Club Tijuana v Leon result

Full-time · Club Tijuana 1–0 Leon

Liga MX · Sat, 25 Jul 2026 04:00 BST · Estadio Caliente

Updated 7 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Club Tijuana · Leon · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Club Tijuana 1–0 Leon — Club Tijuana won this Liga MX match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4599 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Club Tijuana beat Leon 1–0 at Estadio Caliente in Liga MX on Saturday 25 July. Club Tijuana are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Leon have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Club Tijuana: G. Mora (53’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with G. Mora’s goal on 53 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Club Tijuana 1.93, Leon 0.88, from 9 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Armenta showed two yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Leon: D. Arcila (28’) and B. Colula (43’).

What it changes

Club Tijuana stay first after this result (two league matches played).

Leon move down from 15th to 16th (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. Mora (Club Tijuana) 6.2, O. Garcia (Leon) 5.8 and Adonis Preciado (Club Tijuana) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Club Tijuana or Leon (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3559 of 4599).

Next up

Club Tijuana next travel to Toluca on 22 October 2026.

Leon next travel to Tigres UANL on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Club Tijuana: Toluca v Club Tijuana, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Leon: Tigres UANL v Leon, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Club Tijuana 1–0 Leon · Liga MX
Venue: Estadio Caliente · Tijuana
Referee: J. Armenta
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Club Tijuana 3 · draws 1 · Leon 2 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Club Tijuana 3W 2D 0L · Leon 2W 0D 3L

Club Tijuana 1–0 Leon (Liga MX): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.33 / 6

Corners

against 5.5 / 4.86 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 6 matches

4.83 / 5.43

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 6 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.83 / 2.29

Cards

against 3.5 / 2.71 · 3 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 6 matches

4.17 yellows

Referee · J. Armenta

2 home / 2.17 away

over 6 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Club Tijuana for / against	Line	Leon for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.33 for · 5.5 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	6 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	12.83 for · 13.83 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	14.86 for · 15.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.83 for · 4.5 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	5.43 for · 6 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.33 for · 13.5 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	15 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.83 for · 3.5 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	2.29 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: J. Armenta — 4.17 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 25.67 fouls over 6 matches (2 to the home side, 2.17 to the away side).

Home 2Away 2.17

Club Tijuana

Club Tijuana — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Boya n 8	30.5	2.6 4/2	1.5 4/0	—
M. El Ghezouani n 8	48.9	1.8 4/2	1.2 4/1	—
I. Tona n 8	86.5	1.7 6/3	0.9 4/2	R. Echeverria
R. Fernández n 8	84.9	1.6 5/2	1.1 6/2	Juan José Guevara Possu
I. Rivero n 8	78.8	1.6 6/2	1.3 6/2	—

Club Tijuana — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Abreu n 8	50	2 6/2	1.3 5/1
K. Castaneda n 8	65.9	1.9 7/4	1 4/2
A. Perez n 8	31.3	1.8 2/2	0.7 1/1
I. Rivero n 8	78.8	1.6 5/4	0.7 4/1
Josef Martínez n 8	34.3	1.6 3/1	1 2/1

Club Tijuana — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Abreu n 8	50	0.7 3/0	0.2 1/0
K. Castaneda n 8	65.9	0.7 3/1	0 0/0
M. El Ghezouani n 8	48.9	0.5 1/1	0.2 1/0
Josef Martínez n 8	34.3	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
R. Arciga n 8	70.1	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0

Club Tijuana — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Tona n 8	86.5	3.3 8/7
A. Vega n 8	45.9	2.7 3/3
J. Porozo n 8	82.3	2.5 6/4
A. Gomez n 8	74	2.4 6/4
A. Perez n 8	31.3	2.2 4/2

Club Tijuana — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Rodriguez n 8	90	3.2 7/5

