CF Pachuca v Toluca prediction
Team pages: CF Pachuca · Toluca · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for CF Pachuca v Toluca, Liga MX on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
CF Pachuca host Toluca in Liga MX on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 23:00 UK).
The key numbers
Toluca have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of CF Pachuca’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of CF Pachuca’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, CF Pachuca have no wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 0.60 points per game, scoring 1.80 and conceding 2.20. CF Pachuca have scored 18 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026 so far). CF Pachuca have conceded 14 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Eight of Toluca’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Toluca’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Toluca have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 away matches in all competitions — 1.60 points per game, scoring 1.60 and conceding 1.40. Toluca have scored 26 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026 so far). Toluca have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
CF Pachuca are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Toluca are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. CF Pachuca (14th) and Toluca (second) are eight points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Toluca the stronger side, 40 rating points above CF Pachuca (Toluca 1609, CF Pachuca 1569, after at least 344 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
CF Pachuca are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Toluca. The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished CF Pachuca 2–0 Toluca.
Team news
Predicted CF Pachuca XI (4-2-3-1): C. Moreno, S. Barreto, F. Venegas, E. Bauermann, C. Sánchez, C. Rivera, S. Rodríguez, A. Gutiérrez, O. Idrissi, R. Pizarro, S. Rondón — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Rondón (5.1 per match over 13 appearances, 12 goals) and O. Idrissi (4.4 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been CF Pachuca’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for CF Pachuca (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Rondón averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 1209 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. O. Idrissi averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 924 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Toluca XI (4-2-3-1): L. Garcia, F. Pereira, B. Mendez, E. López, J. Gallardo, Helinho, N. Castro, A. Vega, F. Romero, F. Viñas, Paulinho — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Helinho (4.8 per match over 23 appearances, seven goals and six assists) and J. Gallardo (4.8 per match over 19 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Toluca’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Toluca (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Helinho averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1506 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. J. Gallardo averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 2647 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Liga MX · Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
- Head-to-head (last 6): CF Pachuca 2 · draws 3 · Toluca 1 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: CF Pachuca 2W 2D 1L · Toluca 1W 2D 2L
CF Pachuca v Toluca (Liga MX): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | CF Pachuca for / against | Line | Toluca for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.63 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.88 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.88 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.25 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 15.75 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.71 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
CF Pachuca
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Sánchez n 8 | 78 | 2.5 | 2.6 | — |
| Adrián Alcaraz n 8 | 40.4 | 2.5 | 1.1 | — |
| C. Rivera n 8 | 87.9 | 2.4 | 1 | — |
| Sergio Rodríguez n 8 | 56.8 | 2 | 1.4 | — |
| F. Venegas n 8 | 81.9 | 1.9 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rondón n 8 | 80.9 | 4.9 | 1.7 |
| A. Alcaraz n 7 | 26 | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| N. Vallejo n 8 | 40.3 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| Adrián Alcaraz n 8 | 40.4 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| G. Ãlvarez n 8 | 21 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rondón n 8 | 80.9 | 1.3 | 0 |
| R. Pizarro n 8 | 43 | 0 | 0.8 |
| N. Vallejo n 8 | 40.3 | 0 | 0.8 |
| A. Mozo n 8 | 43.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| O. Idrissi n 8 | 64.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Rivera n 8 | 87.9 | 3.1 |
| R. Pizarro n 8 | 43 | 2.6 |
| C. Sánchez n 8 | 78 | 2.5 |
| Sergio Rodríguez n 8 | 56.8 | 2 |
| S. Santos n 8 | 51.6 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Moreno n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
Toluca
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Barbosa n 8 | 56 | 2.2 | 1 | — |
| A. Vega n 8 | 69.9 | 1.9 | 2.6 | — |
| É. Gutiérrez n 8 | 60.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| J. Gallardo n 8 | 77.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| V. Guzmán n 8 | 34.3 | 1.6 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Diaz n 8 | 31.3 | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| O. Virgen n 8 | 28.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Helinho n 8 | 71.4 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| F. Viñas n 8 | 71.8 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| N. Castro n 8 | 78.9 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Virgen n 8 | 28.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Helinho n 8 | 71.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| A. Vega n 8 | 69.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| J. Diaz n 8 | 31.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| F. Viñas n 8 | 71.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Barbosa n 8 | 56 | 5.8 |
| P. Perez n 8 | 27.5 | 3.7 |
| É. Gutiérrez n 8 | 60.3 | 3.2 |
| F. Pereira n 8 | 84.4 | 2.9 |
| Santiago Simón n 8 | 65.8 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Garcia n 8 | 88.1 | 3.3 |
| H. Gonzalez n 8 | 81.5 | 1.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind CF Pachuca v Toluca — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-10 CF Pachuca 2–0 Toluca
- 2026-05-04 Toluca 0–1 CF Pachuca
- 2026-03-22 CF Pachuca 1–1 Toluca
- 2025-10-27 Toluca 2–2 CF Pachuca
- 2025-03-29 Toluca 3–2 CF Pachuca
- 2024-09-18 CF Pachuca 2–2 Toluca
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between CF Pachuca and Toluca?
- In their last 6 meetings, CF Pachuca won 2, Toluca won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of CF Pachuca and Toluca?
- Recent form — CF Pachuca 2W 2D 1L; Toluca 1W 2D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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