Gimnasia M. v Platense prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Victor Legrotaglie

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Gimnasia M. v Platense, Liga Profesional Argentina on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 22:30 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Gimnasia M. host Platense in Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday 23 October (kick-off 22:30 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Platense, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Seven of Gimnasia M.’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Gimnasia M.’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Gimnasia M. have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.57. Gimnasia M. have scored 15 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Gimnasia M. have conceded 13 goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Four of Platense’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in nine of Platense’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Platense have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 0.83 and conceding 1.33. Platense have scored 12 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Platense have conceded 19 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Platense are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Gimnasia M. (sixth) and Platense (13th) are nine points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gimnasia M. the stronger side, 111 rating points above Platense (Gimnasia M. 1527, Platense 1416, after at least 29 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Platense 1–1 Gimnasia M..

Team news

Predicted Gimnasia M. XI (4-2-3-1): C. Rigamonti, E. Muñoz, M. Recalde, L. Paredes, D. Mondino, E. Fernández, F. Lencioni, F. Antonini, L. Cingolani, T. O'Connor, A. Módica — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Lencioni (4.4 per match over 27 appearances, four goals and seven assists) and A. Módica (3.8 per match over 25 appearances, 13 goals) have been Gimnasia M.’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Gimnasia M. (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Lencioni averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 2343 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. A. Módica averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 1842 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Platense XI (4-2-3-1): J. Cozzani, V. Cuesta, T. Silva, M. Mendia, A. Lagos, M. Barrios, N. Retamar, I. Gómez, F. Zapiola, B. Merlini, B. Sepúlveda — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tomás Ariel Silva (3.8 per match over 31 appearances, one assist) and L. Giménez (3.7 per match over five appearances, two goals) have been Platense’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Platense (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Tomás Ariel Silva averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 2768 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. L. Giménez averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 429 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Liga Profesional Argentina · Victor Legrotaglie
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Gimnasia M. 0 · draws 1 · Platense 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gimnasia M. 1W 1D 3L · Platense 1W 2D 2L

Gimnasia M. v Platense (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.5 / 7.29
Corners
against 6.13 / 2.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.25 / 3.14
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4.29 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.38 / 2.71
Cards
against 2 / 2 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGimnasia M. for / againstLinePlatense for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.25our book
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
7.29 for · 2.57 against n 7
Shots
13 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.14 for · 8.57 against n 7
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.14 for · 4.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.43 for · 9.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.71 for · 2 against n 7
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M. — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Antonini n 875.8
3.17/6
16/1
—
A. Módica n 877.6
2.96/6
1.66/3
—
T. O'Connor n 846.4
2.76/3
2.25/2
—
L. Carrera n 837.6
2.74/2
0.31/0
—
N. Barboza n 825.1
2.24/1
0.41/0
—
Gimnasia M. — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Sabatini n 836.6
4.37/5
1.85/1
A. Módica n 877.6
38/7
1.36/2
M. Vargas n 849.3
36/4
0.52/0
F. Lencioni n 883
2.47/6
1.15/3
B. Armoa n 826.8
1.73/1
0.81/1
Gimnasia M. — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Módica n 877.6
0.93/2
00/0
E. Fernández n 875.3
0.32/0
0.42/1
T. O'Connor n 846.4
00/0
0.52/0
F. Lencioni n 883
0.31/1
0.11/0
B. Armoa n 826.8
0.41/0
00/0
Gimnasia M. — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Guiffrey n 868.5
3.88/5
L. Carrera n 837.6
3.34/2
U. Sánchez n 834.5
3.35/3
J. Ceballos n 858.1
2.97/5
M. Recalde n 890.6
2.48/5
Gimnasia M. — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Rigamonti n 890.6
3.17/5
Platense
Platense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Amarfil n 647.8
3.46/2
1.33/1
—
Maximiliano Amarfil n 864.6
2.48/2
0.73/1
—
Agustín Lagos n 871.6
27/4
0.95/1
—
Augusto Lotti n 829.4
1.93/2
0.81/1
—
Celías Ingenthron n 850.1
1.85/3
1.86/2
—
Platense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. López n 823.4
4.86/3
3.45/1
Juan Gauto n 827.4
3.35/2
1.22/1
Franco Zapiola n 842
2.96/3
1.14/0
Gonzalo Lencina n 835.9
2.26/1
0.93/0
Bruno Sepúlveda n 862.9
26/4
0.94/1
Platense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Franco Zapiola n 842
0.52/0
0.31/0
Guido Mainero n 856.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
Bruno Sepúlveda n 862.9
0.52/1
00/0
Bautista Merlini n 863.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Augusto Lotti n 829.4
0.41/0
00/0
Platense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Agustín Lagos n 871.6
5.27/5
M. Amarfil n 647.8
3.45/4
Martín Barrios n 884.3
3.37/7
Celías Ingenthron n 850.1
3.15/4
Ivan Gómez n 853.8
2.95/4
Platense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Juan Cozzani n 890
2.84/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Gimnasia M. v Platense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Gimnasia M.LDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
PlatenseLWDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Gimnasia M. 0 · 1 draw · Platense 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-04-12 Platense 1–1 Gimnasia M.
League standing · 2026
Gimnasia M.#6 pos20 pts13 pl+2 GD
Platense#13 pos11 pts13 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Gimnasia M. scored1.15
Platense scored0.92
Gimnasia M. conceded1
Platense conceded1.46

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Gimnasia M. v Platense?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gimnasia M. v Platense is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Gimnasia M. and Platense?
In their last 1 meetings, Gimnasia M. won 0, Platense won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gimnasia M. and Platense?
Recent form — Gimnasia M. 1W 1D 3L; Platense 1W 2D 2L.

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