Leon v Club America result

Full-time · Leon 3–5 Club America

Liga MX · · Estadio León

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Leon 3–5 Club America — Club America won this Liga MX match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.70 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 636 times (65.9%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Club America won 5–3 at Estadio León in Liga MX on Sunday 18 October. Leon have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Club America have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Club America led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Club America: H. Martín (24’ pen), Carlos Álvarez (34’, assisted by H. Martín), É. Sánchez (58’, assisted by Carlos Álvarez), Ó. Perea (84’, assisted by B. Rodríguez) and B. Rodríguez (90’, assisted by Ó. Perea); Leon: A. Alvarado (53’, assisted by D. Arcila), I. Moreno (82’) and I. Diaz (90’, assisted by F. Beltran Cruz).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s eight key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with H. Martín’s goal on 24 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Leon 1.56, Club America 2.13, from 13 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Leon: Jhohan Romaña (28’), D. Arcila (45+3’), Juan José Guevara Possu (61’) and J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (90+1’); Club America: F. Rossano (45+6’), I. Reyes (45+7’), A. Zendejas (75’) and Edwin Cerrillo (90+1’).

What it changes

Leon move down from fourth to sixth (12 league matches played).

Club America stay first after this result (11 league matches played).

With eight goals it was the highest-scoring match of Apertura round 12, across nine matches. Club America are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, B. Rodríguez (Club America) 12.2, H. Martín (Club America) 9.5 and Carlos Álvarez (Club America) 8.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Leon next travel to Tigres UANL on 21 October 2026.

Club America next travel to Atlas on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leon: Tigres UANL v Leon, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Club America: Atlas v Club America, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Leon 3–5 Club America · Liga MX
  • Venue: Estadio León · Leon
  • Referee: Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Leon 1 · draws 2 · Club America 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Leon 2W 2D 1L · Club America 1W 2D 2L

Leon 3–5 Club America (Liga MX): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 2
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.25 / 6.38
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 6.88
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLeon for / againstLineClub America for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 15.63 against n 8
19.5standard
18.25 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 13.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas.

Leon
Leon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Colula n 842.5
2.45/1
1.34/1
—
S. Vegas n 867.3
2.37/3
0.53/0
—
Christopher Mora n 450.8
2.23/2
0.91/1
—
A. Alvarado n 832.3
2.14/2
1.43/1
—
R. Echeverria n 857.5
1.85/3
1.24/2
—
Leon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Cambindo n 876.5
48/8
1.35/3
D. Arcila n 876.6
2.36/4
1.55/3
I. Diaz n 843.8
2.16/1
0.52/0
A. Alvarado n 832.3
1.73/2
1.43/1
Fernando Beltrán n 848.4
1.43/2
0.52/0
Leon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Alvarado n 832.3
13/0
00/0
D. Cambindo n 876.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
I. Diaz n 843.8
0.31/0
00/0
E. Guerra n 841.8
00/0
0.31/0
D. Arcila n 876.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Leon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Colula n 842.5
46/5
Christopher Mora n 450.8
3.53/3
S. Vegas n 867.3
37/7
J. Cortizo n 855.3
2.95/4
Juan José Guevara Possu n 889.8
2.88/6
Leon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Garcia n 890.8
3.27/5
Club America
Club America — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Borja n 847.1
2.48/1
0.73/0
—
Edwin Cerrillo n 849.4
2.36/2
1.45/1
—
K. Álvarez n 861.8
26/3
1.54/2
—
M. Vázquez n 890.8
1.97/4
0.64/1
—
A. Cervantes n 886
1.77/6
16/2
—
Club America — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Borja n 847.1
4.58/6
2.66/4
B. Rodríguez n 880.1
3.58/7
1.55/3
Ó. Perea n 829.6
3.44/3
2.34/1
H. Martín n 876.9
2.36/4
1.85/3
Raphael Veiga n 870.9
2.26/5
0.83/2
Club America — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Borja n 847.1
1.75/2
00/0
H. Martín n 876.9
0.72/2
0.11/0
Raphael Veiga n 870.9
0.21/0
0.52/1
A. Zendejas n 854.8
0.41/1
0.21/0
B. Rodríguez n 880.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
Club America — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
É. Sánchez n 863
2.96/4
E. Lara n 859.9
2.65/4
Edwin Cerrillo n 849.4
2.55/4
Ícaro n 832.3
2.43/2
A. Cervantes n 886
2.27/3
Club America — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Tapia n 891.8
48/6
R. Cota n 890
3.57/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LeonClub America
55%Possession45%
1.56Expected goals (xG)2.13
13Shots15
7Shots on target10
2Shots off target5
4Blocked shots0
9Shots inside the box8
7Corners2
1Offsides0
11Fouls25
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
5Saves3
336Passes293
73%Pass accuracy74%

Leon player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Garcia9000000005.9
I. Moreno9010211306.9
Jhohan Romaña90000001Y5.6
Juan José Guevara Possu90000010Y4.9
S. Reyes9000000005
R. Echeverria9000110306.3
D. Cambindo9000331006.2
D. Arcila75010010Y6.7
I. Rodriguez6300000106.2
E. Guerra6300101207
J. Lara4500000106.3
A. Alvarado sub4510111008.2
I. Diaz sub2710110007.3
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco sub27000000Y6.5
Fernando Beltrán sub1501002006.9

Club America player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Malagón9000000006
D. Espinoza9000101005.6
S. Bueno9000000207.7
Santiago Ramos Mingo9000000206.3
B. Rodríguez9011433108.3
H. Martín9011222107.2
I. Reyes83001001Y6.6
Carlos Álvarez8311333008.2
A. Zendejas80001011Y7.2
F. Rossano75000013Y6.3
É. Sánchez7410210208.3
Edwin Cerrillo sub16000001Y6.3
C. Borja sub1500000006
A. Cervantes sub1400000006.3
Ó. Perea sub1411111008
I. Violante sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Leon v Club America — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LeonLWDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Club AmericaLLDWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Leon 1 · 2 draws · Club America 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-09-06 Leon 1–0 Club America
  • 2026-04-22 Leon 2–3 Club America
  • 2025-11-02 Club America 2–0 Leon
  • 2025-02-20 Club America 1–1 Leon
  • 2024-10-06 Leon 1–1 Club America
  • 2024-02-11 Leon 0–1 Club America
League standing · 2026
Leon#7 pos18 pts12 pl+1 GD
Club America#1 pos24 pts11 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Leon scored1.5
Club America scored2.45
Leon conceded1.42
Club America conceded1.27

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Leon v Club America?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leon v Club America was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.70 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Leon and Club America?
In their last 6 meetings, Leon won 1, Club America won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leon and Club America?
Recent form — Leon 2W 2D 1L; Club America 1W 2D 2L.

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