Banfield v Lanus prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Estadio Florencio Sola

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Banfield vs Lanus, Liga Profesional Argentina on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 18:45 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Banfield host Lanus in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 18:45 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Lanus, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Lanus are unbeaten in their last six matches.

Form and the table

Seven of Banfield’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of Banfield’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Banfield have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.71. Banfield have scored 14 goals, the 15th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Banfield have conceded 19 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Lanus have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches. Six of Lanus’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in four of Lanus’s last 15 results (27%). Away from home, Lanus have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.00. Lanus have scored 16 goals, the 11th-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Lanus have conceded nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Banfield (12th) and Lanus (fifth) are 10 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lanus the stronger side, 273 rating points above Banfield (Lanus 1723, Banfield 1450, after at least 281 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Lanus 1–0 Banfield.

Team news

Predicted Banfield XI (4-3-3): D. Rodríguez, N. Meriano, S. Daniele, I. Abraham, J. Alfaro, T. Adoryan, S. Esquivel, F. Medina, A. Balboa, A. Machado, M. Hernández — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tiziano Perrotta (3.7 per match over 17 appearances, six goals and one assist) and Santiago López Garcia (3.6 per match over 26 appearances, two goals and five assists) have been Banfield’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Banfield (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Tiziano Perrotta averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 1536 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Santiago López Garcia averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 2160 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lanus XI (4-2-3-1): N. Losada, S. Marcich, C. Izquierdoz, T. Guidara, J. Canale, E. Salvio, A. Cardozo, L. Besozzi, F. Biafore, A. Medina, A. Wlk — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Castillo (5.1 per match over five appearances, one goal and three assists) and Sasha Marcich (3.4 per match over 37 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Lanus’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Lanus (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Castillo averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 1562 minutes, with a shot in three of the last 10 appearances. Sasha Marcich averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 3253 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio Florencio Sola
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Banfield 1 · draws 2 · Lanus 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Banfield 1W 3D 1L · Lanus 4W 1D 0L

As of 18 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Banfield v Lanus across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2
over 8 matches
3.29 / 4.38
Corners
against 5.57 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.57 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 5.86 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.71 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBanfield for / againstLineLanus for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
2our book
1.25 for · 0.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.29 for · 5.57 against n 7
9.5standard
4.38 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
12.86 for · 17.57 against n 7
19.5standard
11.5 for · 15.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.57 for · 5.86 against n 7
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.29 for · 10.43 against n 7
21.5standard
10.75 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.14 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Banfield
Banfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Federico Anselmo n 814.1
44/1
1.62/0
—
Tomas Adoryan n 875.6
3.18/5
1.35/2
—
Thomas Rodríguez n 319.3
3.11/1
00/0
—
Ignacio Pais n 833.6
37/2
0.72/0
—
Lautaro Gomez n 851.4
2.86/4
1.85/3
—
Banfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Federico Anselmo n 814.1
5.64/2
00/0
Tomas Adoryan n 875.6
2.77/5
0.74/1
David Zalazar n 851.8
2.65/3
1.14/1
Adrian Balboa n 869.1
2.17/3
0.74/0
Bruno Sepúlveda n 862.9
26/4
0.94/1
Banfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bruno Sepúlveda n 862.9
0.52/1
00/0
Adrian Balboa n 869.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Machado n 857
0.42/0
00/0
David Zalazar n 851.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Lautaro Gomez n 851.4
0.42/0
00/0
Banfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Thomas Rodríguez n 319.3
6.22/2
Lautaro Gomez n 851.4
4.66/6
Juan Luis Alfaro n 867.5
47/4
Ignacio Pais n 833.6
3.76/4
Santiago Esquivel n 872.4
3.66/6
Banfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Diego Rodríguez n 884.4
3.96/5
Lanus
Lanus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Yoshan Valois n 824.4
4.26/3
0.92/0
—
B. Acosta n 420.5
3.32/1
1.11/0
—
Dylan Aquino n 847.9
1.95/2
1.96/2
—
Agustín Medina n 843.3
1.85/2
13/1
—
Matías Sepúlveda n 836.8
1.84/2
2.85/3
—
Lanus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ramiro Carrera n 842.1
3.27/4
1.34/1
Dylan Aquino n 847.9
3.16/4
0.72/1
A. Wlk n 868.1
2.67/5
1.76/2
Marcelino Moreno n 859.5
1.97/2
0.95/0
Franco Watson n 847.5
1.96/2
1.24/1
Lanus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Lobos n 623.3
0.61/0
00/0
Eduardo Salvio n 883.4
0.11/0
0.42/1
A. Wlk n 868.1
0.52/1
00/0
Felipe Peña Biafore n 867
0.32/0
00/0
Ramiro Carrera n 842.1
00/0
0.31/0
Lanus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Laplace n 34.7
12.92/0
Agustín Medina n 843.3
3.45/4
Sasha Marcich n 890.9
37/6
Tomás Guidara n 890.1
2.98/6
Dylan Aquino n 847.9
2.64/3
Lanus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nahuel Losada n 890.9
3.68/8

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Banfield v Lanus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BanfieldDDDWL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
LanusWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Banfield 1 · 2 draws · Lanus 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-13 Lanus 1–0 Banfield
  • 2025-11-04 Banfield 2–1 Lanus
  • 2025-04-19 Lanus 1–1 Banfield
  • 2024-11-30 Banfield 0–1 Lanus
  • 2023-07-16 Lanus 2–2 Banfield
  • 2022-09-18 Banfield 1–2 Lanus
League standing · 2026
Banfield#12 pos13 pts13 pl-5 GD
Lanus#5 pos23 pts13 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Banfield scored1.08
Lanus scored1.23
Banfield conceded1.46
Lanus conceded0.69

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Banfield vs Lanus?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Banfield v Lanus is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Banfield and Lanus?
In their last 6 meetings, Banfield won 1, Lanus won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Banfield and Lanus?
Recent form — Banfield 1W 3D 1L; Lanus 4W 1D 0L.

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