FC Juarez v Puebla result

Full-time · FC Juarez 0–1 Puebla

Liga MX · · Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Juarez · Puebla · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Juarez 0–1 Puebla — Puebla won this Liga MX match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.20 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Puebla won 1–0 at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez in Liga MX on Saturday 18 July. It is Puebla’s first win over FC Juarez since 26 August 2023, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Puebla led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Puebla: I. Maestro Puch (11’, assisted by A. Herrera). I. Moreno (64’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with I. Maestro Puch’s goal on 11 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: FC Juarez 0.86, Puebla 1.22, from 13 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

H. Gomez showed two yellow cards and one red — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Juarez: Guilherme Castilho (74’); Puebla: I. Maestro Puch (69’).

What it changes

FC Juarez are 17th after this result (one league match played).

Puebla are fifth after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, I. Maestro Puch (Puebla) 5.0, E. Gomez (Puebla) 4.7 and A. Herrera (Puebla) 3.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

FC Juarez next host Atlante FC on 21 October 2026.

Puebla next host Monterrey on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Juarez: FC Juarez v Atlante FC, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Puebla: Puebla v Monterrey, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: FC Juarez 0–1 Puebla · Liga MX
  • Venue: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez · Ciudad Juárez
  • Referee: H. Gomez
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Juarez 3 · draws 2 · Puebla 1 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Juarez 1W 1D 3L · Puebla 0W 1D 4L

FC Juarez 0–1 Puebla (Liga MX): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.17 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.67 / 7.38 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.5 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4.33 / 5 · 0 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.83 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.67 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3 yellows
Referee · H. Gomez
1.36 home / 1.64 away
over 11 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Juarez for / againstLinePuebla for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.17 for · 5.67 against n 6
9.5standard
4.5 for · 7.38 against n 8
Shots
16.5 for · 13.5 against n 6
19.5standard
12.38 for · 17 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.33 against n 6
8.5standard
3.25 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.17 for · 11.5 against n 6
21.5standard
11.38 for · 15.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.83 for · 2.67 against n 6
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: H. Gomez — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.64 red cards, 23.27 fouls over 11 matches (1.36 to the home side, 1.64 to the away side).

FC Juarez
FC Juarez — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Monchu n 874.9
2.38/5
0.53/0
A. Ramirez
R. Pizarro n 849.3
2.15/3
2.76/3
—
H. Martínez n 844.3
25/3
0.83/0
—
Ó. Estupiñán n 860.5
1.96/2
1.14/2
—
Ricardinho n 841.1
1.65/1
1.43/1
—
FC Juarez — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Martínez Dupuy n 838.5
4.48/5
1.55/0
E. Ayón n 824
3.34/2
0.91/1
Ó. Estupiñán n 860.5
2.85/4
1.33/3
Guilherme Castilho n 828.1
2.84/3
0.82/0
J. Torres n 872
2.38/4
1.16/1
FC Juarez — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Ayón n 824
0.91/1
00/0
Ó. Estupiñán n 860.5
0.63/0
0.21/0
Guilherme Castilho n 828.1
0.82/0
00/0
Madson n 852.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
J. Torres n 872
0.32/0
0.21/0
FC Juarez — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Martínez n 844.3
2.56/3
Monchu n 874.9
2.16/5
F. Nevárez n 865.5
2.17/4
J. Aquino n 855.8
1.85/3
Ricardinho n 841.1
1.42/2
FC Juarez — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Jurado n 890
2.95/5
Puebla
Puebla — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Ramirez n 826.5
2.55/1
1.33/0
—
A. Araos n 829.8
2.35/1
0.82/0
—
A. Canelo n 845.1
25/3
2.24/2
—
A. Ramirez n 883.8
1.65/3
1.77/3
Monchu
F. Monarrez n 881.9
1.66/5
0.83/1
—
Puebla — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Guerra n 870.1
2.97/5
1.45/2
E. Lozano n 831.8
2.85/3
1.13/0
E. Mustre n 58.6
2.11/0
2.11/0
E. Gomez n 880.1
27/4
0.83/2
L. Rey n 848.3
1.94/4
0.21/0
Puebla — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Garnica n 822.4
0.51/0
0.51/0
C. Baltazar n 830.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
E. Guerra n 870.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
A. Araos n 829.8
0.41/0
00/0
Owen de Jesús González Ojeda n 826.8
0.41/0
00/0
Puebla — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Ramirez n 826.5
3.85/4
U. Torres n 342.7
2.82/2
J. R. Pachuca Martinez n 839
2.65/3
B. Garnica n 822.4
2.53/2
F. Monarrez n 881.9
2.35/4
Puebla — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Gutierrez n 891.3
37/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC JuarezPuebla
65%Possession35%
0.86Expected goals (xG)1.22
13Shots13
1Shots on target5
10Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
9Shots inside the box8
5Corners7
1Offsides1
9Fouls22
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
4Saves1
484Passes266
86%Pass accuracy72%

FC Juarez player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Jurado9000000006.9
J. Murillo9000200006.3
Haret Ortega9000000007.3
A. Mayorga9000000006.7
Guilherme Castilho90001023Y6.6
Ricardinho9000301007
Ó. Estupiñán5900000006.2
J. Aquino5800000207.3
Monchu5800101006.7
Madson4500111106.3
L. Romero70000000–
D. García sub8300101007.3
J. Rodríguez sub4500002107.2
F. Nevárez sub3200001206.9
J. Torres sub3200200006.3
L. Martínez Dupuy sub3100000006.5

Puebla player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Gutierrez9000000006.3
F. Almada9000200007
J. Vargas9000000007
F. Monarrez9000101106.3
A. Herrera9001111006.7
E. Gomez9000113406.9
K. Velasco8700002006.5
I. Maestro Puch81104301Y7.3
A. Organista6600001406.9
I. Moreno64000002R5.9
A. Ramirez4500001006.9
S. Sanabria sub4500000107
Angel Leyva sub2400000206.7
E. Mustre sub900000006.5
Ó. Villa sub900000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FC Juarez v Puebla — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC JuarezDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
PueblaDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Juarez 3 · 2 draws · Puebla 1 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-04 Puebla 1–1 FC Juarez
  • 2025-10-25 FC Juarez 4–4 Puebla
  • 2025-03-29 FC Juarez 2–0 Puebla
  • 2024-09-28 Puebla 2–3 FC Juarez
  • 2024-03-24 FC Juarez 4–3 Puebla
  • 2023-08-26 Puebla 1–0 FC Juarez
League standing · 2026
FC Juarez#18 pos4 pts12 pl-23 GD
Puebla#11 pos16 pts12 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
FC Juarez scored0.67
Puebla scored1
FC Juarez conceded2.58
Puebla conceded1.08

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Juarez v Puebla?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Juarez v Puebla was Under 2.5 goals (best price 2.20 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Juarez and Puebla?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Juarez won 3, Puebla won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Juarez and Puebla?
Recent form — FC Juarez 1W 1D 3L; Puebla 0W 1D 4L.

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