Independ. Rivadavia v Tigre result

Full-time · Independ. Rivadavia 2–2 Tigre

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 21:30 BST · Estadio Bautista Gargantini

Updated 22 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Independ. Rivadavia · Tigre · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Independ. Rivadavia 2–2 Tigre — this Liga Profesional Argentina match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 2.47 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 420 of 640 times (65.6%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Independ. Rivadavia and Tigre drew 2–2 at Estadio Bautista Gargantini in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 17 October.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Independ. Rivadavia: Matías Fernández (20’, assisted by Juan Manuel Elordi) and José Florentín (52’); Tigre: Alan Barrionuevo (26’, assisted by Jabes Saralegui) and Manuel Fernandez (90’, assisted by Federico Álvarez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Manuel Fernandez’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Independ. Rivadavia 1.01, Tigre 1.08, from 11 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

N. Arasa showed five yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Independ. Rivadavia: Iván Villalba (59’) and Juan Manuel Elordi (87’); Tigre: I. Peluffo (27’), Manuel Fernandez (62’) and Joaquín Laso (68’).

What it changes

Independ. Rivadavia are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Tigre are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, José Florentín (Independ. Rivadavia) 9.8, Matias Reali (Independ. Rivadavia) 7.3 and Federico Álvarez (Tigre) 7.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Independ. Rivadavia next travel to Argentinos JRS on 27 October 2026.

Tigre next host Atletico Tucuman on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Independ. Rivadavia: Argentinos JRS v Independ. Rivadavia, Tuesday 27 October — the preview. Next for Tigre: Tigre v Atletico Tucuman, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Independ. Rivadavia 2–2 Tigre · Liga Profesional Argentina
Venue: Estadio Bautista Gargantini · Mendoza
Referee: N. Arasa
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Independ. Rivadavia 4 · draws 1 · Tigre 1 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Independ. Rivadavia 2W 2D 1L · Tigre 0W 0D 5L

Independ. Rivadavia 2–2 Tigre (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

3.33 / 4.38

Corners

against 5.33 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

6.33 / 4

Shots on target

against 6.33 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.83 / 2.38

Cards

against 2.5 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

5.13 yellows

Referee · N. Arasa

2.2 home / 2.93 away

over 15 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Independ. Rivadavia for / against	Line	Tigre for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.33 for · 5.33 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14 for · 16 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	14.13 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.33 for · 6.33 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 9.83 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	10.75 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.83 for · 2.5 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: N. Arasa — 5.13 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 23.33 fouls over 15 matches (2.2 to the home side, 2.93 to the away side).

Home 2.2Away 2.93

Independ. Rivadavia

Independ. Rivadavia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Díaz n 3	15.7	5.7 2/1	5.7 2/1	—
Luis Díaz n 3	19.3	4.7 2/1	4.7 2/1	—
Stefano Moreyra n 8	20.9	2.7 2/2	0 0/0	—
José Florentín n 8	90.8	2.6 8/7	0.5 4/0	Bruno Leyes
Leonel Bucca n 8	30.9	2.6 4/1	0.7 2/0	—

Independ. Rivadavia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Díaz n 3	15.7	3.8 2/0	1.9 1/0
M. Salas n 8	73.9	2.4 8/4	0.9 5/1
L. Sequeira n 8	41.5	2.2 5/2	0.5 2/0
Alex Arce n 8	68.9	2.1 5/4	1.6 5/4
Fabrizio Sartori n 8	59.3	1.9 6/2	1.1 5/1

Independ. Rivadavia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alex Arce n 8	68.9	0.8 4/1	0.2 1/0
Gonzalo Ríos n 8	44.5	0.5 2/0	0.3 1/0
José Florentín n 8	90.8	0.2 2/0	0.1 1/0
M. Salas n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Luciano Gómez n 8	63	0 0/0	0.2 1/0

Independ. Rivadavia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Stefano Moreyra n 8	20.9	4.9 4/3
Tomas Bottari n 8	77.4	3.6 8/8
Juan Manuel Elordi n 8	81.3	3.3 8/6
José Florentín n 8	90.8	2.9 7/6
L. Sequeira n 8	41.5	2.4 5/3

Independ. Rivadavia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Nicolás Bolcato n 8	90.8	3.7 8/7

