Rosario Central v Deportivo Riestra result

Full-time · Rosario Central 1–1 Deportivo Riestra

Liga Profesional Argentina ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Rosario Central 1–1 Deportivo Riestra — this Liga Profesional Argentina match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Rosario Central and Deportivo Riestra drew 1–1 in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 16 August. Rosario Central are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Deportivo Riestra are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Rosario Central led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Rosario Central: Alejo Véliz (8’, assisted by Ignacio Malcorra); Deportivo Riestra: Jonathan Herrera (89’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jonathan Herrera’s goal on 89 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Rosario Central 1.15, Deportivo Riestra 1.06, from 13 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina showed seven yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rosario Central: A. Di Maria (45+3’), Juan Manuel Elordi (80’) and Emanuel Coronel (90+2’); Deportivo Riestra: M. Ramírez (14’), Juan Randazzo (23’), P. Ramirez (75’) and Milton Celiz (82’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alejo Véliz (Rosario Central) 7.5, Ignacio Malcorra (Rosario Central) 6.9 and F. Ibarra (Rosario Central) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

Rosario Central next host Huracan on 25 October 2026.

Deportivo Riestra next host Union Santa Fe on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rosario Central: Rosario Central v Huracan, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Deportivo Riestra: Deportivo Riestra v Union Santa Fe, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Rosario Central 1–1 Deportivo Riestra · Liga Profesional Argentina
  • Referee: Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Rosario Central 2 · draws 1 · Deportivo Riestra 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rosario Central 1W 4D 0L · Deportivo Riestra 2W 0D 3L

Rosario Central 1–1 Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.25 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.86 / 1.83
Corners
against 4 / 5.33 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
5.29 / 3.83
Shots on target
against 2.71 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.43 / 2.83
Cards
against 4.43 / 2.67 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
5.33 yellows
Referee · Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina
2.33 home / 3 away
over 18 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRosario Central for / againstLineDeportivo Riestra for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 0.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.86 for · 4 against n 7
9.5standard
1.83 for · 5.33 against n 6
Shots
12.86 for · 10.57 against n 7
19.5standard
8.33 for · 13 against n 6
Shots on target
5.29 for · 2.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3.83 for · 4.5 against n 6
Fouls committed
11.14 for · 14.71 against n 7
21.5standard
15.17 for · 9.83 against n 6
Cards shown
2.43 for · 4.43 against n 7
3.5standard
2.83 for · 2.67 against n 6

Referee: Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina — 5.33 yellow cards a game, 0.06 red cards, 24.28 fouls over 18 matches (2.33 to the home side, 3 to the away side).