Leon

Leon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Rodriguez n 8	31.3	3.2 5/2	0.7 1/1	—
B. Colula n 8	67.8	2.7 7/6	0.7 3/1	—
R. Echeverria n 8	66.5	2.4 7/3	1.4 4/2	I. Tona
Juan José Guevara Possu n 8	84.4	2.3 8/5	2 7/6	R. Fernández
S. Santos n 8	85.6	2 7/5	0.3 1/1	—

Leon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Diaz n 8	53.5	3.6 8/7	1.7 6/2
A. Alvarado n 8	30	3 5/2	2.6 4/2
E. Guerra n 8	70.1	2.9 7/5	1.4 5/2
D. Cambindo n 8	72.3	2.3 5/5	1.2 5/2
A. Estrada n 8	22.8	2 4/0	0 0/0

Leon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Cambindo n 8	72.3	0.6 4/0	0.2 1/0
J. Cortizo n 8	28.8	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
I. Diaz n 8	53.5	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
E. Guerra n 8	70.1	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
Fernando Beltrán n 8	49.8	0.5 2/0	0 0/0

Leon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Santos n 8	85.6	2.8 7/6
J. Cortizo n 8	28.8	2.7 3/3
R. Echeverria n 8	66.5	2.4 6/6
S. Vegas n 8	78.3	2 5/3
A. Estrada n 8	22.8	2 3/1

Leon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Garcia n 8	91.3	3.9 6/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Club Tijuana		Leon
39%	Possession	61%
1.93	Expected goals (xG)	0.88
9	Shots	11
3	Shots on target	2
4	Shots off target	4
2	Blocked shots	5
5	Shots inside the box	6
3	Corners	10
2	Offsides	1
12	Fouls	13
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
360	Passes	550
80%	Pass accuracy	88%

Club Tijuana player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
A. Rodriguez	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
R. Fernández	90	0	0	0	2	1	7.3
J. Porozo	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
A. Gomez	90	0	0	0	0	4	7.6
P. N. Ortiz Orozco	90	0	0	0	0	2	7
I. Tona	90	0	0	0	0	3	7.5
Adonis Preciado	90	0	1	0	2	3	7.6
Y. Padilla	81	0	2	1	1	2	6.5
R. Arciga	67	0	0	0	0	6	6.6
M. El Ghezouani	67	0	2	1	0	1	5.9
A. Zapata	45	0	0	0	0	2	6.6
G. Mora sub	45	1	1	1	1	0	7.7
A. Vega sub	23	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
D. Abreu sub	23	0	1	0	0	1	6.9
A. Mejía sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Leon player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
O. Garcia	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Jhohan Romaña	90	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
Juan José Guevara Possu	90	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
I. Rodriguez	90	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
J. Cortizo	90	1	0	2	3	0	6.6
I. Diaz	90	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
S. Reyes	79	1	0	1	1	0	6.2
B. Colula	71	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
R. Echeverria	71	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
D. Arcila	45	0	0	2	0	Y	6.9
A. Alvarado	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
E. Guerra sub	45	1	1	1	1	0	6.2
Fernando Beltrán sub	45	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
I. Moreno sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
L. Valadez sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Lara sub	11	0	0	0	1	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Club Tijuana v Leon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Club TijuanaWDWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

LeonWWLLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Club Tijuana 3 · 1 draw · Leon 2 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-03-15 Leon 0–3 Club Tijuana
2025-09-20 Club Tijuana 5–0 Leon
2025-03-02 Leon 2–1 Club Tijuana
2024-08-31 Club Tijuana 2–1 Leon
2024-03-04 Club Tijuana 1–1 Leon
2023-09-24 Leon 1–0 Club Tijuana

League standing · 2026

Club Tijuana#10 pos16 pts11 pl+1 GD

Leon#7 pos18 pts12 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Club Tijuana scored1.36

Leon scored1.5

Club Tijuana conceded1.27

Leon conceded1.42

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Club Tijuana v Leon?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Club Tijuana v Leon was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Club Tijuana and Leon?: In their last 6 meetings, Club Tijuana won 3, Leon won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Club Tijuana and Leon?: Recent form — Club Tijuana 3W 2D 0L; Leon 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Aug 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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