Tigre

Tigre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Peluffo n 5	28.2	2.6 3/1	3.8 5/1	—
Bruno Leyes n 8	47.1	2.1 5/4	1.4 4/2	José Florentín
Santiago López n 8	75.8	1.9 7/4	1.2 5/2	—
Martín Garay n 8	53.5	1.9 4/2	0.2 1/0	—
J. Dómina n 8	46.6	1.7 6/1	1.2 3/2	—

Tigre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Martínez n 8	50.3	2.7 6/3	1.8 4/3
J. Dómina n 8	46.6	2.7 6/2	1.7 5/1
Mauro Méndez n 8	64.3	2.5 6/4	0.5 3/0
A. Oviedo n 8	26.8	2.5 2/2	0.4 1/0
Manuel Fernandez n 8	13.3	2.5 1/1	0 0/0

Tigre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Dómina n 8	46.6	0.7 3/0	0 0/0
P. Martínez n 8	50.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Ignacio Russo n 8	89.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Jabes Saralegui n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Valentín Moreno n 8	77.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0

Tigre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Peluffo n 5	28.2	3.2 2/2
Santiago López n 8	75.8	2.8 8/5
Bruno Leyes n 8	47.1	2.6 5/3
P. Martínez n 8	50.3	2.5 5/2
Federico Álvarez n 8	55.4	2.4 5/4

Tigre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Felipe Zenobio n 8	90	2.9 6/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Independ. Rivadavia		Tigre
43%	Possession	57%
1.01	Expected goals (xG)	1.08
11	Shots	11
2	Shots on target	4
6	Shots off target	5
3	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	6
2	Corners	7
8	Fouls	11
2	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	0
305	Passes	407
68%	Pass accuracy	79%

Independ. Rivadavia player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Nicolás Bolcato	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Leonard Costa	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.1
Iván Villalba	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	Y	5.9
Sheyko Studer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
José Florentín	90	1	0	3	1	1	5	0	7.4
Luciano Gómez	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	5.7
Juan Manuel Elordi	90	0	1	1	0	2	2	Y	6.5
Matias Reali	74	0	1	1	0	3	3	0	6.4
Fabrizio Sartori	74	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Sequeira	68	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	5.9
Matías Fernández	67	1	0	3	1	1	1	0	7.5
Leonel Bucca	23	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.2
Tomas Bottari	22	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Victorio Ramis	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Kevin Vázquez	9	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.8
L. Díaz	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Luis Díaz sub	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Tigre player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Felipe Zenobio	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
Alan Barrionuevo	90	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.4
Federico Álvarez	90	0	1	2	0	3	0	0	6.7
Jabes Saralegui	90	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	6.9
Martín Garay	90	0	0	2	0	1	2	0	6.6
J. Dómina	90	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	6
Bruno Leyes	79	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.4
Joaquín Laso	74	0	0	0	0	0	4	Y	6.3
S. González	62	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.4
Ignacio Russo	62	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.4
Valentín Moreno	45	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
I. Peluffo	45	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	6.1
Mauro Méndez	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Manuel Fernandez	28	1	0	1	1	0	0	Y	8
Juan Villalba	16	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Ian Martin Subiabre	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.8

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Independ. Rivadavia v Tigre — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Independ. RivadaviaWDWDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

TigreLLLLL

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Independ. Rivadavia 4 · 1 draw · Tigre 1 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-07-12 Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Tigre
2026-04-02 Tigre 0–2 Independ. Rivadavia
2025-09-06 Tigre 1–3 Independ. Rivadavia
2025-08-22 Tigre 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia
2025-02-15 Independ. Rivadavia 1–4 Tigre
2024-12-09 Tigre 0–2 Independ. Rivadavia

League standing · 2026

Independ. Rivadavia#9 pos19 pts13 pl-4 GD

Tigre#11 pos13 pts13 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Independ. Rivadavia scored1.31

Tigre scored1

Independ. Rivadavia conceded1.62

Tigre conceded1.15

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Independ. Rivadavia v Tigre?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Independ. Rivadavia v Tigre was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.47 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Independ. Rivadavia and Tigre?: In their last 6 meetings, Independ. Rivadavia won 4, Tigre won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Independ. Rivadavia and Tigre?: Recent form — Independ. Rivadavia 2W 2D 1L; Tigre 0W 0D 5L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 22 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.