimsby 0–4 Swindon Town
- 2024-12-21 Swindon Town 3–1 Grimsby
- 2024-04-20 Grimsby 2–0 Swindon Town
- 2023-09-30 Swindon Town 2–1 Grimsby
- 2023-01-14 Swindon Town 5–0 Grimsby
- 2022-09-24 Grimsby 1–2 Swindon Town
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Grimsby?
- In their last 6 meetings, Swindon Town won 5, Grimsby won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Swindon Town and Grimsby?
- Recent form — Swindon Town 2W 3D 0L; Grimsby 1W 1D 3L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.