Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin prediction
Team pages: Gimnasia L.P. · Sarmiento Junin · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin, Liga Profesional Argentina on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 23:00 BST.
The match
Gimnasia L.P. host Sarmiento Junin in Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday 23 October (kick-off 23:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Gimnasia L.P. or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Gimnasia L.P. have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Sarmiento Junin have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Gimnasia L.P. are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Gimnasia L.P. are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Sarmiento Junin, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Eight of Gimnasia L.P.’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Gimnasia L.P.’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Gimnasia L.P. have three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.83 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.17. Gimnasia L.P. have scored 19 goals, the fifth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Gimnasia L.P. have conceded 18 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.
Eight of Sarmiento Junin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Sarmiento Junin’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Sarmiento Junin have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.29. Sarmiento Junin have scored 21 goals, the most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Sarmiento Junin have conceded 18 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.
Gimnasia L.P. (fourth) and Sarmiento Junin (fifth) are two points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gimnasia L.P. the stronger side, 72 rating points above Sarmiento Junin (Gimnasia L.P. 1640, Sarmiento Junin 1567, after at least 193 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Sarmiento Junin 1–2 Gimnasia L.P..
Team news
Predicted Gimnasia L.P. XI (4-4-2): N. Insfrán, E. Martínez, P. Silva, B. Schelotto, G. Conti, N. Fernández, I. Miramón, L. Janson, M. Seoane, A. Auzmendi, A. Colazo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nacho Fernández (4.5 per match over 29 appearances, three goals and five assists) and Alexis Steimbach (3.8 per match over 28 appearances, one goal and five assists) have been Gimnasia L.P.’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Gimnasia L.P. (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Nacho Fernández averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 2433 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Alexis Steimbach averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 2070 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Sarmiento Junin XI (4-4-2): T. Ayala, J. Insaurralde, R. Orihuela, S. Salle, L. Suárez, C. Zabala, M. Martínez, J. Mavilla, J. Contrera, J. Marabel, J. Herrera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Julián Mavilla (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and one assist) and T. Ayala (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been Sarmiento Junin’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sarmiento Junin (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Julián Mavilla averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1071 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. T. Ayala averages 4.3 saves per 90 over 831 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last nine appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Gimnasia L.P. 2 · draws 4 · Sarmiento Junin 0 · 1 goals/game
- Recent form: Gimnasia L.P. 1W 4D 0L · Sarmiento Junin 2W 2D 1L
Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Gimnasia L.P. for / against | Line | Sarmiento Junin for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.75 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.5 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.5 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.13 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.63 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Gimnasia L.P.
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Torres n 8 | 21.1 | 3.7 | 2.7 | — |
| Nicolas Schelotto n 8 | 55 | 2 | 1.6 | — |
| Nacho Fernández n 8 | 89.9 | 1.9 | 2.9 | — |
| Manuel Panaro n 8 | 18 | 1.9 | 1.3 | — |
| Ignacio Miramón n 8 | 85.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Panaro n 8 | 18 | 5.6 | 1.9 |
| Maximiliano Zalazar n 8 | 57 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| Agustín Auzmendi n 8 | 82.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Franco Torres n 8 | 21.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Marcelo Torres n 8 | 35.4 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Auzmendi n 8 | 82.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Marcelo Torres n 8 | 35.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Nacho Fernández n 8 | 89.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Agustín Colazo n 8 | 41.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Franco Torres n 8 | 21.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Matías Melluso n 8 | 32.4 | 4.9 |
| Nicolas Schelotto n 8 | 55 | 4.1 |
| A. Max n 8 | 45.5 | 3.5 |
| Nacho Fernández n 8 | 89.9 | 3.4 |
| Mateo Seoane n 8 | 74 | 2.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Nelson Insfrán n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
Sarmiento Junin
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Garcia n 8 | 49 | 3.7 | 0.7 | — |
| E. Gimenez n 8 | 32.5 | 2.8 | 0.7 | — |
| Julian Contrera n 8 | 61.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | — |
| U. Gimenez n 8 | 35.3 | 2.6 | 1 | — |
| Diego Churin n 8 | 22.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Herrera n 8 | 55.4 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Junior Marabel n 8 | 84.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Julián Mavilla n 8 | 79.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| G. Gonzalez n 8 | 22.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Mauricio Martínez n 8 | 89.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Marabel n 8 | 84.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| G. Gonzalez n 8 | 22.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Julián Mavilla n 8 | 79.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Julian Contrera n 8 | 61.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Jonathan Herrera n 8 | 55.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Nadruz n 6 | 49.5 | 3.9 |
| Cristian Zabala n 8 | 91.9 | 3.3 |
| Diego Churin n 8 | 22.8 | 3 |
| Manuel Garcia n 8 | 49 | 2.8 |
| Lucas Suárez n 8 | 86.9 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Ayala n 8 | 91.1 | 3.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-13 Sarmiento Junin 1–2 Gimnasia L.P.
- 2025-10-04 Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Gimnasia L.P.
- 2025-03-30 Gimnasia L.P. 0–0 Sarmiento Junin
- 2024-10-18 Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Gimnasia L.P.
- 2023-05-27 Gimnasia L.P. 0–0 Sarmiento Junin
- 2022-08-28 Sarmiento Junin 0–0 Gimnasia L.P.
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin is Home or Draw.
- What is the head-to-head record between Gimnasia L.P. and Sarmiento Junin?
- In their last 6 meetings, Gimnasia L.P. won 2, Sarmiento Junin won 0 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Gimnasia L.P. and Sarmiento Junin?
- Recent form — Gimnasia L.P. 1W 4D 0L; Sarmiento Junin 2W 2D 1L.
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