Sarmiento Junin v Barracas Central prediction
Team pages: Sarmiento Junin · Barracas Central · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Sarmiento Junin v Barracas Central, Liga Profesional Argentina on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 23:00 BST.
The match
Sarmiento Junin host Barracas Central in Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 19 October (kick-off 23:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Barracas Central, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Sarmiento Junin have scored in 12 consecutive matches.
Form and the table
Eight of Sarmiento Junin’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Sarmiento Junin’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Sarmiento Junin have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.00. Sarmiento Junin have scored 21 goals, the most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Sarmiento Junin have conceded 18 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.
Four of Barracas Central’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Barracas Central’s last 15 results (27%). Away from home, Barracas Central have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.38. Barracas Central have scored 10 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Barracas Central have conceded nine goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.
Sarmiento Junin (fifth) and Barracas Central (eighth) are two points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Barracas Central the stronger side, 29 rating points above Sarmiento Junin (Barracas Central 1596, Sarmiento Junin 1567, after at least 158 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Sarmiento Junin are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Barracas Central. The most recent meeting, on 2 April 2026, finished Barracas Central 1–2 Sarmiento Junin.
Team news
Predicted Sarmiento Junin XI (4-4-2): T. Ayala, J. Insaurralde, R. Orihuela, S. Salle, L. Suárez, C. Zabala, M. Martínez, J. Mavilla, J. Contrera, J. Marabel, J. Herrera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Julián Mavilla (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and one assist) and T. Ayala (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been Sarmiento Junin’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sarmiento Junin (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Julián Mavilla averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1071 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. T. Ayala averages 4.3 saves per 90 over 831 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Barracas Central XI (5-3-2): M. Miño, N. Demartini, K. Jappert, Y. Rak, E. Pereyra, R. Barrios, I. Tapia, D. Miloc, T. Porra, N. Briasco, F. Bruera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tomás Porra (3.7 per match over 30 appearances, one goal and four assists) and Kevin Jappert (3.4 per match over 25 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Barracas Central’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Barracas Central (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Tomás Porra averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 2382 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Kevin Jappert averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 1736 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
- Referee: Daniel Zamora
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Sarmiento Junin 2 · draws 3 · Barracas Central 1 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Sarmiento Junin 2W 2D 1L · Barracas Central 2W 2D 1L
Sarmiento Junin v Barracas Central (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Sarmiento Junin for / against | Line | Barracas Central for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2our book | 1 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.5 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.88 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.14 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.14 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.63 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.71 for · 12.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.14 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
Sarmiento Junin
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Garcia n 8 | 49 | 3.7 | 0.7 | — |
| E. Gimenez n 8 | 32.5 | 2.8 | 0.7 | — |
| Julian Contrera n 8 | 61.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | — |
| U. Gimenez n 8 | 35.3 | 2.6 | 1 | — |
| Diego Churin n 8 | 22.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Herrera n 8 | 55.4 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Junior Marabel n 8 | 84.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Julián Mavilla n 8 | 79.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| G. Gonzalez n 8 | 22.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Mauricio Martínez n 8 | 89.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Marabel n 8 | 84.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| G. Gonzalez n 8 | 22.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Julián Mavilla n 8 | 79.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Julian Contrera n 8 | 61.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Jonathan Herrera n 8 | 55.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Nadruz n 6 | 49.5 | 3.9 |
| Cristian Zabala n 8 | 91.9 | 3.3 |
| Diego Churin n 8 | 22.8 | 3 |
| Manuel Garcia n 8 | 49 | 2.8 |
| Lucas Suárez n 8 | 86.9 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Ayala n 8 | 91.1 | 3.6 |
Barracas Central
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jhonatan Candia n 8 | 46.6 | 2.7 | 1.7 | — |
| Nicolas Capraro n 8 | 41.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | — |
| E. Rolon n 8 | 53.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| Gonzalo Maroni n 8 | 52.5 | 1.9 | 2.6 | — |
| Damián Martínez n 8 | 52.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jhonatan Candia n 8 | 46.6 | 2.7 | 1 |
| Nicolás Orsini n 8 | 42.8 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| Gonzalo Maroni n 8 | 52.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Rodrigo Bogarín n 8 | 51.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Enzo Taborda n 8 | 30.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Lavezzi n 3 | 24 | 0 | 2.5 |
| Nicolás Orsini n 8 | 42.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Enzo Taborda n 8 | 30.9 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Iván Tapia n 8 | 84.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Norberto Briasco n 8 | 73.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Lavezzi n 3 | 24 | 5 |
| Rafael Barrios n 8 | 57.3 | 3.3 |
| Yonatthan Rak n 8 | 85 | 2.9 |
| Enzo Taborda n 8 | 30.9 | 2.9 |
| Kevin Jappert n 8 | 83.3 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Agustín Miño n 8 | 90.8 | 3.2 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Sarmiento Junin v Barracas Central — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-02 Barracas Central 1–2 Sarmiento Junin
- 2025-09-20 Barracas Central 0–1 Sarmiento Junin
- 2025-03-09 Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Barracas Central
- 2024-05-19 Barracas Central 1–1 Sarmiento Junin
- 2023-02-04 Sarmiento Junin 3–5 Barracas Central
- 2022-10-08 Barracas Central 1–1 Sarmiento Junin
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Sarmiento Junin v Barracas Central?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Sarmiento Junin v Barracas Central is Draw or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sarmiento Junin and Barracas Central?
- In their last 6 meetings, Sarmiento Junin won 2, Barracas Central won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Sarmiento Junin and Barracas Central?
- Recent form — Sarmiento Junin 2W 2D 1L; Barracas Central 2W 2D 1L.
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