Swindon Town v Northampton prediction

League Two · · County Ground

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Swindon Town v Northampton, League Two on Sat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Swindon Town host Northampton in League Two on Saturday 6 March (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Swindon Town are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Swindon Town’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Swindon Town’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Swindon Town have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.25. Swindon Town have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Swindon Town have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Four of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in seven of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Northampton have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.63. Northampton have scored six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Northampton have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Swindon Town (18th) and Northampton (22nd) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Northampton the stronger side, 104 rating points above Swindon Town (Northampton 1456, Swindon Town 1352, after at least 189 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Northampton 0–0 Swindon Town.

Team news

Predicted Swindon Town XI (4-3-3): C. Ripley, S. Negru, K. Majekodunmi, D. Butler, M. Clark, A. Munda, J. Thomson, O. Clarke, A. Drinan, A. Hackford, J. Hungbo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Billy Kirkman (4.7 per match over nine appearances) and Jack Thomson (4.6 per match over nine appearances, one assist) have been Swindon Town’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Swindon Town (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Billy Kirkman averages 4.7 tackles per 90 over 552 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances. Jack Thomson averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 764 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Northampton XI (4-4-2): Z. Jeacock, E. Moore, J. Guthrie, J. Maxwell, J. Donacien, J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh, T. Fornah, L. Evans, L. Briggs, N. Opoku, M. Warhurst — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Joseph Wormleighton (4.0 per match over nine appearances) and Jonathan Guthrie (3.5 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) have been Northampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Northampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Joseph Wormleighton averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 693 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last nine appearances. Jonathan Guthrie averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 909 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two · County Ground
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Swindon Town 3 · draws 2 · Northampton 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Swindon Town 0W 2D 3L · Northampton 2W 1D 2L

Swindon Town v Northampton (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.63
Corners
against 7.25 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.88
Cards
against 0.5 / 2 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSwindon Town for / againstLineNorthampton for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 7.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.38 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 6.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 0.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
Swindon Town
Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Debayo n 717.1
4.53/2
00/0
—
J. Ball n 851.3
2.26/3
0.42/0
—
B. Middlemas n 858.8
1.96/2
14/1
—
K. Majekodunmi n 872.5
1.76/3
0.21/0
—
O. Clarke n 864.4
1.64/2
0.94/1
—
Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hungbo n 844.3
3.15/4
0.83/0
A. Drinan n 887.5
38/6
1.57/2
O. Palmer n 850.1
2.25/3
1.63/2
O. Clarke n 864.4
1.65/3
0.21/0
J. Snowdon n 847.6
1.44/1
0.52/0
Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Drinan n 887.5
0.63/1
00/0
J. Hungbo n 844.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
B. Middlemas n 858.8
0.42/0
00/0
L. Millard n 829.8
0.41/0
00/0
P. Glatzel n 865.9
0.21/0
00/0
Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Kirkman n 857.8
5.16/4
J. Debayo n 717.1
4.53/2
O. Clarke n 864.4
36/3
J. Snowdon n 847.6
2.86/5
B. Middlemas n 858.8
2.76/4
Swindon Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Ripley n 890
4.17/7
Northampton
Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. List n 835
3.26/2
2.95/3
—
O. Dale n 866.6
2.47/6
1.75/2
—
Matthew Warhurst n 852.6
2.16/3
1.34/2
—
K. Simon-Swyer n 828.4
24/1
0.41/0
—
J. Wormleighton n 882.1
1.87/4
1.87/5
—
Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Saunders n 856.5
2.87/5
1.45/2
O. Dale n 866.6
1.97/3
0.84/1
E. List n 835
1.94/2
1.63/2
Matthew Warhurst n 852.6
1.53/2
0.62/1
S. Hoskins n 833.1
1.42/1
0.71/1
Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 872.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
N. Opoku n 865.4
0.32/0
00/0
E. List n 835
0.31/0
00/0
O. Dale n 866.6
00/0
0.21/0
L. Evans n 863.8
00/0
0.21/0
Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Wormleighton n 882.1
3.77/7
J. Donacien n 871.4
37/5
S. Chambers n 546
2.34/1
C. Lemonheigh-Evans n 862.9
26/4
J. Maxwell n 869.9
1.85/4
Northampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Jeacock n 890
2.57/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Swindon Town v Northampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Swindon TownLDLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
NorthamptonWLLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Swindon Town 3 · 2 draws · Northampton 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-08-15 Northampton 0–0 Swindon Town
  • 2022-12-29 Northampton 1–2 Swindon Town
  • 2022-10-01 Swindon Town 1–2 Northampton
  • 2022-01-01 Swindon Town 5–2 Northampton
  • 2021-09-18 Northampton 1–1 Swindon Town
  • 2021-02-27 Swindon Town 2–1 Northampton
League standing · 2026/27
Swindon Town#18 pos12 pts11 pl-5 GD
Northampton#22 pos10 pts9 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Swindon Town scored0.91
Northampton scored0.67
Swindon Town conceded1.36
Northampton conceded0.78

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Northampton?
In their last 6 meetings, Swindon Town won 3, Northampton won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Swindon Town and Northampton?
Recent form — Swindon Town 0W 2D 3L; Northampton 2W 1D 2L.

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