San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Estadio Pedro Bidegain

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home offsides under 2.5 the free pick for San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys, Liga Profesional Argentina on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 23:15 BST.

Free pick
Home offsides under 2.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match preview, in numbers

The match

San Lorenzo host Newells Old Boys in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 23:15 UK); the model’s free pick is San Lorenzo offsides under 2.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

San Lorenzo have scored seven goals, the fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Two of San Lorenzo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (13%). Both teams scored in three of San Lorenzo’s last 15 results in all competitions (20%).

Form and the table

At home, San Lorenzo have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 0.75. San Lorenzo have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far).

Four of Newells Old Boys’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in eight of Newells Old Boys’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Newells Old Boys have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 0.86. Newells Old Boys have scored 13 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Newells Old Boys have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

San Lorenzo (ninth) and Newells Old Boys (sixth) are three points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Newells Old Boys the stronger side, 82 rating points above San Lorenzo (Newells Old Boys 1551, San Lorenzo 1469, after at least 280 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Newells Old Boys are unbeaten in the last four meetings with San Lorenzo. The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Newells Old Boys 0–0 San Lorenzo.

Team news

Predicted San Lorenzo XI (3-4-1-2): J. Devecchi, D. Arboleda, E. Amor, E. Herrera, N. Tripichio, I. Perruzzi, F. Gulli, M. Insaurralde, J. Álvarez, R. Auzmendi, F. Farías — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Hernández (4.3 per match over nine appearances) and Facundo Farías (4.3 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been San Lorenzo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for San Lorenzo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Hernández averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 819 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances. Facundo Farías averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1290 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Newells Old Boys XI (4-2-3-1): J. Reinatti, M. Ortega, L. Carrizo, B. Cabrera, L. Gianetti, R. Herrera, L. Regiardo, F. Gauch, W. Mazzantti, S. Solari, M. Cóccaro — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Méndez (4.0 per match over 14 appearances) and W. Mazzantti (3.7 per match over 20 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Newells Old Boys’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Newells Old Boys (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Méndez averages 4.0 tackles per 90 over 1200 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. W. Mazzantti averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1815 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio Pedro Bidegain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): San Lorenzo 2 · draws 3 · Newells Old Boys 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: San Lorenzo 2W 1D 2L · Newells Old Boys 2W 2D 1L

San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 0.88
Goals
against 1 / 0.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 1.75
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.86
Corners
against 5 / 4.71 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.5 / 3.57
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 2.86 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.63 / 1.86
Cards
against 3.13 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSan Lorenzo for / againstLineNewells Old Boys for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1 against n 8
1.75our book
0.88 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.86 for · 4.71 against n 7
Shots
11.75 for · 14.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.29 for · 10.57 against n 7
Shots on target
3.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.57 for · 2.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 13.63 against n 8
21.5standard
14.43 for · 14 against n 7
Cards shown
2.63 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.86 for · 3 against n 7
San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Rio n 825.4
2.75/1
2.75/1
—
Agustin Ladstatter n 829.4
2.33/3
1.53/1
—
Ignacio Perruzzi n 861.8
2.26/3
3.16/4
—
Gonzalo Alassia n 345
23/0
1.32/0
—
Rodrigo Auzmendi n 882.6
1.87/3
1.88/2
—
San Lorenzo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rodrigo Auzmendi n 882.6
2.68/6
15/2
Facundo Gulli n 843.1
1.83/3
0.82/1
Alexis Cuello n 871.4
1.76/3
0.53/0
Agustin Ladstatter n 829.4
1.54/0
0.41/0
Facundo Farías n 872
1.46/2
0.95/1
San Lorenzo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Salas n 416.3
00/0
1.41/0
Agustin Ladstatter n 829.4
00/0
0.41/0
Facundo Gulli n 843.1
0.31/0
00/0
G. del Prete n 835.4
00/0
0.31/0
Facundo Farías n 872
0.21/0
00/0
San Lorenzo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Manuel Insaurralde n 870.8
3.78/5
Mathias de Ritis n 875.1
3.37/7
Nicolás Tripichio n 881.1
3.17/6
A. Cordoba n 693.7
2.66/6
Ignacio Perruzzi n 861.8
2.44/4
San Lorenzo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Devecchi n 888.5
2.96/4
Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Francisco Scarpeccio n 814.9
4.55/1
1.51/1
—
R. Herrera n 871.6
37/5
0.93/2
—
J. Mattar n 837
2.47/1
3.67/4
—
Lucas Gómez n 825.6
2.25/0
2.65/1
—
M. Cóccaro n 886.5
27/4
1.45/4
—
Newells Old Boys — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Cóccaro n 886.5
2.58/5
1.37/3
Francisco Scarpeccio n 814.9
2.33/0
0.81/0
Santiago Solari n 870.3
1.95/4
14/2
J. Mattar n 837
1.83/1
0.61/1
W. Mazzantti n 888.1
1.37/2
0.65/0
Newells Old Boys — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Facundo Gauch n 874.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Soñora n 827
0.41/0
00/0
M. Cóccaro n 886.5
0.32/0
00/0
Santiago Solari n 870.3
0.32/0
00/0
T. Rios n 659.3
00/0
0.31/0
Newells Old Boys — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lucas Gómez n 825.6
4.45/3
F. Escobar n 875.4
3.67/6
R. Herrera n 871.6
3.58/6
M. García n 826.1
3.46/2
J. Russo n 871.9
3.38/5
Newells Old Boys — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Reinatti n 891.3
2.34/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
San LorenzoDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Newells Old BoysDWDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
San Lorenzo 2 · 3 draws · Newells Old Boys 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-12 Newells Old Boys 0–0 San Lorenzo
  • 2024-07-27 San Lorenzo 1–1 Newells Old Boys
  • 2023-03-20 Newells Old Boys 1–0 San Lorenzo
  • 2022-06-09 Newells Old Boys 0–0 San Lorenzo
  • 2022-04-27 Newells Old Boys 1–2 San Lorenzo
  • 2021-12-12 San Lorenzo 3–2 Newells Old Boys
League standing · 2026
San Lorenzo#9 pos17 pts13 pl-5 GD
Newells Old Boys#6 pos20 pts13 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
San Lorenzo scored0.54
Newells Old Boys scored1
San Lorenzo conceded0.92
Newells Old Boys conceded0.77

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys?
TACTIX’s free model pick for San Lorenzo v Newells Old Boys is Home offsides under 2.5.
What is the head-to-head record between San Lorenzo and Newells Old Boys?
In their last 6 meetings, San Lorenzo won 2, Newells Old Boys won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of San Lorenzo and Newells Old Boys?
Recent form — San Lorenzo 2W 1D 2L; Newells Old Boys 2W 2D 1L.

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