Cruz Azul v Puebla result

Full-time · Cruz Azul 2–1 Puebla

Liga MX · · Estadio Banorte

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cruz Azul · Puebla · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Cruz Azul 2–1 Puebla — Cruz Azul won this Liga MX match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.40 at Betfair
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cruz Azul beat Puebla 2–1 at Estadio Banorte in Liga MX on Wednesday 22 July. Cruz Azul are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Puebla: F. Monarrez (28’, assisted by A. Herrera); Cruz Azul: L. Romero (44’, assisted by J. Márquez) and C. Ebere (82’, assisted by J. Paradela).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Ebere’s goal on 82 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Cruz Azul 1.38, Puebla 0.90, from 22 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

K. Hernandez Andrade showed five yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cruz Azul: L. Romero (37’) and N. Ibáñez (45+2’); Puebla: A. Ramirez (84’), E. Mustre (90+1’) and F. Monarrez (90+5’).

What it changes

Cruz Azul move up from second to first (two league matches played).

Puebla move down from fifth to ninth (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Márquez (Cruz Azul) 10.7, F. Monarrez (Puebla) 8.9 and J. Paradela (Cruz Azul) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

Cruz Azul next travel to CF Pachuca on 22 October 2026.

Puebla next host Monterrey on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cruz Azul: CF Pachuca v Cruz Azul, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Puebla: Puebla v Monterrey, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Cruz Azul 2–1 Puebla · Liga MX
  • Venue: Estadio Banorte · Mexico City
  • Referee: K. Hernandez Andrade
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cruz Azul 4 · draws 1 · Puebla 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cruz Azul 3W 2D 0L · Puebla 1W 0D 4L

Cruz Azul 2–1 Puebla (Liga MX): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.25 / 7.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3 yellows
Referee · K. Hernandez Andrade
1.43 home / 1.57 away
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCruz Azul for / againstLinePuebla for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 7.75 against n 8
Shots
15.5 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 16.13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 14.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: K. Hernandez Andrade — 3 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 19.14 fouls over 7 matches (1.43 to the home side, 1.57 to the away side).

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Josué Díaz n 320.3
4.42/1
1.51/0
—
B. Gamboa n 814.6
3.84/1
00/0
—
A. García n 876.4
1.86/4
0.73/1
—
G. Piovi n 888.8
1.56/5
0.42/1
F. Monarrez
J. Orozco n 860.9
1.56/2
0.62/1
F. Monarrez
Cruz Azul — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Ibáñez n 846.9
4.37/6
2.46/4
G. Fernández n 849.8
3.24/4
23/3
A. Montaño n 818.1
3.13/1
0.61/0
C. Rotondi n 885.8
2.87/7
1.66/4
J. Paradela n 877.1
2.26/6
1.35/3
Cruz Azul — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Romero n 818.9
0.61/0
0.61/0
J. Paradela n 877.1
0.32/0
0.43/0
C. Rotondi n 885.8
0.32/0
0.31/1
J. Márquez n 872.4
0.63/1
00/0
A. Montaño n 818.1
0.61/0
00/0
Cruz Azul — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Palavecino n 882.3
3.67/6
L. Romero n 818.9
3.64/2
C. Rotondi n 885.8
2.47/5
W. Ditta n 884.8
2.16/4
O. Campos n 875
2.18/5
Cruz Azul — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Mier n 890
2.85/4
Puebla
Puebla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Maestro Puch n 842.6
3.24/3
1.12/1
—
A. Herrera n 838.9
2.33/2
1.44/1
—
F. Monarrez n 889.9
27/6
14/2
J. Orozco
A. Canelo n 845.1
25/3
2.24/2
—
A. Ramirez n 878.4
1.75/3
1.97/3
—
Puebla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Guerra n 870.1
2.97/5
1.45/2
I. Maestro Puch n 842.6
2.95/3
1.32/2
E. Lozano n 831.8
2.85/3
1.13/0
E. Gomez n 883.8
1.97/4
0.94/2
L. Rey n 848.3
1.94/4
0.21/0
Puebla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Garnica n 822.4
0.51/0
0.51/0
C. Baltazar n 830.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
E. Guerra n 870.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda n 826.8
0.41/0
00/0
F. Almada n 890
00/0
0.32/0
Puebla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
U. Torres n 342.7
2.82/2
S. Sanabria n 663.7
2.65/3
J. R. Pachuca Martinez n 839
2.65/3
A. Organista n 872.1
2.58/4
B. Garnica n 822.4
2.53/2
Puebla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Gutierrez n 891.3
2.86/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Cruz AzulPuebla
67%Possession33%
1.38Expected goals (xG)0.90
22Shots10
7Shots on target4
9Shots off target1
6Blocked shots5
10Shots inside the box4
7Corners3
0Offsides2
11Fouls7
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves5
568Passes277
89%Pass accuracy77%

Cruz Azul player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Mier9000000006.9
J. Márquez9001203607.6
J. Orozco9000110207.2
É. Lira9000100107
C. Rodríguez9000214007
J. Paradela9001003007.2
C. Rotondi6800111206.2
L. Romero67101142Y7.3
G. Fernández6700300106.7
G. Piovi5800001206.9
N. Ibáñez58001100Y6.2
W. Ditta sub3200000207
A. Palavecino sub3200202106.9
A. García sub2300000006.3
O. Campos sub2300001007.2
C. Ebere sub2210220007.3

Puebla player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Gutierrez9000000006.9
Angel Leyva9000111206.2
F. Almada9000110006.3
J. Vargas9000000006.7
F. Monarrez90101123Y8.2
E. Gomez9000001107.7
S. Sanabria8700100407.2
K. Velasco7800002206.2
A. Organista7700001006.2
A. Herrera5601002206.6
L. Hernandez5600110006.2
C. Baltazar sub3400000006.9
E. Mustre sub34000000Y6.3
A. Ramirez sub13000001Y6.2
B. Garnica sub1200000106.3
M. Tomas sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Cruz Azul v Puebla — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Cruz AzulDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
PueblaLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cruz Azul 4 · 1 draw · Puebla 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-18 Cruz Azul 1–0 Puebla
  • 2025-11-01 Puebla 0–3 Cruz Azul
  • 2025-01-25 Cruz Azul 1–1 Puebla
  • 2024-10-19 Puebla 1–2 Cruz Azul
  • 2024-04-13 Puebla 0–1 Cruz Azul
  • 2023-11-13 Cruz Azul 1–2 Puebla
League standing · 2026
Cruz Azul#5 pos20 pts12 pl+6 GD
Puebla#11 pos16 pts12 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Cruz Azul scored2.25
Puebla scored1
Cruz Azul conceded1.75
Puebla conceded1.08

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Cruz Azul v Puebla?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cruz Azul v Puebla was Under 2.5 goals (best price 2.40 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Cruz Azul and Puebla?
In their last 6 meetings, Cruz Azul won 4, Puebla won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cruz Azul and Puebla?
Recent form — Cruz Azul 3W 2D 0L; Puebla 1W 0D 4L.

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