Swindon Town v Walsall prediction
Team pages: Swindon Town · Walsall · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Swindon Town vs Walsall, League Two on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.
Form and momentum
Walsall are unbeaten in their last eleven matches (last 15 results). Six of Walsall’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Walsall’s last 15 results (40%).
Swindon Town are winless in their last five matches (last 15 results). Ten of Swindon Town’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Swindon Town’s last 15 results (47%).
The shape of the game
At home, Swindon Town have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.29. Swindon Town have scored nine goals, the 18th-highest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Swindon Town have conceded 14 goals, the 17th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
At away, Walsall have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.00. Walsall have scored twelve goals, the 12th-highest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Walsall have conceded six goals, the fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Swindon Town (17th) and Walsall (6th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Walsall the stronger side, 141 rating points above Swindon Town (1343 v 1484, after at least 324 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Swindon Town 2–1 Walsall.
Players to watch
By TACTIX Impact, Jack Thomson (4.6 per match over eight appearances, one assist) and B. Kirkman (4.4 per match over eight appearances) have been Swindon Town’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Swindon Town: Jack Thomson 1.7 key passes per 90 (674 minutes), a key pass in 6 of the last 8 appearances; B. Kirkman 4.7 tackles per 90 (462 minutes), a tackle in 6 of the last 8 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).
By TACTIX Impact, R. Smith (4.6 per match over eleven appearances, two goals and three assists) and J. Ward (4.5 per match over eleven appearances) have been Walsall’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Walsall: R. Smith 2.4 key passes per 90 (862 minutes), a key pass in 8 of the last 10 appearances; J. Ward 4.6 saves per 90 (995 minutes), two or more saves in 7 of the last 10 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).
Predicted line-ups
Predicted Swindon Town XI (4-3-3): C. Ripley, S. Negru, K. Majekodunmi, D. Butler, M. Clark, A. Munda, O. Clarke, Jack Thomson, A. Drinan, A. Hackford, J. Hungbo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.
Predicted Walsall XI (4-2-3-1): J. Ward, M. Hancock, J. Connolly, D. Skura, E. Ahui, R. Smith, S. Sprangler, Isaac Moore, L. Simper, Courtney Clarke, A. Pressley — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.
What the model says
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick — a Bronze-tier call across 246 priced markets; the full forecast, probabilities and value against the bookmakers are part of Pro.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · League Two · County Ground
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Swindon Town 3 · draws 0 · Walsall 3 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Swindon Town 0W 1D 4L · Walsall 1W 4D 0L
TACTIX runs Swindon Town vs Walsall (League Two) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 10 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Swindon Town for / against | Line | Walsall for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.13 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.63 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.13 for · 16.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.25 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.25 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Swindon Town
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Debayo n 7 | 17.1 | 4.5 | 0 | — |
| J. Ball n 8 | 43 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — |
| B. Middlemas n 8 | 58.8 | 1.9 | 1 | — |
| O. Clarke n 8 | 64.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | — |
| K. Majekodunmi n 8 | 74.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hungbo n 8 | 37.6 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| A. Drinan n 8 | 87.5 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| O. Palmer n 8 | 50.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| O. Clarke n 8 | 64.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| M. Virtue-Thick n 8 | 58.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hungbo n 8 | 37.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Drinan n 8 | 87.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| B. Middlemas n 8 | 58.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| L. Millard n 8 | 33.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| P. Glatzel n 8 | 65.9 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Kirkman n 8 | 57.8 | 4.7 |
| J. Debayo n 7 | 17.1 | 4.5 |
| J. Ball n 8 | 43 | 3.1 |
| B. Middlemas n 8 | 58.8 | 2.7 |
| O. Clarke n 8 | 64.3 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Ripley n 8 | 90 | 4 |
Walsall
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sprangler n 8 | 72.8 | 2.8 | 0 | — |
| Taione Richard Evumena Sodje n 8 | 48.5 | 2.8 | 0.9 | — |
| Isaac Moore n 8 | 73.9 | 2.7 | 2.1 | — |
| A. Adomah n 8 | 27.9 | 2.4 | 1.2 | — |
| A. Evans n 8 | 39 | 2 | 1.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Clarke n 8 | 53.4 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Taione Richard Evumena Sodje n 8 | 48.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| L. Simper n 8 | 50.8 | 2 | 0.9 |
| A. Pressley n 8 | 82.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| A. Dallas n 8 | 43.3 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith n 8 | 84.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Dallas n 8 | 43.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| A. Evans n 8 | 39 | 0 | 0.6 |
| A. Pressley n 8 | 82.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| E. Ahui n 8 | 71 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Crew n 8 | 43 | 2.9 |
| Isaac Moore n 8 | 73.9 | 2.4 |
| J. Furlong n 8 | 39.4 | 2.3 |
| S. Sprangler n 8 | 72.8 | 2.2 |
| L. Simper n 8 | 50.8 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Ward n 8 | 90 | 4.1 |
TACTIX model preview
The TACTIX model has priced Swindon Town vs Walsall across 246 betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Swindon Town v Walsall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-06 Swindon Town 2–1 Walsall
- 2025-08-02 Walsall 2–1 Swindon Town
- 2025-03-01 Walsall 0–1 Swindon Town
- 2024-08-17 Swindon Town 0–4 Walsall
- 2024-04-16 Walsall 2–1 Swindon Town
- 2023-09-16 Swindon Town 2–0 Walsall
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Swindon Town vs Walsall?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Swindon Town vs Walsall is Draw or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Walsall?
- In their last 6 meetings, Swindon Town won 3, Walsall won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Swindon Town and Walsall?
- Recent form — Swindon Town 0W 1D 4L; Walsall 1W 4D 0L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →
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