Rosario Central
Rosario Central — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Cantizano n 429.3
3.13/1
3.13/1
—
T. O'Connor n 825.8
2.64/2
0.92/0
—
E. Gimenez n 859.9
2.17/4
1.13/1
—
Santiago López n 868.3
1.86/3
2.67/5
—
F. Navarro n 886.8
1.78/4
0.11/0
—
Rosario Central — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gaspar Duarte n 826
35/2
2.65/1
Jaminton Campaz n 871.6
2.47/4
1.13/2
Alejo Véliz n 855.9
2.46/5
0.83/1
G. Cantizano n 429.3
2.32/1
1.52/0
A. Di Maria n 890.8
2.17/5
1.56/3
Rosario Central — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Di Maria n 890.8
0.75/1
00/0
L. Giaccone n 843
00/0
0.52/0
Gaspar Duarte n 826
0.41/0
00/0
Ignacio Malcorra n 890.5
00/0
0.22/0
Emanuel Coronel n 872.5
00/0
0.21/0
Rosario Central — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Ibarra n 872.8
4.87/7
E. Gimenez n 859.9
3.86/4
Jaminton Campaz n 871.6
3.66/5
T. O'Connor n 825.8
3.54/2
F. Navarro n 886.8
3.17/6
Rosario Central — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Broun n 891.4
2.17/1
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Riestra — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Benegas n 841.4
4.98/6
0.82/1
—
Gabriel Obredor n 824.1
4.76/3
1.93/1
—
Mariano Bracamonte n 839.5
3.76/4
0.61/1
—
M. Ramírez n 412.5
3.62/0
00/0
—
Milton Celiz n 890
2.67/6
1.57/4
—
Deportivo Riestra — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Bravo n 529.4
2.42/1
1.82/1
N. Benegas n 841.4
2.24/3
0.82/1
B. Guille n 830.3
2.24/1
0.72/0
Gabriel Obredor n 824.1
1.94/0
0.51/0
Antony Alonso n 867.6
1.23/2
0.72/1
Deportivo Riestra — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Benegas n 841.4
0.31/0
0.83/0
Jonathan Herrera n 873.1
0.53/0
00/0
Antony Alonso n 867.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
Gabriel Obredor n 824.1
0.51/0
00/0
B. Guille n 830.3
0.41/0
00/0
Deportivo Riestra — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cristian Paz n 892.5
3.28/7
Yonatan Goitia n 882.1
3.27/6
Milton Celiz n 890
37/6
B. Guille n 830.3
34/4
P. Ramirez n 881.1
2.65/4
Deportivo Riestra — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ignacio Arce n 892.5
2.64/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rosario CentralDeportivo Riestra
62%Possession38%
1.15Expected goals (xG)1.06
13Shots8
5Shots on target1
6Shots off target2
2Blocked shots5
9Shots inside the box4
5Corners5
0Offsides1
12Fouls19
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
0Saves4
368Passes218
78%Pass accuracy53%

Rosario Central player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Broun9000000006.6
Emanuel Coronel90000013Y7
Carlos Quintana9000000006.5
F. Ibarra9000100107.3
Ignacio Malcorra9001004307.9
Alejo Véliz9010640008.2
Jaminton Campaz8100101107.2
E. Copetti8100101106.3
A. Sandez7400000007.2
A. Di Maria74001122Y7.2
Juan Gimenez4000000006.7
J. Komar sub5100100207.2
Juan Manuel Elordi sub17000000Y5.3
Santiago López sub1700000006.7
E. Gimenez sub1000000106.5
T. O'Connor sub1000000006.5

Deportivo Riestra player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ignacio Arce9000000007.2
N. Sansotre9000000106.2
Facundo Miño9000001206.9
Cristian Paz9000000206.3
Yonatan Goitia9000000206.3
Jonathan Herrera9010212006.9
P. Ramirez86000003Y6
Milton Celiz86000002Y5.9
N. Benegas6800101106.2
Juan Randazzo59000000Y6
M. Ramírez58000002Y6.6
Gabriel Obredor sub3200000307.6
Rodrigo Gallo sub3200001006.9
A. Díaz sub2300000006.7
S. Vera sub900000006.7
Antony Alonso sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rosario Central v Deportivo Riestra — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rosario CentralDDWDD
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 0.4 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Deportivo RiestraWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Rosario Central 2 · 1 draw · Deportivo Riestra 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-02-12 Deportivo Riestra 0–0 Rosario Central
  • 2024-05-24 Deportivo Riestra 0–2 Rosario Central
  • 2017-09-03 Rosario Central 2–1 Deportivo Riestra
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Rosario Central#1 pos31 pts16 pl+10 GD
Deportivo Riestra#3 pos28 pts16 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Rosario Central scored1.13
Deportivo Riestra scored1.19
Rosario Central conceded0.5
Deportivo Riestra conceded0.75

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Rosario Central v Deportivo Riestra?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rosario Central v Deportivo Riestra was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Rosario Central and Deportivo Riestra?
In their last 3 meetings, Rosario Central won 2, Deportivo Riestra won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rosario Central and Deportivo Riestra?
Recent form — Rosario Central 1W 4D 0L; Deportivo Riestra 2W 0D 3L.

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