Santos Laguna v Club Queretaro prediction

Liga MX · · Estadio Corona

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home offsides over 0.5 the free pick for Santos Laguna v Club Queretaro, Liga MX on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 00:00 BST.

Free pick
Home offsides over 0.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Santos Laguna host Club Queretaro in Liga MX on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 00:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Santos Laguna offsides over 0.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Club Queretaro have scored in six consecutive matches. Club Queretaro have conceded eight goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026 so far). Club Queretaro are unbeaten in their last five matches.

Form and the table

Santos Laguna have won their last four matches. Eight of Santos Laguna’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Santos Laguna’s last 15 results (40%). At home, Santos Laguna have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 home matches — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.50. Santos Laguna have scored 12 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026 so far). Santos Laguna have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs.

Six of Club Queretaro’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Club Queretaro’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Club Queretaro have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches — 1.89 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 1.00. Club Queretaro have scored 15 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026 so far).

Santos Laguna (14th) and Club Queretaro (fourth) are seven points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Club Queretaro the stronger side, 292 rating points above Santos Laguna (Club Queretaro 1827, Santos Laguna 1535, after at least 313 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Club Queretaro 2–2 Santos Laguna.

Team news

Predicted Santos Laguna XI (3-4-3): C. Acevedo, F. Sánchez, F. Pardo, E. Orona, F. Villalba, D. González, A. Lopez, F. Cáseres, E. Bullaude, E. Aguirre, E. Lozano — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ezequiel Bullaude (5.3 per match over 14 appearances, five goals and three assists) and Francisco Villalba (3.9 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Santos Laguna’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Santos Laguna (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Ezequiel Bullaude averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1121 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Francisco Villalba averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 966 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Club Queretaro XI (4-2-3-1): G. Allison, D. Reyes, D. Parra, L. Abascia, B. Duarte, S. Homenchenko, C. Garcia, E. Gimenez, M. Coronel, P. Victor, A. Avila — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Homenchenko (6.0 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and two assists) and C. Garcia (3.7 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been Club Queretaro’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Club Queretaro (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Homenchenko averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1155 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. C. Garcia averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 1026 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Liga MX · Estadio Corona
  • Referee: Mario Terrazas Chavez
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Santos Laguna 2 · draws 1 · Club Queretaro 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Santos Laguna 4W 0D 1L · Club Queretaro 4W 1D 0L

As of 17 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Santos Laguna v Club Queretaro across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
7.63 / 4.38
Corners
against 5.88 / 8 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.75
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSantos Laguna for / againstLineClub Queretaro for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
1.38 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
7.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 8 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 15.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 18.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 9.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Mario Terrazas Chavez.

Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ezequiel Bullaude n 886.3
2.56/5
27/4
—
Tahiel Jiménez n 818.6
2.42/1
1.82/1
—
Luis Gómez n 835.3
2.24/1
2.24/3
—
Javier Guemez n 833.5
1.74/1
00/0
—
Salvador Mariscal n 862.1
1.68/1
0.52/1
—
Santos Laguna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ezequiel Bullaude n 886.3
2.98/6
1.45/3
Ramiro Sordo n 841.5
2.78/1
1.13/1
D. González n 871
2.46/4
0.83/1
E. Aguirre n 832.3
2.13/3
0.71/1
Francisco Villalba n 867.6
27/3
0.74/0
Santos Laguna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tahiel Jiménez n 818.6
1.21/1
00/0
Ezequiel Bullaude n 886.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
Francisco Villalba n 867.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
Mauricio Cuevas n 890
00/0
0.32/0
Ramiro Sordo n 841.5
0.31/0
00/0
Santos Laguna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Javier Guemez n 833.5
44/1
Salvador Mariscal n 862.1
3.15/4
J. Mancha n 610.3
2.92/0
Kevin Picon n 855.8
2.45/3
Luis Gómez n 835.3
2.25/1
Santos Laguna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Acevedo n 890
3.97/6
Club Queretaro
Club Queretaro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Avila n 890.1
2.48/6
1.27/3
—
Iker Benito n 833.5
25/1
1.32/1
—
Mono Martínez n 823.3
1.94/0
0.51/0
—
D. Parra n 890.5
1.78/3
1.15/3
—
E. Duenas n 832.5
1.73/2
2.15/1
—
Club Queretaro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Coronel n 879.1
3.48/8
1.16/2
S. Homenchenko n 890.6
2.28/7
16/1
E. Perez n 820.3
2.23/1
0.61/0
J. Unjanque n 637.7
22/2
0.41/0
A. Avila n 890.1
1.47/3
0.64/1
Club Queretaro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Iker Benito n 833.5
0.31/0
0.72/0
S. Homenchenko n 890.6
0.53/1
0.11/0
E. Perez n 820.3
00/0
0.61/0
M. Coronel n 879.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Alcala n 736.7
00/0
0.41/0
Club Queretaro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Parra n 816.4
4.84/2
S. Garcia n 339
3.81/1
B. Duarte n 870.4
3.47/6
Paulo Victor n 851.3
3.17/5
S. Homenchenko n 890.6
37/6
Club Queretaro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Allison n 890.6
4.37/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Santos Laguna v Club Queretaro — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Santos LagunaLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Club QueretaroWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Santos Laguna 2 · 1 draw · Club Queretaro 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-28 Club Queretaro 2–2 Santos Laguna
  • 2025-10-26 Santos Laguna 3–1 Club Queretaro
  • 2025-04-13 Santos Laguna 1–2 Club Queretaro
  • 2024-11-09 Club Queretaro 3–2 Santos Laguna
  • 2024-03-02 Club Queretaro 0–1 Santos Laguna
  • 2023-07-03 Santos Laguna 0–2 Club Queretaro
League standing · 2026
Santos Laguna#14 pos13 pts11 pl-4 GD
Club Queretaro#4 pos20 pts10 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Santos Laguna scored1.09
Club Queretaro scored1.5
Santos Laguna conceded1.45
Club Queretaro conceded0.8

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Santos Laguna v Club Queretaro?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Santos Laguna v Club Queretaro is Home offsides over 0.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Santos Laguna and Club Queretaro?
In their last 6 meetings, Santos Laguna won 2, Club Queretaro won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Santos Laguna and Club Queretaro?
Recent form — Santos Laguna 4W 0D 1L; Club Queretaro 4W 1D 0L.

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